05/08/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 05/08/2026 15:18
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The disclosures in this quarterly report are complementary to those made in our 2025 Form 10-K and should be read in conjunction with our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in this report, as well as our audited financial statements, notes thereto and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our 2025 Form 10-K.
The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, provides information that evaluates our financial condition as of March 31, 2026, compared with December 31, 2025, and our results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025.
Investors should review the "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements-Safe Harbor Provisions" and "Item 1A. Risk Factors" herein and in our 2025 Form 10-K for a discussion of those risks and uncertainties that have the potential to adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows or prospects. Our results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the full year or for any other period. See "Overview" below and Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
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INDEX TO ITEM 2 |
Page |
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Overview |
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Key Factors Affecting Our Results |
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|
Insured Portfolio Metrics |
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|
Results of Operations-Consolidated |
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|
Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment |
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Results of Operations-Specialty Segment |
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Results of Operations-Corporate Category |
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Liquidity and Capital Resources |
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Critical Accounting Estimates |
Overview
For nearly 50 years, we have served as a leading private mortgage insurer, expanding access to affordable, responsible and sustainable homeownership. We believe we are differentiated from our peers by our proprietary risk analysis and risk management capabilities, informed by decades of mortgage data and intelligence. In recent years, our mortgage insurance business has generated positive results, including strong earnings and cash flow.
A pivotal milestone in our strategic evolution was our recent acquisition of Inigo, a highly respected Lloyd's specialty insurer, which closed on February 2, 2026. We believe that combining the embedded value of our mortgage insurance business with the growth potential of a disciplined specialty insurance and reinsurance business through this acquisition positions us to create a capital-efficient diversified insurance business. Effective as of the first quarter of 2026, we manage our business in two reportable business segments, Mortgage and Specialty. Together, Radian's Mortgage and Specialty businesses create a global multi-line specialty insurer.
Our financial performance was strong in the first quarter of 2026. Our consolidated results for the first quarter of 2026 reflect the addition of our Specialty segment following the acquisition of Inigo, with net income from continuing operations of $129 million, a 10.8% return on equity from continuing operations and pretax income from continuing operations of $174 million. Adjusted pretax operating income was $232 million, with a 14.7% adjusted net operating return on equity. The expansion of our business mix drove higher revenues, partially offset by higher provision for losses and expenses. With the closing of the Inigo acquisition, we believe we have taken a significant step to diversify our earnings and position the Company for long-term growth.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Mortgage
Our Mortgage segment continued to serve as a solid foundation for our financial results, generating strong earnings and cash flow in the first quarter of 2026. Our Mortgage segment contributed $221 million of adjusted pretax operating income, with net premiums earned of $238 million. Our mortgage insurance in force portfolio was $281.7 billion as of March 31, 2026, inclusive of $13.5 billion of NIW. We continued to observe low default and claim rates and steady cure activity, supporting favorable loss performance.
Consistent with the trends observed in recent periods, the economic and market conditions impacting our Mortgage results for the first quarter of 2026 remained generally favorable. These trends include: (i) a strong credit environment; (ii) a strong Persistency Rate due to the interest rates of mortgages in our insured portfolio generally remaining below prevailing interest rates, although refinance activity increased in the first quarter of 2026; and (iii) strong mortgage insurance fundamentals, including stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened servicing standards and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes.
Specialty
On February 2, 2026, we closed the acquisition of Inigo, making the first quarter of 2026 the first period in which the Specialty segment is included in our financial results. Our Specialty segment writes insurance and reinsurance coverage through multiple lines of business including property, casualty, financial lines and other specialty lines focusing on core classes of insurance and reinsurance where we believe we possess technical expertise.
For the two months of activity ended March 31, 2026, our Specialty segment contributed $40 million of pretax operating income, with net premiums earned of $164 million, and achieved a Combined Ratio of 85.3%. We believe this performance reflects strong underlying profitability, effective risk selection and disciplined underwriting and portfolio management.
The property, casualty and other specialty insurance markets in which the Specialty segment operates are influenced by market cycles, competitive pressures and evolving risk landscapes. This market demands a disciplined approach to underwriting, effective risk selection and robust data and analytics to navigate increasing competition, particularly in short-tail property lines. Factors such as claims inflation, geopolitical risks and climate change further shape the specialty insurance environment.
During the first quarter of 2026, the specialty insurance and reinsurance markets experienced continued softening pricing conditions, particularly across property and reinsurance classes, following several years of strong underwriting profitability and a relatively benign catastrophe environment in 2025, which has continued in early 2026. Increased availability of capacity from both traditional markets and alternative capital, including catastrophe bonds, intensified competitive pressures and resulted in risk-adjusted rate reductions. Market conditions and the premium rate environment remain differentiated by line of business, and the softening pricing conditions have been most pronounced in U.S. property insurance and property catastrophe reinsurance.
We expect competitive and pricing pressures to persist through the remainder of 2026, particularly in catastrophe-exposed classes. In response to market conditions, Inigo remains focused on underwriting profitability through the cycle and we expect to continue to emphasize margin-focused underwriting, including selective reductions in lines, non-renewal of inadequately priced risks, portfolio re-shaping initiatives and targeted growth in classes and segments where pricing and structural protections remain acceptable.
Geopolitical developments also influenced market conditions during the first quarter of 2026. The escalation of hostilities in the Middle East introduced heightened uncertainty across political violence, aviation war, cyber, energy and related specialty insurance markets. While reported loss activity to date has been limited, the evolving situation presents a heightened risk of loss with respect to insured risks in the region, reinforcing the importance of disciplined risk selection, exposure management and reinsurance protection. The Company continues to monitor geopolitical developments and evolving market conditions, including potential increased volatility in financial markets.
Outlook
Looking ahead to the remainder of 2026, our priorities include continuing to deliver strong, consistent performance in our Mortgage segment, executing on the strategic development and selective growth of our Specialty segment and maintaining a
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
disciplined approach to capital management. We believe our ability to consistently generate excess capital through cycles and redeploy it with discipline is a core competitive advantage. Our capital management philosophy prioritizes maintaining financial strength, investing in growth and responsibly returning excess capital to stockholders. Despite risks and uncertainties related to the current economic and market conditions, we continue to have a favorable outlook for our businesses based on the fundamentals in both our Mortgage and Specialty segments.
Legislative and Regulatory Developments
We are subject to comprehensive regulation and supervision in the jurisdictions in which our subsidiaries operate. For a description of significant U.S. state and federal regulations and other requirements of the GSEs that are applicable to our mortgage insurance business, as well as legislative and regulatory developments affecting the housing finance industry, see "Item 1. Business-Regulation-State Regulation" and "Item 1. Business-Regulation-Federal Regulation" in our 2025 Form 10-K. For a description of the U.K. regulatory requirements and framework and other requirements and regulations of Lloyd's that are applicable to our specialty insurance business, see "Item 1. Business-Regulation-Regulation of Inigo" in our 2025 Form 10-K. There were no significant regulatory developments impacting our businesses from those discussed in our 2025 Form 10-K, other than the following.
Credit Score Models. In October 2022, the FHFA announced that as part of a multi-year effort, the GSEs intend to replace their use of Classic FICO credit scores with FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 credit scores, which are intended to improve accuracy by capturing additional payment histories for borrowers when available, such as rent, utilities and telecom payments. In July 2025, FHFA announced that the GSEs would allow lenders to use a credit score generated by either the Classic FICO model or the VantageScore 4.0 model. Most recently, in April 2026, FHFA announced that the GSEs will immediately accept loans with the VantageScore 4.0 model for certain approved lenders and will begin moving forward with FICO 10T. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development also announced that FHA will permit the use of VantageScore 4.0 and FICO 10T as eligible credit score models for FHA-insured loans. As a mortgage insurer, Radian Guaranty uses credit scores in several areas of its operations and the adoption and implementation of the new credit scores requires planning and analysis to, among other things, understand how these scores calibrate to Radian Guaranty's credit risk models. The Company continues to evaluate the impact of this most recent announcement, and while we expect there to be operational impacts, we do not expect it to have a material impact on our results of operations or financial condition.
Basel III. Over the past several decades, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has established international benchmarks for assessing banks' capital adequacy requirements ("Basel III"). Included within those benchmarks are capital standards related to residential lending and securitization activity and, importantly for private mortgage insurers, the capital treatment of mortgage insurance on those loans. In July 2023, the U.S. federal banking agencies published a notice of proposed rulemaking to implement the final components of Basel III that was heavily criticized and debated. In March 2026, the U.S. federal bank regulators released new proposals to update the regulatory capital framework for banks that include more granular risk weights for the capital treatment of residential real estate and maintain the existing treatment of mortgage insurance as a prudent underwriting standard. The proposals also include several questions on the treatment of mortgage insurance as part of the proposed risk weight calculations. The Company will continue to monitor developments with respect to this rulemaking and its potential impact on our mortgage insurance business.
Key Factors Affecting Our Results
Our condensed consolidated financial results for the first quarter of 2026 reflect the continued performance of our Mortgage segment and, beginning February 2, 2026, the inclusion of Inigo's specialty insurance and reinsurance operations within our Specialty segment. Except as set forth below, there have been no material changes to the key factors affecting our results discussed in our 2025 Form 10-K. In addition to those key factors, the following key factors have affected and are expected to affect, our financial results:
Acquisition of Inigo and Specialty Insurance Operations. On February 2, 2026, we completed the acquisition of Inigo, a Lloyd's specialty insurer, and its results are included in our condensed consolidated financial statements from the acquisition date forward. The acquisition of Inigo has expanded our business mix and future growth opportunities while also increasing our exposure to global specialty insurance and reinsurance markets. Our financial results may be affected by the execution of integration activities, the alignment of systems and controls and our ability to effectively manage underwriting, operational and financial risks associated with these operations.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The discussion below summarizes the key factors affecting the results for our Specialty segment.
Specialty Insurance and Reinsurance Market Conditions. Our Specialty segment operating results are influenced by market conditions across the specialty insurance and reinsurance classes and geographies in which we participate. These conditions include pricing levels, underwriting terms, available capacity and competitive dynamics, all of which are subject to cyclical trends and may vary by line of business. Changes in market conditions can affect premium volumes, expected loss ratios and underwriting profitability.
Premium Volume and Business Mix. Our Specialty segment results are affected by the volume, timing and mix of gross and net premiums written. Premium volumes may vary by period based on renewal activity, new business opportunities, pricing conditions, underwriting appetite, exposure levels and the availability and cost of reinsurance. Changes in business mix across insurance and reinsurance, or across lines of business with different risk, acquisition cost and earning patterns, may affect earned premiums, underwriting margins and comparability between periods.
Underwriting and Reserve Risk. Underwriting risk arises from the inherent uncertainty in the occurrence, timing and severity of insured events. Our Specialty segment underwriting results are affected by risk selection, pricing adequacy, exposure concentrations, policy terms and claims experience, including large losses and catastrophe events. Reserve estimates are inherently uncertain and depend on assumptions regarding claims development, severity, inflation and settlement patterns. Adverse changes in loss experience or assumptions may result in increased reserves, which could materially affect results in the period recognized.
Reinsurance and Risk Distribution. We purchase reinsurance in our Specialty segment as a core risk management tool to limit exposure to large individual losses, catastrophe events and aggregation risk, and to support capital efficiency. Our reinsurance programs include excess of loss, quota share and catastrophe bond arrangements. The availability, cost and terms of reinsurance are influenced by market conditions and loss experience, and changes to reinsurance structures, retentions or counterparty performance may affect net results and earnings volatility.
Macroeconomic, Geopolitical and Catastrophe Risk. Our Specialty segment is exposed to macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical developments and natural catastrophe events, which may impact claims frequency and severity, underwriting demand and pricing, investment performance and capital requirements. Catastrophe losses can vary significantly between periods, and material events or adverse geopolitical developments could have a material impact on our results.
Investment Performance, Credit Risk, Liquidity Demands and Operating Expenses. Our Specialty segment operating results are also affected by investment performance, credit risk arising from reinsurers, brokers, intermediaries and investment counterparties, and liquidity demands associated with claims payments. In addition, personnel, technology and professional service costs influence our expense base, while transaction-related or other non-recurring costs may affect comparability between periods.
Insured Portfolio Metrics
Mortgage
New Insurance Written
We wrote $13.5 billion of primary NIW in the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to $9.5 billion of NIW in the three months ended March 31, 2025, representing an increase of 42% for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025.
According to industry estimates, mortgage origination volume for home purchases increased moderately in the first quarter of 2026, while a decrease in interest rates led to an increase in refinance volume for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, contributing to the increase in NIW in the first quarter of 2026.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table provides selected information for the periods indicated related to our Mortgage NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
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NIW |
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Three Months Ended |
||||||||
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($ in millions) |
2026 |
2025 |
||||||
|
NIW |
$ |
13,490 |
$ |
9,489 |
||||
|
Primary risk written |
$ |
3,544 |
$ |
2,455 |
||||
|
Average coverage percentage |
26.3 |
% |
25.9 |
% |
||||
|
NIW by loan purpose |
||||||||
|
Purchases |
78.6 |
% |
95.6 |
% |
||||
|
Refinances |
21.4 |
% |
4.4 |
% |
||||
|
NIW by premium type |
||||||||
|
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums |
97.7 |
% |
96.4 |
% |
||||
|
Direct single premiums |
2.3 |
% |
3.6 |
% |
||||
|
NIW by FICO score (1) |
||||||||
|
>=740 |
66.7 |
% |
68.1 |
% |
||||
|
680-739 |
28.4 |
% |
27.0 |
% |
||||
|
620-679 |
4.6 |
% |
4.9 |
% |
||||
|
<=619 |
0.3 |
% |
0.0 |
% |
||||
|
NIW by LTV (1) |
||||||||
|
95.01% and above |
17.2 |
% |
15.6 |
% |
||||
|
90.01% to 95.00% |
44.1 |
% |
41.5 |
% |
||||
|
85.01% to 90.00% |
29.9 |
% |
32.3 |
% |
||||
|
85.00% and below |
8.8 |
% |
10.6 |
% |
||||
Insurance and Risk in Force
|
Year of origination - IIF |
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|
($ in billions) |
IIF as of: |
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|
By vintage |
March 31, 2026 |
December 31, 2025 |
March 31, 2025 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
2026 |
$ |
13.4 |
4.8 |
% |
$ |
- |
- |
% |
$ |
- |
- |
% |
||||||||||||
|
2025 |
50.1 |
17.8 |
% |
52.3 |
18.5 |
% |
9.4 |
3.4 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2024 |
40.2 |
14.3 |
% |
42.7 |
15.1 |
% |
48.1 |
17.5 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2023 |
36.0 |
12.8 |
% |
38.3 |
13.6 |
% |
44.1 |
16.1 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2022 |
45.3 |
16.1 |
% |
47.1 |
16.7 |
% |
52.6 |
19.2 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2021 |
41.3 |
14.6 |
% |
43.3 |
15.3 |
% |
51.0 |
18.6 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2020 |
25.4 |
9.0 |
% |
27.1 |
9.6 |
% |
32.4 |
11.8 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2009 - 2019 |
24.4 |
8.6 |
% |
25.9 |
9.2 |
% |
30.3 |
11.1 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
2008 & Prior |
5.6 |
2.0 |
% |
5.8 |
2.0 |
% |
6.3 |
2.3 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Total |
$ |
281.7 |
100.0 |
% |
$ |
282.5 |
100.0 |
% |
$ |
274.2 |
100.0 |
% |
||||||||||||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time is our IIF, which increases as a result of our NIW and decreases as a result of policy cancellations and amortization.
Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Higher interest rate environments generally decrease refinancings, which decrease the cancellation rate of our insurance and positively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table below: (i) our 12-month Persistency Rate at March 31, 2026, decreased as compared to the same period in 2025 and (ii) our quarterly, annualized Persistency Rate decreased at March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025. We believe the decrease in both the 12-month Persistency Rate and the quarterly, annualized Persistency Rate was primarily attributable to an increase in refinance activity in the first quarter of 2026, as further described below, resulting from the decline in mortgage interest rates in recent periods.
As of March 31, 2026, approximately half of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate of 5.5% or less, which remains below the current prevailing mortgage interest rates based on reported industry averages. If mortgage rates were to decrease further, however, refinance volumes could increase, similar to the effect observed in the first quarter of 2026, which could negatively impact our Persistency Rate and the size of our IIF portfolio. See "If the length of time that our mortgage insurance policies remain in force declines, it could result in a decrease in our future revenues" under "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our 2025 Form 10-K for more information.
The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to Mortgage IIF and RIF. Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
|
IIF and RIF |
||||||||||||
|
($ in millions) |
March 31, |
December 31, |
March 31, |
|||||||||
|
Primary IIF |
$ |
281,718 |
$ |
282,519 |
$ |
274,159 |
||||||
|
Primary RIF |
$ |
74,651 |
$ |
74,704 |
$ |
71,958 |
||||||
|
Average coverage percentage |
26.5 |
% |
26.4 |
% |
26.2 |
% |
||||||
|
Persistency Rate (12 months ended) |
82.4 |
% |
83.6 |
% |
83.7 |
% |
||||||
|
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1) |
81.3 |
% |
81.6 |
% |
85.7 |
% |
||||||
|
Primary RIF by premium type |
||||||||||||
|
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums |
91.2 |
% |
91.0 |
% |
90.1 |
% |
||||||
|
Direct single premiums |
8.8 |
% |
9.0 |
% |
9.9 |
% |
||||||
|
Primary RIF by FICO score (2) |
||||||||||||
|
>=740 |
60.7 |
% |
60.7 |
% |
60.3 |
% |
||||||
|
680-739 |
32.4 |
% |
32.4 |
% |
32.4 |
% |
||||||
|
620-679 |
6.7 |
% |
6.7 |
% |
7.0 |
% |
||||||
|
<=619 |
0.2 |
% |
0.2 |
% |
0.3 |
% |
||||||
|
Primary RIF by LTV (2) |
||||||||||||
|
95.01% and above |
21.0 |
% |
20.7 |
% |
20.0 |
% |
||||||
|
90.01% to 95.00% |
48.9 |
% |
48.6 |
% |
47.9 |
% |
||||||
|
85.01% to 90.00% |
26.0 |
% |
26.4 |
% |
27.3 |
% |
||||||
|
85.00% and below |
4.1 |
% |
4.3 |
% |
4.8 |
% |
||||||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Risk Distribution
We use third-party reinsurance in our Mortgage segment as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile.
The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Key Factors Affecting Our Results-Mortgage Insurance-Risk Distribution" in our 2025 Form 10-K and Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements in this report for more information about our reinsurance transactions.
The following table provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty's reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.
|
PMIERs benefit from risk distribution |
||||||||
|
($ in thousands) |
March 31, |
December 31, |
||||||
|
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets |
||||||||
|
Mortgage QSR Program |
$ |
947,732 |
$ |
913,212 |
||||
|
Mortgage XOL Program |
||||||||
|
Traditional reinsurance agreements |
468,734 |
479,501 |
||||||
|
Mortgage insurance-linked notes program |
354,551 |
388,983 |
||||||
|
Total Mortgage XOL Program |
823,285 |
868,484 |
||||||
|
Total PMIERs impact |
$ |
1,771,017 |
$ |
1,781,696 |
||||
|
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets |
31.5 |
% |
31.8 |
% |
||||
See "Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment-Revenues-Net Premiums Earned" for information about the impact on premiums earned from each of Radian Guaranty's reinsurance programs.
Specialty
Premiums Earned
The following table provides information about net premiums earned by line of business.
|
Net premiums earned by line of business |
|||||
|
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||||
|
Insurance |
|||||
|
Property |
26.9 |
% |
|||
|
Casualty |
22.7 |
% |
|||
|
Financial Lines |
8.9 |
% |
|||
|
Other Specialty |
8.6 |
% |
|||
|
Natural Resources |
5.9 |
% |
|||
|
Partnerships |
1.7 |
% |
|||
|
Total insurance |
74.7 |
% |
|||
|
Reinsurance |
|||||
|
Property |
21.6 |
% |
|||
|
Casualty |
3.7 |
% |
|||
|
Total reinsurance |
25.3 |
% |
|||
|
Total net premiums earned |
100.0 |
% |
|||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Insurance comprises specialty insurance business written across a range of structures, including primary and excess layers which are grouped into the following lines of business.
Within Reinsurance, net premiums earned arise from assumed reinsurance business, under which Inigo acts as reinsurer to third-party cedants. This business includes proportional arrangements, where Inigo assumes a share of the underlying premiums and losses and non-proportional arrangements that provide protection against large individual losses, catastrophe events or aggregate loss experience.
The following table provides information about gross premiums earned by geographic area.
|
Gross premiums earned by geographic location (1) |
||||
|
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
||||
|
United States |
80.2 |
% |
||
|
United Kingdom |
7.3 |
% |
||
|
Europe |
7.0 |
% |
||
|
Other countries |
5.5 |
% |
||
|
Total gross premiums earned |
100.0 |
% |
||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Risk Distribution
The following table provides information on ceded premiums earned as a percentage of gross premiums earned by line of business.
|
Ceded premiums earned as a percentage of gross premiums earned by line of business |
|||||
|
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||||
|
Insurance |
|||||
|
Property |
23.8 |
% |
|||
|
Casualty |
14.7 |
% |
|||
|
Financial Lines |
11.4 |
% |
|||
|
Other Specialty |
23.2 |
% |
|||
|
Natural Resources |
18.2 |
% |
|||
|
Partnerships |
38.0 |
% |
|||
|
Reinsurance |
|||||
|
Property |
20.0 |
% |
|||
|
Casualty |
- |
||||
Results of Operations-Consolidated
Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for the three months ended March 31, 2026, primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our Mortgage and Specialty segments, while our consolidated operating results for the three months ended March 31, 2025, primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our Mortgage segment.
As further described in Note 18 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, in the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Radian Group's board of directors approved a plan to divest our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As a result, we have reclassified the results related to these businesses to discontinued operations for all periods presented in our condensed consolidated statements of operations.
All amounts included in this "Results of Operations--Consolidated" section relate to continuing operations unless otherwise noted.
In addition to the results of our reportable segments, pretax income (loss) from continuing operations is also affected by those factors described in "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Key Factors Affecting Our Results" in our 2025 Form 10-K as well as "Key Factors Affecting Our Results" herein, above. See also "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below for more information regarding items that are excluded from the operating results of our operating segments.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table summarizes our consolidated results of operations for the periods indicated.
|
Summary results of operations - consolidated |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts) |
2026 (1) |
2025 |
2026 (1) vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Revenues |
||||||||||||
|
Net premiums earned |
$ |
402,528 |
$ |
234,044 |
$ |
168,484 |
||||||
|
Net investment income |
69,698 |
61,010 |
8,688 |
|||||||||
|
Net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange |
(8,879 |
) |
(2,001 |
) |
(6,878 |
) |
||||||
|
Other income |
2,990 |
1,782 |
1,208 |
|||||||||
|
Total revenues |
466,337 |
294,835 |
171,502 |
|||||||||
|
Expenses |
||||||||||||
|
Provision for losses |
107,933 |
15,340 |
(92,593 |
) |
||||||||
|
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and VOBA |
62,069 |
6,388 |
(55,681 |
) |
||||||||
|
Other operating expenses |
98,169 |
57,908 |
(40,261 |
) |
||||||||
|
Interest expense |
20,594 |
16,489 |
(4,105 |
) |
||||||||
|
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets |
3,909 |
- |
(3,909 |
) |
||||||||
|
Total expenses |
292,674 |
96,125 |
(196,549 |
) |
||||||||
|
Pretax income from continuing operations |
173,663 |
198,710 |
(25,047 |
) |
||||||||
|
Income tax provision |
44,197 |
46,620 |
2,423 |
|||||||||
|
Net income from continuing operations |
129,466 |
152,090 |
(22,624 |
) |
||||||||
|
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax |
(5,373 |
) |
(7,532 |
) |
2,159 |
|||||||
|
Net income |
$ |
124,093 |
$ |
144,558 |
$ |
(20,465 |
) |
|||||
|
Diluted net income from continuing operations per share |
$ |
0.93 |
$ |
1.03 |
$ |
(0.10 |
) |
|||||
|
Weighted average common shares outstanding-diluted |
138,485 |
147,727 |
9,242 |
|||||||||
|
Return on equity from continuing operations |
10.8 |
% |
13.2 |
% |
(2.4 |
)% |
||||||
|
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (2) |
||||||||||||
|
Adjusted pretax operating income |
$ |
231,807 |
$ |
201,095 |
$ |
30,712 |
||||||
|
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share |
$ |
1.27 |
$ |
1.04 |
$ |
0.23 |
||||||
|
Adjusted net operating return on equity |
14.7 |
% |
13.4 |
% |
1.3 |
% |
||||||
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned. The increase in net premiums earned for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily due to the acquisition of Inigo. See "Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment-Revenues-Net Premiums Earned" and "Results of Operations-Specialty Segment-Revenues-Net Premiums Earned" for more information.
Net Investment Income. The increase in net investment income for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily due to the acquisition of Inigo. See Note 7 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for comparative detail about net investment income. See "Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment-Revenues-Net Investment Income" and "Results of Operations-Specialty Segment-Revenues-Net Investment Income" for more information.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Net Gains (Losses) on Financial Instruments and Foreign Exchange. See Note 7 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for comparative detail about net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange by investment category.
Expenses
Provision for Losses. The increase in the provision for losses for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily due to the acquisition of Inigo. See "Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment-Expenses-Provision for Losses" and "Results of Operations-Specialty Segment-Expenses-Provision for Losses" for more information.
Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and VOBA. The increase in the amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and VOBA for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily related to amortization of the VOBA intangible asset recognized in connection with the acquisition of Inigo. See Note 3 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail on the impact of the Inigo acquisition and see "Results of Operations-Specialty Segment-Expenses-Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs" for more information on Specialty segment results, which exclude the impact of purchase accounting adjustments.
Other Operating Expenses. Other operating expenses increased for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, primarily due to the acquisition of Inigo. For additional information, see "Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment-Expenses-Other Operating Expenses" and "Results of Operations-Specialty Segment-Expenses-Other Operating Expenses."
Interest Expense. The increase in interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily due to interest expense on credit facilities for Inigo and Radian Group. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about our interest expense.
Income Tax Provision
Our provision for income taxes for interim periods is established based on our estimated annual effective tax rate for a given year. This rate is impacted by the mix of income and loss and associated statutory tax rates by jurisdiction, and reflects the impact of discrete tax effects in the period in which they occur.
Our effective tax rate for continuing operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, was 25.4%, as compared to 23.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2025. In addition to the effects of non-deductible executive compensation expense, the increase in the effective tax rate was primarily attributable to a higher statutory tax rate on foreign earnings from Inigo and higher state income taxes associated with a temporary period of elevated investment income generated from increased investments held at Radian Group in anticipation of funding the Inigo acquisition.
Our unrecognized tax benefits increased during the quarter primarily as a result of uncertain tax positions assumed in connection with the Inigo acquisition. See Note 10 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail.
Income (Loss) from Discontinued Operations, Net of Tax
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, includes the results of our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses, which have been reclassified to discontinued operations for all periods presented. See Note 18 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Financial Statements for additional details.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In addition to traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented "adjusted pretax operating income (loss)," "adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share" and "adjusted net operating return on equity," which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.
Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations, diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies.
Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian's chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our businesses. For detailed information regarding items excluded from adjusted pretax operating income (loss) and the reasons for their treatment, see Note 5 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
The results of our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses are included in income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein. The calculation of adjusted pretax operating income, as detailed below, excludes income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein. As a result, the calculations of adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity also exclude income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange; (ii) amortization of other acquired intangible assets; (iii) other purchase accounting adjustments, net; and (iv) acquisition-related expenses and other non-operating items, such as impairment of internal-use software and other long-lived assets and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt, among others.
The following table provides a reconciliation of pretax income from continuing operations to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted pretax operating income.
|
Reconciliation of pretax income from continuing operations to adjusted pretax operating income |
||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
|
(In thousands) |
2026 (1) |
2025 |
||||||
|
Pretax income from continuing operations |
$ |
173,663 |
$ |
198,710 |
||||
|
Less: income (expense) items |
||||||||
|
Net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange |
(8,879 |
) |
(2,001 |
) |
||||
|
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets |
(3,909 |
) |
- |
|||||
|
Other purchase accounting adjustments, net (2) |
(23,330 |
) |
- |
|||||
|
Acquisition-related expenses and other non-operating items (3) |
(22,026 |
) |
(384 |
) |
||||
|
Adjusted pretax operating income |
$ |
231,807 |
$ |
201,095 |
||||
Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company's effective tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. For purposes of this non-GAAP financial measure, the income tax provision (benefit) on the reconciling income (expense) items is calculated using statutory tax rates that correspond to the jurisdiction and nature of each item, principally the U.S. federal income tax statutory rate or the U.K. Corporation Tax statutory rate. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) from continuing operations per share to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
|
Reconciliation of diluted net income from continuing operations per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share |
||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
|
2026 |
2025 |
|||||||
|
Diluted net income from continuing operations per share |
$ |
0.93 |
$ |
1.03 |
||||
|
Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items |
||||||||
|
Net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange |
(0.06 |
) |
(0.02 |
) |
||||
|
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets |
(0.03 |
) |
- |
|||||
|
Other purchase accounting adjustments, net |
(0.17 |
) |
- |
|||||
|
Acquisition-related expenses and other non-operating items |
(0.16 |
) |
- |
|||||
|
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1) |
0.08 |
0.01 |
||||||
|
Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items |
(0.34 |
) |
(0.01 |
) |
||||
|
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share |
$ |
1.27 |
$ |
1.04 |
||||
Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company's effective tax rate, by average stockholders' equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. For purposes of this non-GAAP financial measure, the income tax provision (benefit) on the reconciling income (expense) items is calculated using statutory tax rates that correspond to the jurisdiction and nature of each item, principally the U.S. federal income tax statutory rate or the U.K. corporation tax statutory rate. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity from continuing operations to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted net operating return on equity.
|
Reconciliation of return on equity from continuing operations to adjusted net operating return on equity |
||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
|
2026 |
2025 |
|||||||
|
Return on equity from continuing operations (1) |
10.8 |
% |
13.2 |
% |
||||
|
Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2) |
||||||||
|
Net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange |
(0.7 |
)% |
(0.3 |
)% |
||||
|
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets |
(0.3 |
)% |
- |
% |
||||
|
Other purchase accounting adjustments, net |
(2.0 |
)% |
- |
% |
||||
|
Acquisition-related expenses and other non-operating items |
(1.8 |
)% |
- |
% |
||||
|
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3) |
0.9 |
% |
0.1 |
% |
||||
|
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items |
(3.9 |
)% |
(0.2 |
)% |
||||
|
Adjusted net operating return on equity |
14.7 |
% |
13.4 |
% |
||||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Results of Operations-Mortgage Segment
The following table summarizes our Mortgage segment's results of operations for the periods indicated.
|
Summary results of operations - Mortgage segment |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
(In thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
2026 vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Revenues |
||||||||||||
|
Net premiums written |
$ |
233,265 |
$ |
230,250 |
$ |
3,015 |
||||||
|
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums |
4,912 |
3,794 |
1,118 |
|||||||||
|
Net premiums earned |
238,177 |
234,044 |
4,133 |
|||||||||
|
Net investment income |
53,327 |
48,451 |
4,876 |
|||||||||
|
Other income |
1,663 |
1,782 |
(119 |
) |
||||||||
|
Total revenues |
293,167 |
284,277 |
8,890 |
|||||||||
|
Expenses |
||||||||||||
|
Provision for losses |
24,276 |
15,340 |
(8,936 |
) |
||||||||
|
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
6,899 |
6,388 |
(511 |
) |
||||||||
|
Other operating expenses |
40,723 |
43,203 |
2,480 |
|||||||||
|
Interest expense |
470 |
425 |
(45 |
) |
||||||||
|
Total expenses |
72,368 |
65,356 |
(7,012 |
) |
||||||||
|
Adjusted pretax operating income (1) |
$ |
220,799 |
$ |
218,921 |
$ |
1,878 |
||||||
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned. The following table provides additional information about the components of our Mortgage segment's net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of reinsurance programs.
|
Net premiums earned |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
(In thousands, except as otherwise indicated) |
2026 |
2025 |
2026 vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Mortgage |
||||||||||||
|
Direct |
$ |
268,902 |
$ |
261,911 |
$ |
6,991 |
||||||
|
Ceded |
(30,725 |
) |
(27,867 |
) |
(2,858 |
) |
||||||
|
Net premiums earned |
$ |
238,177 |
$ |
234,044 |
$ |
4,133 |
||||||
|
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (1) |
37.9 |
38.0 |
(0.1 |
) |
||||||||
|
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (2) |
38.1 |
38.1 |
(0.0 |
) |
||||||||
|
Net premium yield (in basis points) (3) |
33.8 |
34.1 |
(0.3 |
) |
||||||||
|
Average primary IIF (in billions) (4) |
$ |
282.1 |
$ |
274.6 |
$ |
7.5 |
||||||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Key Factors Affecting Our Results-Mortgage Insurance-IIF and Related Drivers" in our 2025 Form 10-K for more information.
The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.
|
Ceded premiums earned |
||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
|
($ in thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
||||||
|
Mortgage QSR Program (1) |
$ |
22,925 |
$ |
18,320 |
||||
|
Mortgage XOL Program |
||||||||
|
Mortgage insurance-linked notes program |
5,408 |
7,735 |
||||||
|
Traditional reinsurance agreements |
2,392 |
1,812 |
||||||
|
Total Mortgage XOL Program |
7,800 |
9,547 |
||||||
|
Total ceded premiums earned (2) |
$ |
30,725 |
$ |
27,867 |
||||
|
Percentage of total direct premiums earned |
11.4 |
% |
10.6 |
% |
||||
Net Investment Income. The following table provides information related to our Mortgage segment's investments for the periods indicated.
|
Investment balances and yields |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
($ in thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
2026 vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Investment income |
$ |
54,968 |
$ |
51,067 |
$ |
3,901 |
||||||
|
Investment expenses |
(1,641 |
) |
(2,616 |
) |
975 |
|||||||
|
Net investment income |
$ |
53,327 |
$ |
48,451 |
$ |
4,876 |
||||||
|
Average investments (1) |
$ |
5,178,819 |
$ |
5,393,144 |
$ |
(214,325 |
) |
|||||
|
Average investment yield (2) |
4.1 |
% |
3.6 |
% |
0.5 |
% |
||||||
Net investment income increased for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, primarily driven by $10 million of interest earned on the Intercompany Note issued by Radian Guaranty to Radian Group in connection with the Inigo acquisition. A corresponding amount is reported as interest expense for the Corporate category and both amounts are eliminated in consolidation. This benefit was partially offset by a decline in the average balance for the remainder of the investment portfolio.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Expenses
Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our Mortgage segment's provision for losses for the periods indicated.
|
Provision for losses |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
($ in thousands, except reserve per new default) |
2026 |
2025 |
2026 vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Current quarter defaults (1) |
$ |
59,839 |
$ |
53,740 |
$ |
(6,099 |
) |
|||||
|
Prior quarter defaults (2) |
(35,563 |
) |
(38,400 |
) |
(2,837 |
) |
||||||
|
Total provision for losses |
$ |
24,276 |
$ |
15,340 |
$ |
(8,936 |
) |
|||||
|
Loss Ratio |
10.2 |
% |
6.6 |
% |
(3.6 |
)% |
||||||
|
Reserve per new default (3) |
$ |
4,405 |
$ |
4,298 |
$ |
(107 |
) |
|||||
The increase in the provision for losses for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily driven by an increase in current quarter new defaults and a reduction in favorable development on prior period defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance loss reserves.
As shown in the table below, current period new primary defaults increased for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 7.5% at both March 31, 2026 and 2025. When establishing this assumed rate, we continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.
Our provision for losses during the three months ended March 31, 2026, and the same period in 2025, was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior period defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends have resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices.
See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements herein for additional information, as well as Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our 2025 Form 10-K.
Our primary default rate as a percentage of total insured loans was 2.5% and 2.6% at March 31, 2026, and December 31, 2025, respectively. The following table shows a rollforward of our primary loans in default.
|
Rollforward of primary loans in default |
||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
|
2026 |
2025 |
|||||||
|
Beginning default inventory |
25,230 |
24,055 |
||||||
|
New defaults |
13,584 |
12,505 |
||||||
|
Cures (1) (2) |
(13,737 |
) |
(13,549 |
) |
||||
|
Claims paid (1) (3) |
(468 |
) |
(210 |
) |
||||
|
Rescissions and Claim Denials (1) (4) |
16 |
(43 |
) |
|||||
|
Ending default inventory |
24,625 |
22,758 |
||||||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table shows additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.
|
Primary loans in default - additional information |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
March 31, 2026 |
December 31, 2025 |
March 31, 2025 |
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
# |
% |
# |
% |
# |
% |
|||||||||||||||||||
|
Missed payments - pre-foreclosure stage |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Three payments or less |
12,022 |
48.8 |
% |
13,252 |
52.5 |
% |
10,815 |
47.5 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Four to eleven payments |
8,306 |
33.7 |
% |
7,813 |
31.0 |
% |
7,973 |
35.0 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Twelve payments or more |
2,629 |
10.7 |
% |
2,539 |
10.1 |
% |
2,563 |
11.3 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Foreclosure stage defaulted loans (1) |
1,308 |
5.3 |
% |
1,198 |
4.7 |
% |
1,111 |
4.9 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Pending claims |
360 |
1.5 |
% |
428 |
1.7 |
% |
296 |
1.3 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Total default inventory |
24,625 |
100.0 |
% |
25,230 |
100.0 |
% |
22,758 |
100.0 |
% |
|||||||||||||||
|
Policies in force |
979,894 |
985,755 |
976,842 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Primary default rate |
2.5 |
% |
2.6 |
% |
2.3 |
% |
||||||||||||||||||
We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates based primarily on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. Our aggregate weighted average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 24% and 23% as of March 31, 2026, and December 31, 2025, respectively. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2025 Form 10-K for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.
Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors (as described in "Item 1. Business-Mortgage Insurance-Rescissions, Defaults and Claims" in our 2025 Form 10-K) that make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.
The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.
|
Claims paid |
|||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
|||||||||
|
(In thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
|||||||
|
Net claims paid (1) |
|||||||||
|
Primary |
$ |
18,639 |
$ |
4,203 |
|||||
|
Pool and other |
107 |
(919 |
) |
||||||
|
Subtotal |
18,746 |
3,284 |
|||||||
|
LAE |
1,145 |
949 |
|||||||
|
Total net claims paid |
$ |
19,891 |
$ |
4,233 |
|||||
|
Average net primary claim paid (1) (2) |
$ |
52.1 |
$ |
27.1 |
|||||
|
Average direct primary claim paid (2) (3) |
$ |
61.7 |
$ |
39.3 |
|||||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Total claims paid increased for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, consistent with both the growth and seasoning of our IIF and our reserving expectations.
For additional information about our reserve for losses, see "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Critical Accounting Estimates" in our 2025 Form 10-K.
Other Operating Expenses. The following table provides information about our Mortgage segment's other operating expenses for the periods indicated.
|
Other operating expenses |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
(In thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
2026 vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Salaries and other base employee expenses |
$ |
22,315 |
$ |
20,848 |
$ |
(1,467 |
) |
|||||
|
Variable and share-based incentive compensation |
7,739 |
11,800 |
4,061 |
|||||||||
|
Other general operating expenses |
18,888 |
17,277 |
(1,611 |
) |
||||||||
|
Ceding commissions |
(8,219 |
) |
(6,722 |
) |
1,497 |
|||||||
|
Total other operating expenses |
$ |
40,723 |
$ |
43,203 |
$ |
2,480 |
||||||
The decrease in other operating expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, is primarily due to favorable impacts from lower variable incentive compensation expense.
Results of Operations-Specialty Segment
The following table summarizes our Specialty segment's results of operations for the period indicated.
|
Summary results of operations - Specialty segment |
||||
|
(In thousands) |
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||
|
Revenues |
||||
|
Net premiums written |
$ |
148,483 |
||
|
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums |
15,868 |
|||
|
Net premiums earned |
164,351 |
|||
|
Net investment income |
16,899 |
|||
|
Other income |
1,327 |
|||
|
Total revenues |
182,577 |
|||
|
Expenses |
||||
|
Provision for losses |
86,268 |
|||
|
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
29,065 |
|||
|
Other operating expenses |
24,885 |
|||
|
Interest expense |
2,290 |
|||
|
Total expenses |
142,508 |
|||
|
Adjusted pretax operating income (1) |
$ |
40,069 |
||
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned. The following table provides additional information about the components of our Specialty segment's net premiums earned for the period indicated.
|
Net premiums earned |
||||
|
(In thousands) |
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||
|
Specialty |
||||
|
Direct |
$ |
108,987 |
||
|
Assumed |
94,498 |
|||
|
Ceded |
(39,134 |
) |
||
|
Net premiums earned |
$ |
164,351 |
||
For the period from the Closing Date to March 31, 2026, net premiums earned for the Specialty segment were $164 million. Gross premiums earned before the impact of ceded reinsurance were $203 million, consisting of $109 million of direct premiums earned and $94 million of assumed premiums earned. Direct premiums earned relate to insurance policies written by the Specialty segment and assumed premiums earned relate to reinsurance business where the Specialty segment assumes risk from other insurers or reinsurers.
Net premiums earned were reduced by $39 million of ceded premiums earned, reflecting reinsurance purchased by the Specialty segment to manage underwriting exposures, catastrophe risk and earnings volatility. As Inigo's results are included only from the Closing Date, the period presented does not reflect a full quarter of Specialty segment activity.
Premium volumes were affected by market conditions across certain specialty insurance and reinsurance classes, including competitive pricing dynamics and disciplined risk selection. Our Specialty segment continues to prioritize underwriting profitability and rate adequacy, which may limit premium growth in certain classes where market conditions do not support acceptable risk-adjusted returns.
Net Investment Income. The following table provides information related to our Specialty segment's investments for the period indicated.
|
Investment balances and yields |
||||
|
($ in thousands) |
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||
|
Investment income |
$ |
17,196 |
||
|
Investment expenses |
(297 |
) |
||
|
Net investment income |
$ |
16,899 |
||
|
Average investments (1) |
$ |
2,510,766 |
||
|
Average investment yield (2) |
4.0 |
% |
||
Net investment income for the quarter was $17 million, generated from average invested assets of $2.5 billion and an average investment yield of 4.0%, reflecting returns from a conservatively positioned fixed income portfolio and cash holdings maintained to support insurance liabilities and liquidity requirements.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Expenses
Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our Specialty segment's provision for losses for the period indicated.
|
Provision for losses |
||||
|
($ in thousands) |
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||
|
Current period (1) |
$ |
98,846 |
||
|
Prior period (2) |
(12,578 |
) |
||
|
Total provision for losses |
$ |
86,268 |
||
|
Loss Ratio |
52.5 |
% |
||
For the period from the Closing Date to March 31, 2026, the total provision for losses for the Specialty segment was $86 million, representing a Loss Ratio of 52.5%. Current period losses were $99 million and reflect losses and loss adjustment expenses related to insured events occurring during the current accident period. These losses were partially offset by $13 million of favorable prior period development, reflecting updated estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses related to prior accident periods.
Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs. Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs reflects gross policy acquisition costs of $34 million, partially offset by $5 million of ceded policy acquisition costs on ceded reinsurance arrangements.
Other Operating Expenses. The following table shows additional information about other operating expenses for the period indicated.
|
Other operating expenses |
||||
|
(In thousands) |
From Closing Date to March 31, 2026 |
|||
|
Salaries and other base employee expenses |
$ |
4,953 |
||
|
Variable and share-based incentive compensation |
5,084 |
|||
|
Other general operating expenses |
14,848 |
|||
|
Total other operating expenses |
$ |
24,885 |
||
Other operating expenses for the period from the Closing Date to March 31, 2026, reflect the personnel and incentive costs required to support underwriting and claims operations, together with technology, professional fees and other infrastructure expenses, including marketing spend in the first quarter to support key strategic initiatives.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Results of Operations-Corporate Category
The following table summarizes the results of operations for our Corporate category for the periods indicated.
|
Summary results of operations - Corporate |
||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
Change |
|||||||||||
|
(In thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
2026 vs. 2025 |
|||||||||
|
Revenues |
||||||||||||
|
Net investment income |
$ |
9,222 |
$ |
12,559 |
$ |
(3,337 |
) |
|||||
|
Total revenues |
9,222 |
12,559 |
(3,337 |
) |
||||||||
|
Expenses |
||||||||||||
|
Other operating expenses |
10,699 |
14,321 |
3,622 |
|||||||||
|
Interest expense |
27,584 |
16,064 |
(11,520 |
) |
||||||||
|
Total expenses |
38,283 |
30,385 |
(7,898 |
) |
||||||||
|
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1) |
$ |
(29,061 |
) |
$ |
(17,826 |
) |
$ |
(11,235 |
) |
|||
The increase in adjusted pretax operating loss for our Corporate category activities for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025 is primarily due to a $10 million increase in interest expense in the first quarter of 2026 related to interest payable on the Intercompany Note issued by Radian Guaranty to Radian Group in connection with the Inigo acquisition. A corresponding amount is reported as net investment income for the Mortgage segment and both amounts are eliminated in consolidation.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Consolidated Cash Flows
The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.
|
Summary cash flows - consolidated |
||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
|
(In thousands) |
2026 |
2025 |
||||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in): |
||||||||
|
Operating activities, continuing operations |
$ |
145,791 |
$ |
206,699 |
||||
|
Investing activities, continuing operations |
(209,849 |
) |
50,302 |
|||||
|
Financing activities, continuing operations |
84,957 |
(249,607 |
) |
|||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in) continuing operations |
20,899 |
7,394 |
||||||
|
Operating activities, discontinued operations |
139,228 |
(138,893 |
) |
|||||
|
Investing activities, discontinued operations |
29,222 |
55,935 |
||||||
|
Financing activities, discontinued operations |
(140,369 |
) |
62,441 |
|||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in) discontinued operations |
28,081 |
(20,517 |
) |
|||||
|
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash (1) |
$ |
48,980 |
$ |
(13,123 |
) |
|||
Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows from continuing operations is from premiums received from our insurance and assumed reinsurance policies, reinsurance recoverables and net investment income, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are typically our operating expenses, taxes, ceded reinsurance premiums and claims paid on our insurance and assumed reinsurance policies. The decrease in cash provided by operating activities, continuing operations, in the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, was primarily due to acquisition-related costs paid in connection with the Inigo acquisition in the first quarter of 2026, as well as an increase in mortgage insurance claims paid and a reduction in net investment income. Net cash flows used in operating activities from discontinued operations primarily relate to net purchases and sales of mortgage loans held for sale, which have varied from period to period.
Investing Activities. The change in net cash used in investing activities, continuing operations, for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to cash provided by investing activities, continuing operations, in the same period in 2025, was primarily driven by the funding of the Inigo acquisition in the first quarter of 2026, net of cash acquired, primarily offset by an increase in sales and redemptions of short-term investments to help fund the acquisition. The decrease in net cash provided by investing activities, discontinued operations, for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the same period in 2025, was primarily driven by a reduction in cash provided from Mortgage Conduit loan activities.
Financing Activities. For the three months ended March 31, 2026, our net cash provided by financing activities, continuing operations primarily reflected net proceeds received from our revolving credit facility, partially offset by repurchases of our common stock and the payment of dividends. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our borrowing and capital stock activities, respectively. Net cash used in financing activities, discontinued operations, for the three months ended March 31, 2026, was primarily driven by the net change in borrowings related to funding from mortgage loan financing facilities.
See "Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)-Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)" for additional information.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Liquidity Analysis-Holding Company
Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At March 31, 2026, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $391 million. Total liquidity was $741 million as of March 31, 2026, and included $350 million of remaining availability under our unsecured revolving credit facility.
During the three months ended March 31, 2026, Radian Group's available liquidity decreased by $1.4 billion, primarily due to $1.65 billion of cash consideration paid for the acquisition of Inigo, $50 million paid for share repurchases and $35 million paid for dividends. This decrease was partially offset by $140 million of ordinary dividends received from Radian Guaranty, $150 million, net, drawn on our unsecured revolving credit facility and $46 million of distributions from our businesses held for sale. In Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, see Note 16 for additional information on distributions from Radian Guaranty, Note 12 for additional information on our revolving credit facility and Note 18 for additional information on our businesses held for sale.
In addition to available cash and marketable securities, including net investment income earned on such investments, Radian Group's principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries; and (iii) as further described below, our $350 million of remaining availability under our unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders.
Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under our $500 million unsecured revolving credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and other subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. During the three months ended March 31, 2026, we drew $200 million on the facility in connection with the Inigo acquisition and repaid $50 million prior to the end of the first quarter of 2026. At March 31, 2026, $150 million was outstanding under the facility. As of March 31, 2026, we were in compliance with our covenants under the unsecured revolving credit facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2025 Form 10-K for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.
In connection with our Mortgage Conduit business, Radian Mortgage Capital entered into the Master Repurchase Agreements to finance the acquisition of residential mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets, which are included in assets held for sale on our condensed consolidated balance sheets. In addition, Radian Group entered into Parent Guarantees guaranteeing the obligations under the Master Repurchase Agreements. Following the decision to wind down our Mortgage Conduit business, two of the Master Repurchase Agreements and the related Parent Guarantees have been terminated. We expect the other two Master Repurchase Agreements and related Parent Guarantees to terminate by the end of the third quarter of 2026 in connection with the completion of the wind-down process. See Note 18 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
As of March 31, 2026, we expect Radian Group's principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of $450 million principal amount of our outstanding Senior Notes due 2027; (ii) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (iii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations, including interest payments to Radian Guaranty under the terms of the Intercompany Note, as well as potential amounts to repay all or a portion of borrowings under our credit facility; (iv) investments to support our business strategy and to expand and diversify our revenue streams, including, if needed, capital contributions to our subsidiaries; and (v) the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which currently are $0.255 per share, and which remain subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies.
In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $625 million aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years and of the $600 million that we borrowed from Radian Guaranty pursuant to the Intercompany Note to fund a portion of the purchase price of the Inigo acquisition. See "Capitalization-Holding Company" below for details of our debt maturity profile.
Radian Group's liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) potential repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below; (ii) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations, including principal due on the Intercompany Note; and (iii) potential payments pursuant to the Parent Guarantees.
For additional information about related risks and uncertainties, see "The use of the Intercompany Note to fund a portion of the Inigo acquisition reduced our liquidity and Radian Guaranty's PMIERs Cushion and subjects us to certain conditions and
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
compliance obligations associated with the Intercompany Note which could adversely affect us and our financial condition;" "Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations;" and "Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty's eligibility could reduce our available liquidity" under "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our 2025 Form 10-K.
In addition to Radian Group's existing sources of liquidity to fund its obligations, we may decide to seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.
Inigo Acquisition. On February 2, 2026, the Company completed its strategic acquisition of Inigo, which reduced both available and total liquidity by $1.65 billion, representing the cash portion of the consideration paid for the acquisition. Radian funded the acquisition from Radian Group's available liquidity sources (including proceeds of the Intercompany Note) combined with funds from our $200 million draw on our unsecured revolving credit facility.
Discontinued Operations. In the event the cash flows from operations of our businesses held for sale are insufficient to fund all of their needs, Radian Group may have to provide additional funds in the form of additional capital contributions or other support. No such contributions were made to our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses during the three months ended March 31, 2026. Rather, these businesses distributed $46 million in returns of capital to Radian Group during the first quarter of 2026.
Share Repurchases. During the three months ended March 31, 2026, the Company repurchased 1.5 million shares of Radian Group common stock under programs authorized by Radian Group's board of directors, at a total cost of $50 million, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Our quarterly dividend is currently $0.255 per share. Based on our outstanding shares of common stock and our current dividend level, which our board of directors may change at any time, we would require approximately $138 million in the aggregate to pay dividends for the next 12 months, plus an incremental amount for dividend equivalents that will fluctuate based on final shares vested under our performance-based RSU programs. So long as no default or event of default exists under our revolving credit facility or the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. See Note 16 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors' discretion and determination.
Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its U.S. principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group's outstanding third-party debt obligations. Operating expenses and interest expense on Radian Group's third-party debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during the three months ended March 31, 2026, of $29 million and $18 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by Radian Group's subsidiaries. We expect these expense-sharing arrangements to remain in effect for 2026 and beyond. The expense-sharing arrangements, as amended, between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time and the amounts allocated under the agreements may change.
Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our U.S.-based operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group's consolidated federal tax payment obligation. There were no tax-sharing agreement payments received by Radian Group from its subsidiaries during the three months ended March 31, 2026.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Capitalization-Holding Company
The following table presents our holding company capital structure.
|
Capital structure |
||||||||
|
(In thousands, except per-share amounts and ratios) |
March 31, |
December 31, |
||||||
|
Debt |
||||||||
|
Senior Notes due 2027 |
$ |
450,000 |
$ |
450,000 |
||||
|
Senior Notes due 2029 |
625,000 |
625,000 |
||||||
|
Revolving credit facility |
150,000 |
- |
||||||
|
Unamortized discount and debt issuance costs |
(6,426 |
) |
(7,092 |
) |
||||
|
Total |
1,218,574 |
1,067,908 |
||||||
|
Stockholders' equity |
4,809,261 |
4,781,514 |
||||||
|
Total capitalization |
$ |
6,027,835 |
$ |
5,849,422 |
||||
|
Holding company debt-to-capital ratio (1) |
20.2 |
% |
18.3 |
% |
||||
|
Shares outstanding |
134,845 |
135,498 |
||||||
|
Book value per share |
$ |
35.67 |
$ |
35.29 |
||||
Stockholders' equity increased by $28 million from December 31, 2025, to March 31, 2026. The net increase in stockholders' equity for the three months ended March 31, 2026, resulted primarily from our net income of $124 million and $24 million of equity awards and common stock issued in connection with the Inigo acquisition. These were partially offset by: (i) a net increase in unrealized losses on investment securities of $40 million as a result of increases in market interest rates during the period; (ii) share repurchases of $50 million, excluding related excise taxes due; and (iii) dividend and dividend equivalents of $35 million.
The increase in book value per share from $35.29 at December 31, 2025, to $35.67 at March 31, 2026, was primarily due to an increase of $0.92 per share attributable to our net income for the three months ended March 31, 2026, partially offset by: (i) a decrease of $0.29 per share due to a net increase in unrealized losses in our available for sale securities, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2026, and (ii) a decrease of $0.26 per share attributable to dividends and dividend equivalents.
We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders. We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group's debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving credit facilities. In the past, we have repurchased or exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.
Mortgage Segment
Historically, one of the primary demands for liquidity in our Mortgage segment is the payment of claims, net of reinsurance, including from commutations and settlements. See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Financial Statements for information on our mortgage insurance reserve for losses and LAE, which represents our best estimate for the costs of settling future claims on currently defaulted mortgage loans.
Other principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage segment are expected to include: (i) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (ii) repayments of FHLB advances; (iii) distributions from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, including returns of capital and recurring ordinary dividends; and (iv) taxes, including potential payments to Radian Group pursuant to the tax sharing agreement.
The principal sources of liquidity in our Mortgage segment currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities and (ii) FHLB advances. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by Radian Guaranty, as well as our other immaterial mortgage insurance subsidiaries, will provide them with the funds necessary to satisfy their respective needs for the foreseeable future. Future sources of liquidity also are expected to include interest payments received from Radian Group on the $600 million Intercompany Note and may also include, if necessary, capital contributions from Radian Group or principal repayment of the Intercompany Note.
As of March 31, 2026, Radian Guaranty maintained claims paying resources of $6.1 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders' surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Radian Guaranty's Risk-to-capital as of March 31, 2026, was 10.2 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At March 31, 2026, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders' surplus of $657 million. This balance includes a $1.1 billion benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. In our 2025 Form 10-K, see both Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and "Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty's eligibility could reduce our available liquidity" under "Item 1A. Risk Factors" for more information.
Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At March 31, 2026, Radian Guaranty's Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $5.4 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $1.6 billion, or 41%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets of $5.4 billion and a PMIERs Cushion of $1.6 billion, or 41%, at December 31, 2025. See "The use of the Intercompany Note to fund a portion of the Inigo acquisition reduced our liquidity and Radian Guaranty's PMIERs Cushion and subjects us to certain conditions and compliance obligations associated with the Intercompany Note which could adversely affect us and our financial condition" under "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our 2025 Form 10-K.
Despite holding assets above the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian's mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. Under Pennsylvania's insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer's positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.
In the first quarter of 2026, Radian Guaranty paid $140 million in ordinary dividends to Radian Group, and we expect Radian Guaranty to maintain the ability to pay dividends during the remainder of 2026 and for the foreseeable future. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2025 Form 10-K for additional information on our statutory dividend restrictions and contingency reserve requirements.
As noted above, Radian Group paid a portion of the cash consideration for the Inigo acquisition with proceeds from the Intercompany Note that was approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Radian Guaranty is required to comply with certain conditions while the Intercompany Note is outstanding, including, most notably, obtaining prior approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department for all dividends paid by Radian Guaranty for a period of three years (which we may request to be reduced or the Pennsylvania Insurance Department may, in certain circumstances, extend for up to five years) and maintaining a minimum policyholders' surplus of $500 million, among other conditions.
Radian Guaranty is a member of the FHLB. As a member, it may borrow from the FHLB, subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments.
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Radian's current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management and liquidity purposes. As of March 31, 2026, there were $50 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Specialty Segment
The principal demands for liquidity in our Specialty segment arise from the financial obligations associated with its insurance contracts and other financial liabilities. The Specialty segment is exposed to daily calls on its available cash resources, primarily from claims payments under insurance contracts.
Due to the potential timing mismatch between the payment of gross claims and the receipt of related reinsurance recoveries, gross claims payments are considered a principal demand in our liquidity planning. The occurrence of large loss events may require us to liquidate investments at times when market conditions are unfavorable, which could result in the realization of capital losses.
The principal sources of liquidity in our Specialty segment consist of premium receipts, collections of reinsurance recoverables, investment income and proceeds from the sale and redemption of investments.
We expect that our liquidity needs over the next twelve months will be met through cash flows generated from operating activities. However, due to a combination of market conditions, changes in investment yields and the nature of our business, which includes exposure to infrequent but potentially significant loss events, future cash flows from operating activities cannot be predicted with certainty and may fluctuate materially between individual quarters and years.
As of March 31, 2026, in our Specialty segment we held total cash, restricted cash and investments of approximately $2.5 billion. Our Specialty segment investment portfolio is primarily composed of cash, high-grade fixed income securities and highly liquid money market funds, which we believe provide an appropriate level of liquidity to support our obligations as they come due.
Our Specialty business is written through the Lloyd's market and each member of Lloyd's is required to provide capital to Lloyd's in the form of FAL, which is held in trust for the benefit of policyholders. FAL is intended primarily to provide additional resources if syndicate assets are insufficient to meet participating members' underwriting liabilities. In addition, Lloyd's central assets are available, at the discretion of the Council of Lloyd's, to meet valid claims that cannot be met from the resources of any individual member.
As of March 31, 2026, Inigo had a $620 million letter of credit pledged as FAL and no amounts have been called upon to date.
For more information on Lloyd's capital requirements, see "The amount of capital that we must hold to maintain our various capital requirements can vary significantly from time to time and the capital needed to maintain those requirements may not be available or may only be available on unfavorable terms" under "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our 2025 Form 10-K.
Ratings
Ratings independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations often are considered in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. Radian Group is currently assigned credit ratings, and Radian Guaranty is currently assigned financial strength ratings, each as set forth in the chart below, which are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change. See "Potential downgrades by rating agencies to the current financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty and/or the credit ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company" under "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our 2025 Form 10-K.
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Ratings |
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Subsidiary |
Fitch (1) |
Moody's (1) |
S&P (1) |
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Radian Group (2) |
BBB |
Baa3 |
BBB- |
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Radian Guaranty |
A |
A3 |
A- |
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Our Specialty segment operates in the Lloyd's market, which is rated as an insurance market by several major rating agencies, reflecting the financial strength of the Lloyd's market as a whole, including its centralized capital structure. All Lloyd's syndicates, including Syndicate 1301, share the financial strength ratings assigned to the Lloyd's market, as policies written by Lloyd's syndicates are ultimately supported by the market's common security arrangements. The Lloyd's market ratings apply at the syndicate level rather than at the individual corporate member or managing agent level.
Critical Accounting Estimates
In preparing the financial statements in this report, management has used available information, including our past history, industry standards and the current and projected economic and housing environments, among other factors, in forming its estimates, assumptions and judgments, giving due consideration to materiality. Because the use of estimates is inherent in GAAP, actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, other companies may use different estimates, which may impact comparability of our results of operations to those of companies in similar businesses.
As of the filing date of this report, there were no significant changes in our critical accounting estimates from those discussed in our 2025 Form 10-K, except as follows, which are critical accounting estimates introduced as a result of the acquisition of Inigo.
See Note 2 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for accounting pronouncements issued but not yet adopted that may impact the Company's consolidated financial position, earnings, cash flows or disclosures.
Reserves for Losses and LAE-Specialty
The measurement of the reserves for losses and LAE for our specialty insurance and reinsurance portfolio requires significant judgment and involves estimates and assumptions about future events that can have a material impact on the amounts recognized in the condensed consolidated financial statements. The reserves for losses and LAE include management's estimate of the ultimate cost of settling all claims incurred but unpaid at the balance sheet date, whether reported or not, as well as related internal and external claims handling expenses.
Estimating the reserves for losses and LAE is inherently complex and subjective due to uncertainty regarding the frequency, severity and timing of claims payments. This complexity is particularly pronounced for IBNR, for which limited claims-specific information is available at the reporting date. As a result, considerable judgment is required in estimating the amount of loss associated with these claims.
The IBNR provision is estimated using actuarial projection techniques, which generally project from past experience the development of claims over time in view of the likely ultimate claims to be experienced and, for more recent underwriting, taking into consideration variations in business accepted and the underlying terms and conditions. For more recent underwriting years, where historical data is less developed and greater volatility may exist, estimates may also incorporate output from pricing, rating and other underwriting models, as well as assessments of current underwriting and market conditions.
In establishing the reserve for losses and LAE, senior management evaluates the actuarial best estimate and regularly reviews the assumptions, methodologies and resulting estimates, including comparisons of actual claims experience to prior estimates, and adjusts the provision as necessary to reflect new information and emerging trends.
Due to the significant judgments involved, actual claims settlement costs may differ materially from amounts currently recorded.
Premium Revenue Recognition-Specialty
For certain insurance contracts in our specialty insurance portfolio, premium revenue is initially recognized based on estimates of premiums that are not yet fully determinable at inception. The estimation of future premiums requires significant judgment and involves assumptions regarding future policy activity, exposure levels and claims experience. As a result, actual premiums ultimately earned may differ from amounts initially recorded, and such differences could be material to our financial results.
Estimated premium income is developed using a combination of underwriters' best estimates, observable historical experience and other relevant data. These estimates reflect management's assessment of expected future premium amounts
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
based on the terms of the underlying insurance contracts and anticipated exposure to insurance risk. Premium estimates are reviewed regularly by underwriting personnel and are subject to oversight by actuarial and finance teams, who evaluate the reasonableness of the assumptions used and update estimates as additional experience and information becomes available.
Certain contracts include variable premium features under which the ultimate premium is contingent upon claims experience or other measures of insurance risk exposure. To the extent sufficient data is available to enable a reliable estimate, expected variable premiums are included in premium revenue based on actuarially supported estimates of future claims and exposure. These estimates are inherently uncertain and may be subject to volatility, particularly in periods of changing loss experience or economic conditions.
Management reassesses estimated premiums at each reporting date and records adjustments to premium revenue as estimates are updated to reflect actual experience and revised expectations. If future premium activity, claims experience or exposure differs materially from assumptions used in establishing estimated premiums, the timing and amount of premium revenue recognized could be materially impacted.
Business Combinations
The accounting for business combinations requires significant judgment and the use of estimates, particularly in determining the fair value of assets acquired and liabilities assumed and in evaluating the recoverability of goodwill and other intangible assets. On February 2, 2026, we completed the acquisition of Inigo, which was accounted for using the acquisition method in accordance with the accounting standard regarding business combinations (ASC 805). As a result, the assets acquired and liabilities assumed were recorded at their estimated fair values as of the acquisition date.
Fair value measurements in a business combination involve the use of valuation techniques that require management to make assumptions about future events and market participant inputs, including projected premiums, claims, expenses, discount rates, attrition rates and expected cash flows. Significant judgment is required in estimating the fair value of identifiable intangible assets, including VOBA, broker relationships, Lloyd's syndicate capacity and related rights, brand and technology, as well as in determining the amount of goodwill recognized.
The purchase price allocation for the Inigo acquisition, including the valuation of intangible assets and the recognition of goodwill, is preliminary and remains subject to adjustment during the measurement period, which may extend up to twelve months from the acquisition date. Changes to facts and circumstances, including additional information obtained during the measurement period, could result in adjustments to the fair values assigned to assets acquired and liabilities assumed, including goodwill, with a corresponding impact on future amortization expense and impairment assessments.
While management believes the assumptions and estimates used in the acquisition accounting are reasonable, actual results may differ from those estimates. Such differences could have a material impact on our condensed consolidated financial statements and results of operations in future periods. Additional information regarding the Inigo acquisition, including the preliminary purchase price allocation and significant valuation assumptions, is provided in Note 3 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Income Taxes
The determination of the provision for income taxes requires significant judgment in the application of complex income tax laws and regulations across multiple jurisdictions.
The accounting for income taxes related to business combinations requires additional judgment. In connection with acquisitions, management is required to determine the appropriate tax treatment of the transaction, including whether certain tax elections are made that affect the tax basis of acquired assets and liabilities. These determinations impact the amount and timing of deferred tax assets and liabilities recognized at the acquisition date and in subsequent periods. Changes in assumptions related to the tax structure of an acquisition or the interpretation of applicable tax laws could result in changes to deferred tax balances and income tax expense.
We also evaluate uncertain tax positions and recognize liabilities when, based on Radian's judgment, it is more likely than not that a tax position will not be sustained based on the technical merits of the position. The evaluation of uncertain tax positions requires judgment in the interpretation of tax laws and regulations and in assessing the relevant facts and circumstances. Changes in tax laws, business results or management's assumptions and judgments could materially affect the
Part I. Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
provision for income taxes in future periods. Additional information regarding income taxes and uncertain tax positions is included in Note 3 and Note 10 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.