06/02/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 06/02/2026 09:34
ITEM 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
MARKET RISK
Our business and global capital market activities give rise to market sensitive assets and liabilities. This sensitivity is considered market risk and is caused by changes in market prices of our financial instruments on the balance sheet which is driven by various market factors such as interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, and other market driven factors. Market risk is inherent in the financial instruments associated with our operations such as cash equivalents, finance receivables, debt and equity securities, debt, and derivatives.
ALCO is responsible for the execution of our market risk management strategies and their activities are governed by written policies and procedures. The principal objective of asset and liability management is to manage the sensitivity of net interest margin to changing interest rates. When evaluating risk management strategies, we consider a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, management's risk tolerance, market conditions and portfolio composition.
We manage our exposure to certain market risks through our regular operating and financing activities and when deemed appropriate, through the use of derivative instruments. These instruments are used to manage underlying exposures; we do not use derivatives for trading, market making or speculative purposes. Refer to "Derivative Instruments" within Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations for information on risk management strategies, corporate governance and derivatives usage.
Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk can result from timing differences in the maturity or re-pricing of assets and liabilities. Changes in the level and volatility of market interest rate curves also create interest rate risk as the re-pricing of assets and liabilities are a function of implied forward interest rates. We are also exposed to basis risk, which is the difference in re-pricing characteristics of two floating rate indices.
We use sensitivity simulations to assess and manage interest rate risk. Our simulations allow us to analyze the sensitivity of our existing portfolio as well as the expected sensitivity of our new business. We measure the potential volatility in our net interest margin and manage our interest rate risk by assessing the dollar impact given a 100-basis point increase or decrease in the implied yield curve. We have established risk limits to monitor and control our exposures. ALCO reviews the amount at risk and prescribes steps, if needed, to mitigate our exposure. Our current exposure is considered within tolerable limits.
Sensitivity Model Assumptions
Interest rate scenarios were derived from implied forward curves based on market expectations. Internal and external data sources were used for the reinvestment of maturing assets, refinancing of maturing debt and replacement of maturing derivatives. The prepayment of retail and lease contracts was based on our historical experience and attrition projections, voluntary or involuntary. We monitor our balance sheet positions, economic trends and market conditions, internal forecasts and expected business growth in an effort to maintain the reasonableness of the sensitivity model.
The table below reflects the potential 12-month change in pre-tax cash flows based on hypothetical movements in future market interest rates. The sensitivity analysis assumes instantaneous, parallel shifts in interest rate yield curves. These interest rate scenarios do not represent management's view of future interest rate movements. In reality, interest rate movements are rarely instantaneous or parallel and rates could move more or less than the rate scenarios reflected in the table below. In situations where existing interest rates are below one percent, the assumption of a 100-basis point decrease in interest rates is subject to a floor of zero percent, which is reflected in the "-100bp" scenario for both March 31, 2026 and 2025.
|
Sensitivity analysis |
Immediate change in rates |
|||||||
|
(in millions) |
+100bp |
-100bp |
||||||
|
March 31, 2026 |
$ |
8.2 |
$ |
(5.6 |
) |
|||
|
March 31, 2025 |
$ |
18.6 |
$ |
(17.6 |
) |
|||
Our net interest cash flow sensitivity results show a slightly asset sensitive position as of both March 31, 2026 and March 31, 2025. We regularly assess the viability of our business and hedging strategies to reduce unacceptable risks to earnings and implement strategies to protect our net interest margins from the potential negative effects of changes in interest rates. We have established risk limits to monitor and control our exposures. Our current exposure is considered within tolerable limits.
Foreign Currency Risk
Foreign currency risk represents exposure to changes in the values of our current holdings and future cash flows denominated in other currencies. To meet our funding objectives, we issue fixed and variable rate debt denominated in a number of different currencies. Our policy is to minimize exposures to changes in foreign exchange rates. Currency exposure related to foreign currency debt is economically hedged at issuance through the execution of foreign currency swaps which effectively convert our obligations on foreign denominated debt into U.S. dollar denominated SOFR based payments. As a result, our economic exposure to foreign currency risk is minimized.
Certain equity investments in our investment securities portfolio are exposed to foreign currency risk. The equity investments may invest directly in foreign currencies, in securities that trade in and receive revenues in foreign currencies, or in financial derivatives that provide exposure to foreign currencies. The equity investments may also enter into foreign currency derivative contracts to hedge the currency exposure associated with some or all of the equity investments' securities. The market value of these holdings is translated into U.S. dollars based on the current exchange rates each business day. The effect of changes in foreign currency on our portfolio is reflected in the net asset value of the equity investment.
Derivative Counterparty Credit Risk
We manage derivative counterparty credit risk by maintaining policies for entering into derivative contracts, exercising our rights under our derivative contracts, requiring the posting of collateral and actively monitoring our exposure to counterparties.
All of our derivative counterparties to which we had credit exposure at March 31, 2026 were assigned investment grade ratings by a credit rating organization. Our counterparty credit risk could be adversely affected by deterioration of the global economy and financial distress in the banking industry.
Our ISDA Master Agreements permit multiple transactions to be cancelled and settled with a single net balance paid to either party in the event of default or other termination event outside the normal course of business, such as a ratings downgrade of either party to the contract. These ISDA Master Agreements also contain reciprocal collateral arrangements which help mitigate our exposure to the credit risk associated with our counterparties. As of March 31, 2026, we have daily valuation and collateral exchange arrangements with all of our counterparties. Our collateral agreements with substantially all our counterparties include a zero threshold, full collateralization requirement, which has significantly reduced counterparty credit risk exposure. Under our ISDA Master Agreements, cash is the only permissible form of collateral. Neither we nor our counterparties are required to hold collateral in a segregated account. Upon default, the collateral agreement grants the party in a net asset position the right to set-off amounts receivable against any posted collateral.
We also enter into centrally cleared derivatives which are subject to master netting agreements and perform valuation and margin exchange on a daily basis.
Issuer Credit Risk
Issuer credit risk represents exposures to changes in the creditworthiness of individual issuers or groups of issuers. Changes in economic conditions may expose us to issuer credit risk where the value of an asset may be adversely impacted by changes in the levels of credit spreads, by credit migration, or by defaults.
The following tables summarize our investments in marketable securities distribution by credit rating as of:
|
March 31, 2026 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Distribution by credit rating |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Amortized |
Fair |
BB |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
(Dollars in millions) |
cost |
value |
AAA |
AA |
A |
BBB |
or below |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Available-for-sale debt securities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
U.S. government and agency |
$ |
860 |
$ |
776 |
$ |
- |
$ |
776 |
$ |
- |
$ |
- |
$ |
- |
||||||||||||||
|
Foreign government and agency obligations |
28 |
27 |
- |
3 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Municipal debt securities |
7 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
- |
- |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Corporate debt securities |
489 |
459 |
- |
9 |
137 |
255 |
58 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Mortgage-backed securities |
265 |
256 |
45 |
178 |
16 |
- |
17 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Asset-backed securities |
155 |
152 |
35 |
22 |
38 |
26 |
31 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total available-for-sale |
$ |
1,804 |
$ |
1,676 |
$ |
81 |
$ |
992 |
$ |
201 |
$ |
288 |
$ |
114 |
||||||||||||||
|
Fixed income mutual funds |
$ |
1,950 |
$ |
- |
$ |
872 |
$ |
1,068 |
$ |
10 |
$ |
- |
||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
$ |
3,626 |
$ |
81 |
$ |
1,864 |
$ |
1,269 |
$ |
298 |
$ |
114 |
||||||||||||||||
|
March 31, 2025 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Distribution by credit rating |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Amortized |
Fair |
BB |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
(Dollars in millions) |
cost |
value |
AAA |
AA |
A |
BBB |
or below |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Available-for-sale debt securities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
U.S. government and agency obligations |
$ |
824 |
$ |
743 |
$ |
- |
$ |
743 |
$ |
- |
$ |
- |
$ |
- |
||||||||||||||
|
Foreign government and agency obligations |
21 |
20 |
- |
3 |
5 |
2 |
10 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Municipal debt securities |
8 |
8 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
- |
- |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Commercial paper |
15 |
15 |
- |
- |
15 |
- |
- |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Corporate debt securities |
488 |
450 |
- |
3 |
130 |
255 |
62 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Mortgage-backed securities |
208 |
197 |
30 |
147 |
14 |
- |
6 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Asset-backed securities |
136 |
134 |
30 |
37 |
27 |
24 |
16 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total available-for-sale debt securities: |
$ |
1,700 |
$ |
1,567 |
$ |
61 |
$ |
939 |
$ |
192 |
$ |
281 |
$ |
94 |
||||||||||||||
|
Fixed income mutual funds |
$ |
1,867 |
$ |
378 |
$ |
467 |
$ |
1,013 |
$ |
- |
$ |
9 |
||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
$ |
3,434 |
$ |
439 |
$ |
1,406 |
$ |
1,205 |
$ |
281 |
$ |
103 |
||||||||||||||||
Equity Price Risk
We are exposed to equity price risk related to our investments in equity mutual funds included in our investment portfolio. These investments, classified as available-for-sale on our Consolidated Balance Sheet, consist of passively managed mutual funds that are designed to track the performance of major equity market indices. Fair market values of the equity investments are determined using a net asset value that is quoted in an active market.
We utilize the Value at Risk ("VaR") methodology to simulate the potential loss in fair value of our investment portfolio due to adverse market movements. The model is based on historical data for the previous year, assuming a holding period of 30 business days and a loss methodology approximating a 99 percent confidence interval.
The table below shows the VaR, excluding taxation impact, of our equity investment portfolio as of and for the period ending:
|
March 31, |
March 31, |
|||||||
|
(Dollars in millions) |
2026 |
2025 |
||||||
|
Average |
$ |
180 |
$ |
71 |
||||
|
Minimum |
$ |
80 |
$ |
45 |
||||
|
Maximum |
$ |
182 |
$ |
87 |
||||
These hypothetical scenarios, derived from historical market price fluctuations, represent an estimate of reasonably possible net losses and are not necessarily indicative of actual results that may occur. Additionally, the hypothetical scenarios do not represent the maximum possible loss or any expected loss that may occur, since actual future gains and losses will differ from estimates.