MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes included in "Financial Information"of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (this "Form 10-Q") and the Company's Form 10-K for the three years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022. In addition to historical consolidated financial information, the following discussion contains forward-looking statements that reflect our plans, estimates, and beliefs that involve significant risks and uncertainties. Our actual results could differ materially from those stated and implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to those differences include those discussed below and elsewhere in this Form 10-Q and in our 2024 Form 10-K, particularly under the headings "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements."
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Third quarter 2025 net income was $57 million ($1.41 per diluted share) compared with $95 million ($2.27 per diluted share) for the third quarter of 2024. Net sales were $846 million in the current quarter compared with $965 million in the prior year. Cash from operations was $87 million compared to $163 million in the third quarter of last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $151 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18%, compared to $193 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20% in the third quarter of 2024. Free cash flow was $33 million compared to $119 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Comparing our earnings performance in the third quarter of 2025 to the prior year, volume decreased, primarily due to lower North America volume resulting from International Paper's Georgetown mill closure. Price and mix were unfavorable in Europe. More favorable operations and costs were partially offset by higher input and transportation costs. We continued to return cash to shareowners through an $18 million dividend payment and repurchased $42 million in shares during the quarter.
Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of 2025, we expect price and mix to be unfavorable primarily driven by paper prices in Europe and mix across our regions. Volume is expected to be favorable, largely due to Latin America and North America. Operations and costs are projected to be unfavorable primarily due to seasonally higher costs. We expect input and transportation costs to remain stable. Lastly, planned maintenance outage costs will be unfavorable by $18 million as we have one planned outage in North America during the fourth quarter.
BUSINESS SEGMENT RESULTS
Overview
Management provides business segment operating profit, a non-GAAP financial measure, to supplement our GAAP financial information, and it should be considered in addition to, but not instead of, the financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. Management believes that business segment operating profit provides investors and analysts useful insights into our operating performance. Business segment operating profit is reconciled to Income before income taxes, the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Business segment operating profit may be determined or calculated differently by other companies and therefore may not be comparable among companies.
The following table presents a comparison of Income before taxes to business segment operating profit:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
|
In millions
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Income Before Income Taxes
|
|
$
|
88
|
|
|
$
|
132
|
|
|
$
|
141
|
|
|
$
|
305
|
|
|
Interest (income) expense, net
|
|
9
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
32
|
|
|
Net special items expense (income) (b)
|
|
1
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
Business Segment Operating Profit (a)
|
|
$
|
98
|
|
|
$
|
150
|
|
|
$
|
172
|
|
|
$
|
344
|
|
|
Europe
|
|
$
|
(21)
|
|
|
$
|
3
|
|
|
$
|
(83)
|
|
|
$
|
7
|
|
|
Latin America
|
|
35
|
|
|
49
|
|
|
63
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
North America
|
|
84
|
|
|
98
|
|
|
192
|
|
|
237
|
|
|
Business Segment Operating Profit (Loss) (a)
|
|
$
|
98
|
|
|
$
|
150
|
|
|
$
|
172
|
|
|
$
|
344
|
|
(a) We define business segment operating profit as our income before income taxes calculated in accordance with GAAP, excluding net interest expense (income) and net special items. We believe that business segment operating profit is an important indicator of operating performance as it is a measure reported to our management for purposes of making decisions about allocating resources to our business segments and assessing the performance of our business segments.
(b) Net special items represent income or expenses that are incurred periodically, rather than on a regular basis. Net special items in the periods presented primarily include a gain to adjust the recognition of a foreign value-added tax refund in Brazil, charges related to the termination of the Georgetown mill offtake agreement, environmental reserves in Brazil, certain severance costs related to our salaried workforce, legal fees related to the Brazil Tax Dispute and integration costs related to the Nymölla acquisition.
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Three Months Ended September 30, 2024
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
The following tables present net sales and operating profit, which is the Company's measure of business segment profitability, for each of the Company's segments. See Note 15 Financial Information by Business Segmentfor more information on the Company's segments.
Europe
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
In millions
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Sales
|
|
$
|
184
|
|
|
$
|
194
|
|
|
$
|
555
|
|
|
$
|
607
|
|
|
Operating Profit (Loss)
|
|
$
|
(21)
|
|
|
$
|
3
|
|
|
$
|
(83)
|
|
|
$
|
7
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Three Months Ended September 30, 2024
Our Europe business segment sales decreased $10 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to unfavorable sales price and mix ($26 million), partially offset by higher volumes ($2 million) and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Europe operating profit was $24 million lower than the same period in 2024, primarily driven by lower sales price and mix ($26 million) and higher operating ($1 million) and input costs ($4 million), primarily for wood and energy, which more than offset higher volumes ($2 million), lower planned maintenance outages ($1 million) and lower unabsorbed costs due to less economic downtime ($4 million).
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
Our Europe business segment sales decreased $52 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower sales price and mix ($52 million) and lower volumes ($23 million), partially offset by favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Europe operating profit was $90 million lower than the same period in 2024, primarily driven by lower sales price and mix ($51 million), higher planned maintenance outages ($39 million) and higher input costs ($8 million), primarily for wood and energy, which more than offset lower unabsorbed costs due to less economic downtime ($7 million) and higher volumes ($1 million).
Latin America
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
In millions
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Sales
|
|
$
|
228
|
|
|
$
|
247
|
|
|
$
|
634
|
|
|
$
|
708
|
|
|
Operating Profit
|
|
$
|
35
|
|
|
$
|
49
|
|
|
$
|
63
|
|
|
$
|
100
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Three Months Ended September 30, 2024
Our Latin America business segment sales decreased $19 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily driven by lower volumes ($14 million) and a decrease in sale price and mix ($7 million), partially offset by favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Operating profit for Latin America was $14 million lower than the same period in 2024, primarily driven by lower sales price and mix ($7 million), higher operating costs ($13 million) and lower volumes ($1 million), which were partially offset by lower input costs ($7 million), primarily for purchased pulp, energy and distribution costs.
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
Our Latin America business segment sales decreased $74 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily driven by lower volumes ($40 million), a decrease in sale price and mix ($12 million) and unfavorable foreign exchange impacts.
Operating profit for Latin America was $37 million lower than the same period in 2024, primarily driven by lower sales price and mix ($12 million), lower volumes ($9 million), higher operating costs ($16 million) and higher planned maintenance outages ($3 million), partially offset by lower input costs ($3 million), primarily for energy and distribution costs.
North America
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
In millions
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Sales
|
|
$
|
450
|
|
|
$
|
532
|
|
|
$
|
1,307
|
|
|
$
|
1,515
|
|
|
Operating Profit
|
|
$
|
84
|
|
|
$
|
98
|
|
|
$
|
192
|
|
|
$
|
237
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Three Months Ended September 30, 2024
Our North America business segment sales decreased $82 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to a decrease in volumes ($90 million) which was partially offset by an increase in sales price and mix ($8 million).
Operating profit for North America was $14 million lower than the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower volumes ($23 million) and higher input costs ($11 million), primarily for energy, chemicals and distribution costs, which more than offset higher sales price and mix ($8 million), lower unabsorbed costs due to less economic downtime ($11 million) and lower operating costs ($1 million).
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
Our North America business segment sales decreased $208 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to a decrease in volumes ($219 million) which was partially offset by an increase in sales price and mix ($12 million).
Operating profit for North America was $45 million lower than the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower volumes ($58 million) and higher operating ($4 million) and input costs ($17 million), primarily for energy and chemicals, which more than offset higher sales price and mix ($12 million), lower planned maintenance outages ($4 million) and lower unabsorbed costs due to less economic downtime ($18 million).
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Management provides Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, to supplement our GAAP financial information, and it should be considered in addition to, but not instead of, the financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. Management uses this measure in managing the operating performance of our business and believes that Adjusted EBITDA provides investors and analysts meaningful insights into our operating performance and is a relevant metric for the third-party debt. Adjusted EBITDA is reconciled to Net income, the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Adjusted EBITDA may be determined or calculated differently by other companies and therefore may not be comparable among companies.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
In millions
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Net Income
|
$
|
57
|
|
|
$
|
95
|
|
|
$
|
99
|
|
|
$
|
221
|
|
|
Income tax provision
|
31
|
|
|
37
|
|
|
42
|
|
|
84
|
|
|
Interest (income) expense, net
|
9
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
32
|
|
|
Depreciation, amortization and cost of timber harvested
|
49
|
|
|
39
|
|
|
134
|
|
|
115
|
|
|
Stock-based compensation
|
4
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
Net special items expense (income) (a)
|
1
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA (b)
|
$
|
151
|
|
|
$
|
193
|
|
|
$
|
323
|
|
|
$
|
475
|
|
|
Net Sales
|
$
|
846
|
|
|
$
|
965
|
|
|
$
|
2,461
|
|
|
$
|
2,803
|
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
|
18
|
%
|
|
20
|
%
|
|
13
|
%
|
|
17
|
%
|
(a) Net special items represent income or expenses that are incurred periodically, rather than on a regular basis. Net special items in the periods presented primarily include a gain to adjust the recognition of a foreign value-added tax refund in Brazil, charges related to the termination of the Georgetown mill offtake agreement, environmental reserves in Brazil, certain severance costs related to our salaried workforce, legal fees related to the Brazil Tax Dispute and integration costs related to the Nymölla acquisition.
(b) We define Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) as net income (GAAP), net of taxes plus the sum of income taxes, net interest expense (income), depreciation, amortization and cost of timber harvested, stock-based compensation, and, when applicable for the periods reported, special items.
Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure and the most directly comparable GAAP measure is cash provided by operating activities. Management believes that free cash flow is useful to investors as a liquidity measure because it measures the amount of cash generated that is available, after reinvesting in the business, to maintain a strong balance sheet and service debt, and return cash to shareowners. It should not be inferred that the entire free cash flow amount is available for discretionary expenditures. By adjusting for certain items that are not indicative of the Company's ongoing performance, free cash flow also enables investors to perform meaningful comparisons between past and present periods.
The following is a reconciliation of Cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
In millions
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Cash provided by operating activities
|
|
$
|
87
|
|
|
$
|
163
|
|
|
$
|
174
|
|
|
$
|
305
|
|
|
Adjustments:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash invested in capital projects
|
|
(54)
|
|
|
(44)
|
|
|
(168)
|
|
|
(157)
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow
|
|
$
|
33
|
|
|
$
|
119
|
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
|
$
|
148
|
|
The non-GAAP financial measures presented in this Form 10-Q as referenced above have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for an analysis of our results calculated in accordance with GAAP. In addition, because not all companies utilize identical calculations, the Company's presentation of non-GAAP measures in this Form 10-Q may not be comparable to similarly titled measures disclosed by other companies, including companies in the same industry as the Company.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Overview
Our ability to fund the Company's cash needs depends on our ongoing ability to generate cash from operations and obtain financing on acceptable terms. Based upon our history of generating strong operating cash flow, we believe we will be able to meet our short-term liquidity needs. We believe we will meet known or reasonably likely future cash requirements through the combination of cash flows from operating activities, available cash balances and available borrowings through the issuance of third-party debt, as needed.
A major factor in our liquidity and capital resource planning is our generation of operating cash flow, which is highly sensitive to changes in the pricing and demand for our products. While changes in key operating cash costs, such as raw materials, energy, mill outages and distribution expenses do have an effect on operating cash generation, we believe that our focus on commercial and operational excellence, as well as our ability to manage costs and working capital, will provide sufficient cash flow generation to meet our operational and capital spending needs.
The terms of the agreements governing our debt contain customary limitations as well as other provisions. These provisions may also restrict our business and, in the event we cannot meet the terms of those provisions, may adversely impact our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.
Operating Activities
Cash provided by operating activities totaled $174 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared with cash provided by operating activities of $305 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. The decrease in cash provided by operating activities in 2025 relates primarily to lower net income and timing of cash flows related to working capital.
Cash used for working capital components (accounts and notes receivable, inventories, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, and other) was $66 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared with cash used for working capital components of $44 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. The nine months ended September 30, 2025 working capital components primarily reflect $69 million of cash provided by our accounts and notes receivables, offset by $34 million, $63 million and $38 million of cash used for our inventories, accounts payable and accrued liabilities and other operating activities, respectively. The nine months ended September 30, 2024 working capital components primarily reflect $28 million, $21 million and $11 million of cash used for our accounts and notes receivables, inventories and other operating activities, respectively, offset by $16 million of cash provided by our accounts payable and accrued liabilities balances.
Investment Activities
The total cash used for investing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was consistent with the nine months ended September 30, 2024.
The following table shows capital spending by business segment:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
|
|
In millions
|
2025
|
|
2024
|
|
Europe
|
$
|
26
|
|
|
$
|
17
|
|
|
Latin America
|
92
|
|
|
102
|
|
|
North America
|
49
|
|
|
37
|
|
|
Corporate
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
Capital Spending
|
$
|
168
|
|
|
$
|
157
|
|
Capital spending primarily consists of purchases of machinery and equipment related to our global mill operations and reforestation and timber purchase costs in Latin America.
Financing Activities
Cash used for financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 primarily reflects the payments of $29 million, $8 million, $9 million, and $16 million on our outstanding principal debt balances for the AR Securitization, Term Loan A, Term Loan F-2, and Revolving Credit Facility, respectively. These amounts are primarily offset by draws on our AR Securitization and Revolving Credit Facility of $41 million and $23 million, respectively. During the nine months ended September 30, 2025 the Company also paid $55 million in dividends and repurchased $82 million of our shares pursuant to our share repurchase program. Cash used for financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 primarily reflects the payments of $117 million, $44 million, $23 million, and $10 million on our outstanding principal debt balances for Term Loan F, Term Loan A, the AR Securitization, and Revolving Credit Facility, respectively. Additionally, payments of $93 million were made to redeem, at a premium, the full value of our 7.00% Senior Notes and pay $5 million in debt issuance costs in connection with the debt refinancing in the third quarter. These amounts are primarily offset by the issuance of Term Loan F-2, draws on our Revolving Credit Facility, and AR Securitization of $235 million, $10 million, and $6 million, respectively. During the nine months ended September 30, 2024 the Company also paid $43 million in dividends and repurchased $30 million of our shares pursuant to our share repurchase program.
Contractual Obligations
Our 2024 Form 10-K included disclosures of our contractual obligations and commitments as of December 31, 2024. We continue to make the contractually required payments, and, therefore, the 2024 obligations and commitments described in our 2024 Form 10-K have been reduced by the required payments.
Capital Expenditures
For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we have invested approximately $168 million, or 6.8% of net sales, in total capital expenditures. Over that period, we spent approximately $124 million, or 5.0% of net sales, in maintenance, regulatory and reforestation capital expenditures, and approximately $44 million, or 1.8% of net sales, in high-return capital projects. Our annual maintenance, regulatory and reforestation capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of approximately $165 to $190 million per year (before inflation) for the next several years, which we believe will be sufficient to maintain our operations and productivity. In addition, we expect to spend approximately $55 million to $65 million on high-return projects in 2025.
PILLAR TWO DIRECTIVE
The Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development ("OECD") has been working on a project to act to prevent what it refers to as base erosion and profit shifting ("BEPS"). Most recently, the OECD, through an association of almost 140 countries known as the "inclusive framework," has announced a consensus to address, among other things, perceived challenges presented by global digital commerce ("Pillar 1") and the perceived need for a minimum global effective tax rate of 15% ("Pillar 2"). On December 15, 2022, the European Union formally adopted the Pillar Two Directive, and a majority of EU member states have enacted the directive into domestic law as of December 31, 2023. Other countries are taking similar actions. We have evaluated the developments and do not anticipate any material impact on our financial position, results of operations, or cash flows.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the Company to establish accounting policies and to make estimates that affect both the amounts and timing of the recording of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. Some of these estimates require subjective judgments about matters that are inherently uncertain.
Accounting policies whose application may have a significant effect on the reported results of operations and financial position of the Company, and that can require judgments by management that affect their application, include the accounting for impairment or disposal of long-lived assets and goodwill and income taxes.
The Company has included in the 2024 Form 10-K a discussion of these critical accounting policies, which are important to the portrayal of the Company's financial condition and results of operations and require management's judgments. The Company has not made any changes in these critical accounting policies during the first nine months of 2025.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains information that includes or is based upon forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements forecast or state expectations concerning future events. These statements often can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They typically use words such as "anticipate," "assume," "could," "estimate," "expect," "project," "intend," "plan," "believe," "should," "will" and other words and terms of similar meaning, or they relate to future periods. Some examples of forward-looking statements include those relating to our business and operating outlook, future obligations and anticipated expenditures.
Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Any or all forward-looking statements may turn out to be incorrect, and actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and the current economic environment. They can be affected by inaccurate assumptions or by known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult to predict. Although it is not possible to identify all of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, the impact of the following factors, among others, on us or on our suppliers or customers, could cause our actual results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements: deterioration of global and regional economic, civil and political conditions and trade relations including the imposition of tariffs or other trade protections; physical, financial and reputational risks associated with climate conditions and climate change, including adverse environmental events such as floods and fires; reduced demand for our products due to the cyclical nature of the paper industry, the industry-wide secular decline in paper demand, or competition from other businesses; increased costs or reduced availability of the raw materials, energy, transportation (truck, rail and ocean) and labor needed to manufacture and deliver our products; a material disruption at any of our manufacturing facilities; information technology risks including potential cybersecurity breaches affecting us or third parties with which we do business; extensive environmental, tax and other laws and regulations in Brazil, Europe, the United States and other jurisdictions to which we are subject, including our compliance costs and risk of liability and loss for violations; our reliance on a small number of customers; and the factors disclosed in Item 1A. Risk Factorsof our 2024 Form 10-K, as such disclosures may be amended, supplemented or superseded from time to time by other reports we file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), including subsequent annual reports on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.
We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made in this quarterly report to reflect subsequent events or circumstances or actual outcomes.