10/23/2024 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 10/23/2024 06:22
Revised 2024 Outlook
|
Previous 2024 Outlook
|
|||||||
(In thousands, except per share amounts) | Low | High | Low | High | ||||
PROG Holdings - Total Revenues | $ | 2,440,000 | $ | 2,460,000 | $ | 2,400,000 | $ | 2,450,000 |
PROG Holdings - Net Earnings | 165,500 | 170,500 | 110,500 | 116,000 | ||||
PROG Holdings - Adjusted EBITDA | 270,000 | 275,000 | 265,000 | 275,000 | ||||
PROG Holdings - Diluted EPS | 3.82 | 3.92 | 2.52 | 2.68 | ||||
PROG Holdings - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 3.40 | ||||
Progressive Leasing - Total Revenues | 2,350,000 | 2,360,000 | 2,325,000 | 2,355,000 | ||||
Progressive Leasing - Earnings Before Taxes | 180,500 | 181,500 | 178,000 | 182,000 | ||||
Progressive Leasing - Adjusted EBITDA | 277,000 | 280,000 | 273,500 | 278,500 | ||||
Vive - Total Revenues | 60,000 | 65,000 | 55,000 | 65,000 | ||||
Vive - Earnings Before Taxes | (500) | 500 | 1,500 | 3,000 | ||||
Vive - Adjusted EBITDA | 1,000 | 2,000 | 3,000 | 5,000 | ||||
Other - Total Revenues | 30,000 | 35,000 | 20,000 | 30,000 | ||||
Other - Loss Before Taxes | (17,500) | (16,500) | (20,000) | (18,000) | ||||
Other - Adjusted EBITDA | (8,000) | (7,000) | (11,500) | (8,500) |
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2024
|
||||
(In thousands, except per share amounts) | Low | High | ||
PROG Holdings - Total Revenues | $ | 599,824 | $ | 619,824 |
PROG Holdings - Net Earnings | 25,798 | 30,798 | ||
PROG Holdings - Adjusted EBITDA | 61,654 | 66,654 | ||
PROG Holdings - Diluted EPS | 0.62 | 0.73 | ||
PROG Holdings - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS | 0.70 | 0.80 |
(Unaudited) Three Months Ended |
(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
|
|||||||
September 30, | September 30, | |||||||
2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
REVENUES: | ||||||||
Lease Revenues and Fees | $ | 582,551 | $ | 564,183 | $ | 1,773,617 | $ | 1,776,104 |
Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable | 23,594 | 18,694 | 66,559 | 54,759 | ||||
606,145 | 582,877 | 1,840,176 | 1,830,863 | |||||
COSTS AND EXPENSES: | ||||||||
Depreciation of Lease Merchandise | 401,070 | 381,844 | 1,217,440 | 1,202,157 | ||||
Provision for Lease Merchandise Write-offs | 44,736 | 36,966 | 131,660 | 116,295 | ||||
Operating Expenses | 111,108 | 109,183 | 346,350 | 322,152 | ||||
556,914 | 527,993 | 1,695,450 | 1,640,604 | |||||
OPERATING PROFIT | 49,231 | 54,884 | 144,726 | 190,259 | ||||
Interest Expense, Net | (7,384) | (6,775) | (22,973) | (22,549) | ||||
EARNINGS BEFORE INCOME TAX (BENEFIT) EXPENSE
|
41,847 | 48,109 | 121,753 | 167,710 | ||||
INCOME TAX (BENEFIT) EXPENSE
|
(42,115) | 13,097 | (17,949) | 47,447 | ||||
NET EARNINGS | $ | 83,962 | $ | 35,012 | $ | 139,702 | $ | 120,263 |
EARNINGS PER SHARE | ||||||||
Basic | $ | 1.99 | $ | 0.77 | $ | 3.25 | $ | 2.58 |
Assuming Dilution | $ | 1.94 | $ | 0.76 | $ | 3.19 | $ | 2.56 |
CASH DIVIDENDS DECLARED PER SHARE:
|
||||||||
Common Stock
|
$ | 0.12 | $ | - | $ | 0.36 | $ | - |
WEIGHTED AVERAGE SHARES OUTSTANDING: | ||||||||
Basic | 42,264 | 45,515 | 42,969 | 46,606 | ||||
Assuming Dilution | 43,169 | 46,133 | 43,804 | 47,048 |
(Unaudited)
|
||||
September 30, 2024 |
December 31, 2023 |
|||
ASSETS: | ||||
Cash and Cash Equivalents | $ | 221,726 | $ | 155,416 |
Accounts Receivable (net of allowances of $73,192 in 2024 and $64,180 in 2023)
|
67,214 | 67,879 | ||
Lease Merchandise (net of accumulated depreciation and allowances of $455,691 in 2024 and $423,466 in 2023)
|
554,425 | 633,427 | ||
Loans Receivable (net of allowances and unamortized fees of $52,155 in 2024 and $50,022 in 2023)
|
121,568 | 126,823 | ||
Property and Equipment, Net | 21,404 | 24,104 | ||
Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets | 3,753 | 9,271 | ||
Goodwill | 296,061 | 296,061 | ||
Other Intangibles, Net | 77,775 | 91,664 | ||
Income Tax Receivable | 10,921 | 32,918 | ||
Deferred Income Tax Assets | 2,368 | 2,981 | ||
Prepaid Expenses and Other Assets | 69,125 | 50,711 | ||
Total Assets | $ | 1,446,340 | $ | 1,491,255 |
LIABILITIES & SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY: | ||||
Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses | $ | 95,138 | $ | 151,259 |
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities | 81,716 | 104,838 | ||
Customer Deposits and Advance Payments | 33,200 | 35,713 | ||
Operating Lease Liabilities | 12,241 | 15,849 | ||
Debt | 593,238 | 592,265 | ||
Total Liabilities | 815,533 | 899,924 | ||
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY: | ||||
Common Stock, Par Value $0.50 Per Share: Authorized: 225,000,000 Shares at September 30, 2024 and December 31, 2023; Shares Issued: 82,078,654 at September 30, 2024 and December 31, 2023
|
41,039 | 41,039 | ||
Additional Paid-in Capital | 354,141 | 352,421 | ||
Retained Earnings | 1,416,961 | 1,293,073 | ||
1,812,141 | 1,686,533 | |||
Less: Treasury Shares at Cost | ||||
Common Stock: 40,535,248 Shares at September 30, 2024 and 38,404,527 at December 31, 2023
|
(1,181,334) | (1,095,202) | ||
Total Shareholders' Equity | 630,807 | 591,331 | ||
Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity | $ | 1,446,340 | $ | 1,491,255 |
(Unaudited)
|
||||
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
||||
2024 | 2023 | |||
OPERATING ACTIVITIES: | ||||
Net Earnings | $ | 139,702 | $ | 120,263 |
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Earnings to Cash Provided by Operating Activities: | ||||
Depreciation of Lease Merchandise | 1,217,440 | 1,202,157 | ||
Other Depreciation and Amortization | 20,780 | 23,876 | ||
Provisions for Accounts Receivable and Loan Losses | 279,291 | 253,217 | ||
Stock-Based Compensation | 21,588 | 19,081 | ||
Deferred Income Taxes | (24,530) | (32,337) | ||
Impairment of Assets
|
6,018 | - | ||
Income Tax Benefit from Reversal of Uncertain Tax Position Liabilities
|
(51,443) | - | ||
Non-Cash Lease Expense | (2,605) | (2,065) | ||
Other Changes, Net | (1,255) | (4,397) | ||
Changes in Operating Assets and Liabilities: | ||||
Additions to Lease Merchandise | (1,273,535) | (1,195,051) | ||
Book Value of Lease Merchandise Sold or Disposed | 135,096 | 119,711 | ||
Accounts Receivable | (240,409) | (216,469) | ||
Prepaid Expenses and Other Assets | (18,865) | 2,304 | ||
Income Tax Receivable and Payable | 26,251 | (21) | ||
Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses | (7,998) | 8,735 | ||
Customer Deposits and Advance Payments | (2,513) | (6,463) | ||
Cash Provided by Operating Activities | 223,013 | 292,541 | ||
INVESTING ACTIVITIES: | ||||
Investments in Loans Receivable | (282,039) | (138,922) | ||
Proceeds from Loans Receivable | 252,268 | 127,079 | ||
Outflows on Purchases of Property and Equipment | (6,037) | (6,952) | ||
Proceeds from Property and Equipment | 119 | 30 | ||
Other Proceeds
|
41 | - | ||
Cash Used in Investing Activities | (35,648) | (18,765) | ||
FINANCING ACTIVITIES: | ||||
Dividends Paid
|
(15,423) | - | ||
Acquisition of Treasury Stock | (98,187) | (108,276) | ||
Issuance of Stock Under Stock Option and Employee Purchase Plans
|
855 | 695 | ||
Cash Paid for Shares Withheld for Employee Taxes
|
(8,300) | (3,260) | ||
Debt Issuance Costs | - | (29) | ||
Cash Used in Financing Activities | (121,055) | (110,870) | ||
Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents
|
66,310 | 162,906 | ||
Cash and Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Period
|
155,416 | 131,880 | ||
Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period
|
$ | 221,726 | $ | 294,786 |
Net Cash Paid During the Period:
|
||||
Interest | $ | 18,695 | $ | 18,768 |
Income Taxes | $ | 31,809 | $ | 76,817 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Three Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2024 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Lease Revenues and Fees | $ | 582,551 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 582,551 |
Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable | - | 16,000 | 7,594 | 23,594 | ||||
Total Revenues | $ | 582,551 | $ | 16,000 | $ | 7,594 | $ | 606,145 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Three Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Lease Revenues and Fees | $ | 564,183 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 564,183 |
Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable | - | 17,547 | 1,147 | 18,694 | ||||
Total Revenues | $ | 564,183 | $ | 17,547 | $ | 1,147 | $ | 582,877 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2024 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Lease Revenues and Fees | $ | 1,773,617 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 1,773,617 |
Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable | - | 47,471 | 19,088 | 66,559 | ||||
Total Revenues | $ | 1,773,617 | $ | 47,471 | $ | 19,088 | $ | 1,840,176 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Lease Revenues and Fees | $ | 1,776,104 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 1,776,104 |
Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable | - | 51,887 | 2,872 | 54,759 | ||||
Total Revenues | $ | 1,776,104 | $ | 51,887 | $ | 2,872 | $ | 1,830,863 |
(Unaudited) | ||||
Three Months Ended September 30,
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||||
2024 | 2023 | |||
Progressive Leasing | $ | 456,651 | $ | 409,169 |
Vive | 38,755 | 35,243 | ||
Other | 62,058 | 19,632 | ||
Total GMV | $ | 557,464 | $ | 464,044 |
(Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | |||||||
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||
September 30, | September 30, | |||||||
2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
Net Earnings | $ | 83,962 | $ | 35,012 | $ | 139,702 | $ | 120,263 |
Add: Intangible Amortization Expense | 4,000 | 5,650 | 13,889 | 17,097 | ||||
Add: Restructuring Expense | 6 | 238 | 20,906 | 1,958 | ||||
Add: Costs Related to the Cybersecurity Incident, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
114 | 1,805 | 346 | 1,805 | ||||
Less: Regulatory Insurance Recoveries | - | - | - | (525) | ||||
Less: Tax Impact of Adjustments(1)
|
(1,071) | (2,000) | (9,138) | (5,287) | ||||
Less: Reversal of Uncertain Tax Position
|
(53,599) | - | (53,599) | - | ||||
Add: Accrued Interest on Uncertain Tax Position
|
- | 971 | 2,156 | 2,911 | ||||
Non-GAAP Net Earnings | $ | 33,412 | $ | 41,676 | $ | 114,262 | $ | 138,222 |
Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution | $ | 1.94 | $ | 0.76 | $ | 3.19 | $ | 2.56 |
Add: Intangible Amortization Expense
|
0.09 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.36 | ||||
Add: Restructuring Expense | - | 0.01 | 0.48 | 0.04 | ||||
Add: Costs Related to the Cybersecurity Incident, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
- | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.04 | ||||
Less: Regulatory Insurance Recoveries | - | - | - | (0.01) | ||||
Less: Tax Impact of Adjustments(1)
|
(0.02) | (0.04) | (0.21) | (0.11) | ||||
Less: Reversal of Uncertain Tax Position
|
(1.24) | - | (1.22) | - | ||||
Add: Accrued Interest on Uncertain Tax Position
|
- | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.06 | ||||
Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution(2)
|
$ | 0.77 | $ | 0.90 | $ | 2.61 | $ | 2.94 |
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding Assuming Dilution | 43,169 | 46,133 | 43,804 | 47,048 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Three Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2024 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Net Earnings | $ | 83,962 | ||||||
Income Tax (Benefit) Expense(1)
|
(42,115) | |||||||
Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax (Benefit) Expense
|
$ | 47,177 | $ | (1,441) | $ | (3,889) | 41,847 | |
Interest Expense, Net | 7,700 | - | (316) | 7,384 | ||||
Depreciation | 1,619 | 155 | 491 | 2,265 | ||||
Amortization | 3,771 | - | 229 | 4,000 | ||||
EBITDA | 60,267 | (1,286) | (3,485) | 55,496 | ||||
Stock-Based Compensation | 6,059 | 354 | 1,438 | 7,851 | ||||
Restructuring Expense | 6 | - | - | 6 | ||||
Costs Related to the Cybersecurity Incident, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
114 | - | - | 114 | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 66,446 | $ | (932) | $ | (2,047) | $ | 63,467 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Three Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Net Earnings | $ | 35,012 | ||||||
Income Tax Expense(1)
|
13,097 | |||||||
Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax Expense | $ | 53,941 | $ | 565 | $ | (6,397) | 48,109 | |
Interest Expense, Net | 6,746 | 112 | (83) | 6,775 | ||||
Depreciation | 1,841 | 184 | 307 | 2,332 | ||||
Amortization | 5,420 | - | 230 | 5,650 | ||||
EBITDA | 67,948 | 861 | (5,943) | 62,866 | ||||
Stock-Based Compensation | 4,851 | 302 | 1,668 | 6,821 | ||||
Restructuring Expense | 238 | - | - | 238 | ||||
Costs Related to the Cybersecurity Incident
|
1,805 | - | - | 1,805 | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 74,842 | $ | 1,163 | $ | (4,275) | $ | 71,730 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2024 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Net Earnings | $ | 139,702 | ||||||
Income Tax (Benefit) Expense(1)
|
(17,949) | |||||||
Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax (Benefit) Expense | $ | 136,596 | $ | 108 | $ | (14,951) | 121,753 | |
Interest Expense, Net | 23,922 | - | (949) | 22,973 | ||||
Depreciation | 5,080 | 487 | 1,324 | 6,891 | ||||
Amortization | 13,201 | - | 688 | 13,889 | ||||
EBITDA | 178,799 | 595 | (13,888) | 165,506 | ||||
Stock-Based Compensation | 16,905 | 1,052 | 3,631 | 21,588 | ||||
Restructuring Expense | 18,278 | - | 2,628 | 20,906 | ||||
Costs Related to the Cybersecurity Incident, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
346 | - | - | 346 | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 214,328 | $ | 1,647 | $ | (7,629) | $ | 208,346 |
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
September 30, 2023 | ||||||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |||||
Net Earnings | $ | 120,263 | ||||||
Income Tax Expense(1)
|
47,447 | |||||||
Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax Expense | $ | 180,414 | $ | 4,486 | $ | (17,190) | 167,710 | |
Interest Expense, Net | 22,063 | 569 | (83) | 22,549 | ||||
Depreciation | 5,541 | 534 | 705 | 6,780 | ||||
Amortization | 16,262 | - | 835 | 17,097 | ||||
EBITDA | 224,280 | 5,589 | (15,733) | 214,136 | ||||
Stock-Based Compensation | 13,303 | 884 | 4,894 | 19,081 | ||||
Restructuring Expense | 1,958 | - | - | 1,958 | ||||
Regulatory Insurance Recoveries | (525) | - | - | (525) | ||||
Costs Related to the Cybersecurity Incident
|
1,805 | - | - | 1,805 | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 240,821 | $ | 6,473 | $ | (10,839) | $ | 236,455 |
Fiscal Year 2024 Ranges
|
||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |
Estimated Net Earnings |
$165,500 - $170,500
|
|||
Income Tax (Benefit) Expense(1)
|
(3,000) - (5,000)
|
|||
Projected Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax (Benefit) Expense
|
$180,500 - $181,500
|
$(500) - $500
|
$(17,500) - $(16,500)
|
162,500 - 165,500
|
Interest Expense, Net |
32,000 - 33,000
|
- | (1,000) |
31,000 - 32,000
|
Depreciation | 7,000 | 500 | 2,000 | 9,500 |
Amortization | 17,000 | - | 1,000 | 18,000 |
Projected EBITDA |
236,500 - 238,500
|
0 - 1,000
|
(15,500) - (14,500)
|
221,000 - 225,000
|
Stock-Based Compensation |
22,000 - 23,000
|
1,000 | 5,000 |
28,000 - 29,000
|
Restructuring Expense & Cyber Incident Costs, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
18,500 | - | 2,500 | 21,000 |
Projected Adjusted EBITDA |
$277,000 - $280,000
|
$1,000 - $2,000
|
$(8,000) - $(7,000)
|
$270,000 - $275,000
|
Fiscal Year 2024 Ranges
|
||||
Progressive Leasing | Vive | Other | Consolidated Total | |
Estimated Net Earnings |
$110,500 - $116,000
|
|||
Income Tax Expense(1)
|
49,000 - 51,000
|
|||
Projected Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax Expense |
$178,000 - $182,000
|
$1,500 - $3,000
|
$(20,000) - $(18,000)
|
159,500 - 167,000
|
Interest Expense, Net | 31,000 | - | (1,000) | 30,000 |
Depreciation | 7,000 | 500 | 2,000 | 9,500 |
Amortization | 17,000 | - | 1,000 | 18,000 |
Projected EBITDA |
233,000 - 237,000
|
2,000 - 3,500
|
(18,000) - (16,000)
|
217,000 - 224,500
|
Stock-Based Compensation |
22,000 - 23,000
|
1,000 - 1,500
|
4,000 - 5,000
|
27,000 - 29,500
|
Restructuring Expense & Cyber Incident Costs, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
18,500 | - | 2,500 | 21,000 |
Projected Adjusted EBITDA |
$273,500 - $278,500
|
$3,000 - $5,000
|
$(11,500) - $(8,500)
|
$265,000 - $275,000
|
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2024
|
|
Consolidated Total | |
Estimated Net Earnings |
$25,798 - $30,798
|
Income Tax Expense(1)
|
14,949 - 12,949
|
Projected Earnings Before Income Tax Expense |
40,747 - 43,747
|
Interest Expense, Net |
8,027 - 9,027
|
Depreciation | 2,609 |
Amortization | 4,111 |
Projected EBITDA |
55,494 - 59,494
|
Stock-Based Compensation |
6,160 - 7,160
|
Projected Adjusted EBITDA |
$61,654 - $66,654
|
Full Year 2024
|
||||
Low | High | |||
Projected Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution | $ | 3.82 | $ | 3.92 |
Add: Projected Intangible Amortization Expense | 0.41 | 0.41 | ||
Add: Projected Restructuring Expense & Cyber Incident Costs, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
0.48 | 0.48 | ||
Subtract: Tax Effect on Non-GAAP Adjustments(1)
|
(0.23) | (0.23) | ||
Subtract: Reversal of Uncertain Tax Position
|
(1.18) | (1.18) | ||
Projected Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution(2)
|
$ | 3.30 | $ | 3.40 |
Full Year 2024
|
||||
Low | High | |||
Projected Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution | $ | 2.52 | $ | 2.68 |
Add: Projected Intangible Amortization Expense | 0.41 | 0.41 | ||
Add: Projected Interest on FTC Settlement Uncertain Tax Position | 0.07 | 0.07 | ||
Add: Projected Restructuring Expense & Cyber Incident Costs, Net of Insurance Recoveries
|
0.48 | 0.48 | ||
Subtract: Tax Effect on Non-GAAP Adjustments(1)
|
(0.23) | (0.23) | ||
Projected Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution(2)
|
$ | 3.25 | $ | 3.40 |
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2024
|
||||
Low | High | |||
Projected Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution | $ | 0.62 | $ | 0.73 |
Add: Projected Intangible Amortization Expense | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||
Subtract: Tax Effect on Non-GAAP Adjustments(1)
|
(0.02) | (0.02) | ||
Projected Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share Assuming Dilution(2)
|
$ | 0.70 | $ | 0.80 |