03/26/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 03/26/2026 14:16
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OFFINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations (the "MD&A") should be read together with our consolidated financial statements and notes to those statements included in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This section of this Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024 and year-over-year comparisons between Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024. A discussion of Fiscal 2024 and year-over-year comparisons between Fiscal 2024 and Fiscal 2023 that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in PART II, ITEM 7, "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for our fiscal year ended February 1, 2025, filed with the SEC on March 21, 2025. At the end of this section of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we have included historical data for the past five fiscal years to facilitate trend analysis of key data reported in our consolidated financial statements and other select operating data.
Overview of Our Business
Shoe Carnival, Inc. is one of the nation's largest omnichannel sellers of footwear for the family, and our goal is to be the leading family footwear retailer in the United States. Our product assortment, whether shopping in a physical store or through our e-commerce sales channel, is primarily branded footwear and includes dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, work, and a wide assortment of athletic shoes. We carry shoes in two general categories - athletics and non-athletics with subcategories for men's, women's and children's and we also carry certain accessories.In addition to our physical stores, through our e-commerce sales channel, customers can purchase the same assortment of merchandise in all categories of footwear with expanded options in certain instances. During Fiscal 2025, we operated two banners: Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station. For a description of these two banners, including the in-store environment, target customer and product assortment, see PART I, ITEM 1 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
As of our Fiscal 2025 year end, we operated 426 stores across 35 states and Puerto Rico, consisting of 144 Shoe Station locations and 282 Shoe Carnival locations. As more fully described in PART I, ITEM 1 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, at the end of Fiscal 2025, Shoe Station bannered stores represented approximately 34% of our total store fleet, compared to approximately 10% at the end of Fiscal 2024. During Fiscal 2025, we rebannered 101 stores into Shoe Station stores, consisting of 73 Shoe Carnival stores and all 28 Rogan's stores.
On November 13, 2025, we announced that our Board of Directors unanimously approved changing our corporate name to Shoe Station Group, Inc., subject to shareholder approval at our Annual Meeting of Shareholders in June 2026. That proposed name change remains on the June 2026 agenda. The proposed corporate name change to Shoe Station Group, Inc. reflects the Board's conviction that the Shoe Station concept is our primary long-term growth vehicle.
Store Portfolio and Our Banner Strategy
The following tables set forth our physical store count for Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024, as impacted by store rebanners, acquisitions, store openings and store closures.
|
January 31, 2026 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Beginning |
Permanently |
End of |
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Banner |
of Period |
Opened |
Acquired |
Closed |
Rebannered |
Period |
||||||||||||||||||
|
Shoe Carnival |
360 |
0 |
0 |
(5 |
) |
(73 |
) |
282 |
||||||||||||||||
|
Shoe Station |
42 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
144 |
||||||||||||||||||
|
Rogan's |
28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
(28 |
) |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
February 1, 2025 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Beginning |
Permanently |
End of |
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Banner |
of Period |
Opened |
Acquired |
Closed |
Rebannered |
Period |
||||||||||||||||||
|
Shoe Carnival |
372 |
0 |
0 |
(2 |
) |
(10 |
) |
360 |
||||||||||||||||
|
Shoe Station |
28 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
42 |
||||||||||||||||||
|
Rogan's |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
||||||||||||||||||
As stated above, during Fiscal 2025, we rebannerd 101 stores into Shoe Station stores. Over time this rebanner strategy has evolved. Previous expectations were that approximately 70 additional stores would rebanner before Back-to-School in Fiscal 2026, with the Shoe Station stores then representing 51% of the current store fleet, and that over 90% of our fleet would operate as a Shoe Station store by the end of Fiscal 2028, with remaining locations to be evaluated for potential rebannering, outlet repositioning, or closure. This transition to substantially all Shoe Station stores was expected to generate both inventory reductions, as Shoe Station's merchandising model requires less inventory per store, as well as cost savings from reduced dual-brand complexity across merchandising, marketing, systems, supply chain and back office.
In evaluating the performance of the 101 stores that were rebannered in Fiscal 2025, particularly Net Sales in the second-half of Fiscal 2025, we observed that, while Shoe Station's e-commerce results have been a meaningful contributor to banner-level sales growth, demonstrating strong consumer response to the Shoe Station brand and assortment online, there was significant variability in in-store sales performance across rebannered locations, with some stores performing well and others not achieving anticipated results.
As a result, we made the strategic decision to slow the pace of store rebanners in Fiscal 2026 from previously announced timelines to allow time to identify which consumer demographics are responding most favorably to the Shoe Station format, to determine which marketing channels are most effective in driving new customer acquisition, and to refine product mix in rebannered stores to improve in-store conversion. We now expect to rebanner approximately 21 stores during the first half of Fiscal 2026 while this evaluation is conducted.
The Shoe Station banner is expected to continue as our primary growth banner as we leverage our CRM customer data to identify opportunities both within our current markets as well as new markets outside of our current footprint that are best suited for the Shoe Station format.
However, in markets where Shoe Carnival has historically been a dominant family footwear retailer, those stores will continue to operate under the Shoe Carnival banner. The Shoe Carnival banner continues to serve an important customer base in a meaningful number of locations, and we expect to manage both banners accordingly.
Net Sales by Banner
For the past three fiscal years, Shoe Station has been a market leader in the Southeast, and, according to our view of available industry data, Shoe Station has been the fastest growing retailer in our industry in terms of Net Sales growth. During the same period, our Shoe Carnival banner and the family footwear industry experienced comparable stores Net Sales declines.
Net Sales from our Shoe Station banner grew from $99.9 million in Fiscal 2022 (the first full year of our ownership) to $236.7 million in Fiscal 2025 (excluding Net Sales from Rogan's, which are discussed below). This increase included Net Sales growth of 4.5% in Fiscal 2023, 6.4% in Fiscal 2024, and 2.7% in Fiscal 2025 from both new stores and comparable store Net Sales increases. The remaining increase resulted from base Net Sales that were transferred from Shoe Carnival as stores rebannered.
Conversely, Net Sales from our Shoe Carnival banner declined from $1.161 billion in Fiscal 2022 to $821.8 million in Fiscal 2025. This decrease included Net Sales declines of 7.8% in Fiscal 2023, 5.7% in Fiscal 2024, and 7.7% in Fiscal 2025 from both net store closures and comparable store Net Sales declines. The remaining decrease resulted from base Net Sales that were transferred to Shoe Station as stores rebannered.
With respect to Net Sales transferred between banners, we categorize Net Sales generated from a rebannered store as Shoe Station Net Sales beginning in the month following the month the store rebanners. Net Sales in Fiscal 2024 and Fiscal 2025 that were transferred from Shoe Carnival to Shoe Station totaled $7.6 million and $111.3 million, respectively. Approximately $149 million of Net Sales were reported as Shoe Carnival and Rogan's Net Sales until they were rebannered in Fiscal 2025. In Fiscal 2026, those Net Sales will be reported under the Shoe Station banner for the entirety of the year.
Rogan's Net Sales were $75.6 million in Fiscal 2025 and $80.3 million in Fiscal 2024. During Fiscal 2025, we transitioned to a more profitable Net Sales approach at Rogan's, which resulted in Rogan's generating more product margin in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024, despite the lower Net Sales. With integration fully complete and synergies captured, we expect to no longer separate Rogan's Net Sales from Shoe Station Net Sales beginning in Fiscal 2026.
Comparable Stores Net Sales
Comparable stores Net Sales is a key performance indicator for us. Comparable stores Net Sales include stores that have been open for 13 full months after such stores' grand opening or acquisition prior to the beginning of the period, including those stores that have been relocated, remodeled or rebannered. Therefore, stores recently opened, acquired or permanently closed are not included in comparable stores Net Sales. We generally include e-commerce sales in our comparable stores Net Sales as a result of our omnichannel retailer strategy. Due to our omnichannel retailer strategy, we view e-commerce sales as an extension of our physical stores. Rogan's comparable stores Net Sales were included in our comparable stores Net Sales quarterly calculations beginning in the thirteen weeks ended August 2, 2025 and will begin to be included in our comparable stores Net Sales annual calculations beginning in Fiscal 2026.
Fiscal 2025 Executive Summary
Our Fiscal 2025 Net Income was $52.3 million, or $1.90 per diluted share, and was lower than the $73.8 million, or $2.68 per diluted share, reported in Fiscal 2024. We estimate our Fiscal 2025 Net Income per Diluted Share decreased by approximately $0.66 as a result of our rebanner-related investment, as more fully described below. The decline in Net Income per Diluted Share was also impacted by certain tax credits and other benefits associated with the Rogan's acquisition that totaled $0.19 in Fiscal 2024 and did not recur in Fiscal 2025. Our Net Income per Diluted Share otherwise increased $0.07 year over year before the impact of these prior year Rogan's acquisition related benefits and Fiscal 2025 rebanner investments.
Our Net Sales declined 5.6% in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024, primarily due to a 7.7% decline in Net Sales at our Shoe Carnival banner as we maintained pricing discipline despite pressure on lower-income consumers and reduced promotional marketing. In contrast, our Shoe Station banner achieved Net Sales growth of 2.7% in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024, driven by our rebanner strategy, including omnichannel growth. Therefore, our Shoe Station banner's Net Sales growth in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024 outperformed Shoe Carnival's Net Sales decline by 10.4 percentage points.
Our comparable stores Net Sales also declined 5.6% and included comparable stores Net Sales growth in Back-to-School August. Our Shoe Station banner grew comparable stores Net Sales low single digits in Fiscal 2025, while comparable stores Net Sales at our Shoe Carnival banner declined high-single digits and was the primary driver of our overall comparable stores Net Sales decline.
We achieved a Gross Profit margin of 36.6%, up 100 basis points from Fiscal 2024 and above 35% for the fifth consecutive year. The increase included a 180 basis point increase in our merchandise margin, driven by disciplined pricing across all banners, a favorable mix shift toward Shoe Station's higher income customers and deliberate inventory management decisions made in anticipation of tariff cost increases that are expected to fully impact Fiscal 2026. This increase was reduced by 80 basis points from buying, distribution and occupancy costs primarily due to deleverage on lower Net Sales.
Our Operating Income declined $24.4 million in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024. We estimate our Fiscal 2025 Operating Income declined approximately $24.1 million, or $0.66 per diluted share compared to Fiscal 2024 as a result of rebanner-related investment due to lost sales during a four-to-six-week store closure period through each store's grand opening, store closing costs and asset write-offs, additional depreciation of new store construction costs, customer acquisition costs and other costs. This rebanner investment resulted in an approximate 0.5% reduction in Net Sales due to lost sales and an approximate 2.0% increase in our Selling, General and Administrative Expenses ("SG&A") as a percent of Net Sales. Capital expenditures supporting the rebanner initiative totaled approximately $37.1 million in Fiscal 2025.
Fiscal 2025 marked the 21st consecutive fiscal year we ended with no debt. In each of the last five years, we have funded our operations and growth investments, including our acquisitions of Shoe Station and Rogan's and our current
year rebanner and inventory investments, without drawing on our credit facility. We ended Fiscal 2025 with $130.7 million of Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities, up 6% compared to the end of Fiscal 2024 and $99.0 million of available borrowings under our existing credit facility to fund our growth objectives. Cash flows from operations in Fiscal 2025 totaled $71.3 million.
Our Merchandise Inventories at the end of Fiscal 2025 were $439.6 million, up approximately 14% compared to the end of Fiscal 2024. We increased our inventory positions this year, taking advantage of opportunistic buys for seasonal and in-demand merchandise. This strategy improved availability of key merchandise and drove margin expansion in Fiscal 2025. We anticipate declines in Merchandise Inventories in Fiscal 2026 in a range of $50 to $65 million, as we expect to sell the remaining opportunistic pre-tariff and in-demand product purchased in Fiscal 2025 and increase promotional activity to work through excess inventory not part of our ongoing assortment, including legacy Shoe Carnival inventory, that will no longer be required as more Shoe Carnival stores rebanner. The promotional activity necessary to sell this inventory is expected to reduce gross profit margins in Fiscal 2026 compared to the 36.6% gross profit margin achieved in Fiscal 2025.
Results of Operations
The following table sets forth our results of operations expressed as a percentage of Net Sales for the following fiscal years:
|
2025 |
2024 |
2023 |
||||||||||
|
Net sales |
100.0 |
% |
100.0 |
% |
100.0 |
% |
||||||
|
Cost of sales (including buying, distribution, and |
63.4 |
64.4 |
64.2 |
|||||||||
|
Gross profit |
36.6 |
35.6 |
35.8 |
|||||||||
|
Selling, general and administrative expenses |
30.7 |
28.0 |
27.8 |
|||||||||
|
Operating income |
5.9 |
7.6 |
8.0 |
|||||||||
|
Interest and other income |
(0.3 |
) |
(0.5 |
) |
(0.2 |
) |
||||||
|
Interest expense |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|||||||||
|
Income before income taxes |
6.2 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
|||||||||
|
Income tax expense |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|||||||||
|
Net income |
4.6 |
% |
6.1 |
% |
6.2 |
% |
||||||
Fiscal 2025 Compared to Fiscal 2024
Net Sales
Net Sales were $1.135 billion during Fiscal 2025, a decrease of $67.6 million, or 5.6%, compared to Fiscal 2024. The decrease was primarily due to a 7.7% Net Sales decline at our Shoe Carnival banner, as we maintained pricing discipline despite pressure on lower-income consumers and reduced promotional marketing. This decrease was partially offset by continued growth from our Shoe Station banner, which contributed a 2.7% increase in Net Sales compared to Fiscal 2024. Our 5.6% comparable stores Net Sales decline included an approximate 13% decrease in units sold, partially offset by pricing increases. Our Shoe Carnival banner comparable stores Net Sales declined high-single digits, while our Shoe Station banner comparable stores Net Sales increased low-single digits. E-commerce sales were approximately 10% of merchandise sales in both Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit was $415.2 million in Fiscal 2025, a decrease of $13.6 million compared to Fiscal 2024. Gross profit margin in Fiscal 2025 was 36.6% compared to 35.6% in Fiscal 2024. The 100 basis point increase in gross profit margin was driven by a 180 basis point increase in merchandise margin due to disciplined pricing, favorable mix shift toward Shoe Station's higher-income consumer, and deliberate inventory management decisions made in anticipation of tariff cost increases that are expected to fully impact Fiscal 2026. This increase was partially offset by 80 basis points from buying, distribution and occupancy costs, primarily due to deleveraging on lower Net Sales in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024.
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
SG&A increased $10.8 million in Fiscal 2025 to $348.4 million compared to $337.6 million in Fiscal 2024. The increase was due primarily to expenses associated with our rebanner strategy, partially offset by decreases in selling expenses impacting our other stores in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024. As a percent of Net Sales, SG&A were 30.7% in Fiscal 2025 compared to 28.0% in Fiscal 2024, with the increase being due primarily to the rebanner costs incurred in Fiscal 2025, which increased SG&A as a percent of Net Sales by approximately two percentage points, and deleveraging from lower Net Sales outpacing cost control measures.
Interest and Other Income and Interest Expense
Changes in our Interest and Other Income and our Interest Expense decreased our Income Before Income Taxes by $2.7 million in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024. This decrease was primarily due to pandemic-related tax credits of $3.0 million recognized in Fiscal 2024 associated with our acquisition of Rogan's, partially offset by higher interest earned on invested cash balances.
Income Taxes
The effective income tax rate for Fiscal 2025 was 25.7% compared to 24.3% for Fiscal 2024. The higher effective tax rate in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024 was due to discrete adjustments related to share-settled equity awards and favorable impacts recognized in Fiscal 2024 associated with our acquisition of Rogan's.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our primary sources of liquidity are $130.7 million of Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities on hand at the end of Fiscal 2025, cash generated from operations and availability under our $100 million Credit Agreement. We believe our resources will be sufficient to fund our cash needs, as they arise, for at least the next 12 months. Our primary uses of cash are normally for working capital, which are principally inventory purchases, investments in our stores, such as rebanners and new stores, remodels and relocations, distribution center initiatives, lease payments associated with our real estate leases, potential dividend payments, potential share repurchases under our share repurchase program and the financing of capital projects, including investments in new systems. As part of our growth strategy, we have also pursued strategic acquisitions of other footwear retailers.
Cash Flow - Operating Activities
Net cash generated from operating activities was $71.3 million in Fiscal 2025 compared to $102.6 million during Fiscal 2024. The decrease in operating cash flow was primarily driven by increased inventory purchases and the reduction in Net Income as a result of costs incurred to support our rebanner strategy.
On July 4, 2025, President Trump signed into law the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (the "OBBB"). The OBBB made key elements of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent, including 100% bonus depreciation and domestic research cost expensing. We estimate that the OBBB decreased our cash paid for taxes in Fiscal 2025 by approximately 30%. There was no material change in our effective income tax rate for Fiscal 2025 as a result of the OBBB.
Working capital increased on a year-over-year basis and totaled $437.7 million at January 31, 2026 compared to $405.7 million at February 1, 2025. The increase was primarily attributable to higher Merchandise Inventories and a higher cash balance, partially offset by higher Accounts Payable. Our current ratio was 3.8 as of January 31, 2026, compared to 4.1 as of February 1, 2025.
Cash Flow - Investing Activities
Our cash outflows for investing activities are normally for capital expenditures. During Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024, we expended $44.7 million and $33.2 million, respectively, for the purchases of property and equipment, primarily related to rebanners, store remodels, and opening five new Shoe Station stores over both fiscal years.
Our Rogan's acquisition in first quarter 2024 resulted in the payment of cash consideration of $44.8 million, net of cash acquired, in Fiscal 2024. Additional information regarding the Rogan's acquisition, including information on the additional contingent consideration of up to $5.0 million, can be found in Note 3 - "Acquisition of Rogan Shoes"
in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
We invest in publicly traded mutual funds designed to mitigate income statement volatility associated with our non-qualified deferred compensation plan. The balance of these Marketable Securities was $13.6 million at January 31, 2026, compared to $14.4 million at February 1, 2025. Additional information can be found in Note 4 - "Fair Value of Financial Instruments" in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Cash Flow - Financing Activities
Our cash outflows for financing activities are typically for cash dividend payments, share repurchases or payments on our Credit Agreement. Shares of our common stock can be either acquired as part of a publicly announced repurchase program or withheld by us in connection with employee payroll tax withholding upon the vesting of stock-based compensation awards that are settled in shares. Our cash inflows from financing activities generally reflect stock issuances to employees under our Employee Stock Purchase Plan and borrowings under our Credit Agreement.
During Fiscal 2025, net cash used in financing activities was $18.9 million compared to $15.3 million during Fiscal 2024. The increase in net cash used in financing activities was primarily due to the increase in dividend payments and shares surrendered by employees to pay taxes on stock-based compensation awards. During Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024, we did not borrow or repay funds under our Credit Agreement. Letters of credit outstanding were $1.0 million at January 31, 2026, and our borrowing capacity was $99.0 million. We also did not repurchase any shares under our share repurchase program in either Fiscal 2025 or Fiscal 2024.
Our Credit Agreement requires us to maintain compliance with various financial covenants. See Note 10 - "Debt" in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a further discussion of our Credit Agreement and its covenants. We were in compliance with these covenants as of January 31, 2026.
Store Rebanners, Openings and Closings
We ended Fiscal 2025 with 426 stores, comprised of 282 Shoe Carnival stores and 144 Shoe Station stores. During Fiscal 2025, we rebannered 101 stores, consisting of 73 Shoe Carnival stores and all 28 Rogan's stores. During Fiscal 2025, we opened one new Shoe Station store and permanently closed five Shoe Carnival stores. We believe our current Shoe Station store footprint provides for growth in new markets within the United States as well as fill-in opportunities within existing markets.
We expect to rebanner approximately 21 stores during the first half of Fiscal 2026, increasing the number of our Shoe Station stores to 165 by Back-to-School in Fiscal 2026, representing 39% of our current store base. We expect a reduction in our Fiscal 2026 Operating Income of $10 to $15 million for continued rebanner investment to support stores rebannered in Fiscal 2025 and those that are planned to rebanner in Fiscal 2026, inclusive of expected lower margins to work through excess inventory as more stores rebanner. We anticipate additional capital expenditures in Fiscal 2026 of between $5 to $7 million to support the rebanner initiative. Though impacting near-term profitability and liquidity, we expect these investments will position us for more sustainable future performance.
Increasing market penetration by adding new stores is also a key component of our long-term growth strategy. We do not anticipate opening any new stores in Fiscal 2026 given our focus on rebannering and pursing acquisitions. Future store growth may also be impacted by macroeconomic uncertainty, and our ability to identify desirable locations and/or acquisition partners. We expect limited store closures over the next several years.
Capital Expenditures - Fiscal 2026
Capital expenditures for Fiscal 2026 are expected to be between $12 million and $18 million, inclusive of the $5 million to $7 million related to rebanner activity. The resources allocated to projects are subject to near-term changes depending on potential inflationary, supply chain and other macroeconomic impacts. Furthermore, the actual amount of cash required for capital expenditures for store operations depends in part on the number of stores opened, rebannered, relocated and remodeled, and the amount of lease incentives, if any, received from landlords. The number
of new store openings and relocations will be dependent upon, among other things, the availability of desirable locations, the negotiation of acceptable lease terms and general economic and business conditions affecting consumer spending.
Dividends
During Fiscal 2025, four quarterly cash dividends of $0.15 per share were approved and paid. In Fiscal 2024, we paid four quarterly cash dividends of $0.135 per share. During Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024, we returned $16.7 million and $14.7 million, respectively, in cash to our shareholders through our quarterly dividends.
The declaration and payment of any future dividends are at the discretion of the Board of Directors and will depend on our results of operations, financial condition, business conditions and other factors deemed relevant by our Board of Directors, subject to the restrictions in our Credit Agreement. See Note 10 - "Debt" in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a further discussion of our Credit Agreement and its restrictions.
Share Repurchase Program
On December 10, 2025, our Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program for up to $50 million of our outstanding common stock, effective January 1, 2026 (the "2026 Share Repurchase Program"). The purchases may be made in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions from time to time through December 31, 2026 and in accordance with applicable laws, rules and regulations. The 2026 Share Repurchase Program may be amended, suspended or discontinued at any time and does not commit us to repurchase shares of our common stock. We have funded, and intend to continue to fund, the share repurchase program from cash on hand, and any shares acquired will be available for stock-based compensation awards and other corporate purposes. The actual number and value of the shares to be purchased will depend on the performance of our stock price and other market and economic factors, subject to the restrictions in our Credit Agreement. See Note 10 - "Debt" in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a further discussion of our Credit Agreement and its restrictions.
The 2026 Share Repurchase Program replaced a $50 million share repurchase program that was authorized in December 2024, became effective January 1, 2025 and expired in accordance with its terms on December 31, 2025. No shares were repurchased during Fiscal 2025 or Fiscal 2024.
Leases
Rent-related payments made in Fiscal 2025 totaled $98.1 million. As we are contractually obligated to make lease payments to landlords, estimated future payments to landlords and lease-related charges are expected to be significant in future years and will increase in future years due to expected organic and acquired store growth. These payments include estimates for fixed minimum and contingent rent, estimated reimbursements to landlords for common area maintenance, taxes and insurance and other occupancy related charges. See Note 11 - "Leases" in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further discussion of our lease obligations.
Impact of Store Count and Seasonality on Quarterly Results
Our quarterly results of operations have fluctuated and are expected to continue to fluctuate in the future, primarily as a result of seasonal variances and the timing of sales and costs associated with opening new stores and closing underperforming stores.
(Unaudited, in thousands, except per share amounts)
|
Fiscal 2025 |
First |
Second |
Third |
Fourth |
||||||||||||
|
Net sales |
$ |
277,715 |
$ |
306,388 |
$ |
297,155 |
$ |
254,066 |
||||||||
|
Gross profit |
95,777 |
118,808 |
111,837 |
88,728 |
||||||||||||
|
Operating income |
11,965 |
25,228 |
18,623 |
10,942 |
||||||||||||
|
Net income |
9,343 |
19,225 |
14,646 |
9,055 |
||||||||||||
|
Net income per share - Diluted(1) |
$ |
0.34 |
$ |
0.70 |
$ |
0.53 |
$ |
0.33 |
||||||||
|
Fiscal 2024 |
First |
Second |
Third |
Fourth |
||||||||||||
|
Net sales |
$ |
300,365 |
$ |
332,696 |
$ |
306,885 |
$ |
262,939 |
||||||||
|
Gross profit |
106,800 |
119,943 |
110,382 |
91,669 |
||||||||||||
|
Operating income |
22,507 |
30,079 |
24,529 |
14,037 |
||||||||||||
|
Net income |
17,286 |
22,573 |
19,242 |
14,665 |
||||||||||||
|
Net income per share - Diluted(1) |
$ |
0.63 |
$ |
0.82 |
$ |
0.70 |
$ |
0.53 |
||||||||
(1)Per share amounts are computed independently for each of the quarters presented. For per share amounts, the sum of the quarters may not equal the total year due to the impact of changes in weighted shares outstanding and differing applications of earnings as prescribed by accounting guidance.
Seasonality
We have three distinct peak selling periods: Easter, back-to-school and Christmas. Our operating results depend significantly upon the sales generated during these periods. To prepare for our peak shopping seasons, we must order and keep in stock significantly more merchandise than we would carry during other periods of the year. Any unanticipated decrease in demand for our products or a supply chain disruption that reduces inventory availability during these peak shopping seasons could reduce our Net Sales and Gross Profit and negatively affect our profitability.
Store Count
We continually analyze our store portfolio and the potential for new stores based on our view of internal and external opportunities and challenges in the marketplace. As part of our long-term growth strategy, we expect to pursue opportunities for store growth across large and mid-size markets as we continue to leverage customer data from our CRM program and more attractive real estate options become available.
When we identify a store that produces or may potentially produce low or negative contribution, we either renegotiate lease terms, relocate or close the store. In instances when underperformance indicates the carrying value of a store's assets may not be recoverable, we impair the store. Depending upon the results of lease negotiations with certain landlords of underperforming stores, we may increase or decrease the number of store closures in future periods.
Non-capital expenditures, such as advertising and payroll incurred prior to the opening of a new store, are charged to expense as incurred. The timing and actual amount of expense recorded in closing an individual store can vary significantly depending, in part, on the period in which management commits to a closing plan, the remaining basis in the fixed assets to be disposed of at closing and the amount of any lease buyout. Therefore, our results of operations may be adversely affected in any quarter in which we incur pre-opening expenses related to the opening of new stores or incur store closing costs related to the closure of existing stores.
Critical Accounting Policies
We use judgment in reporting our financial results. This judgment involves estimates based in part on our historical experience and incorporates the impact of the current general economic climate and company-specific circumstances. However, because future events and economic conditions are inherently uncertain, our actual results could differ materially from these estimates. The accounting policies that require more significant judgment are included below.
Merchandise Inventories - Our Merchandise Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or net realizable value as of the balance sheet date and consist primarily of dress, casual and athletic footwear for women, men and children. The
cost of our merchandise is determined using the first-in, first-out valuation method ("FIFO"). For determining net realizable value, we estimate the future demand and related sale price of merchandise in our inventory. The stated value of Merchandise Inventories contained on our Consolidated Balance Sheets also includes freight, certain capitalized overhead costs and reserves.
Factors considered when we review our inventory to properly state it at lower of cost or net realizable value include recent sale prices, historical loss rates, the length of time merchandise has been held in inventory, quantities of the various styles held in inventory, seasonality of the merchandise, expected consideration to be received from our vendors and current and expected future sales trends. We also review aging trends, which include the historical rate at which merchandise has sold below cost and the value and nature of merchandise currently held in inventory and priced below original cost. We reduce the value of our inventory to its estimated net realizable value where cost exceeds the estimated future selling price. Merchandise Inventories as of January 31, 2026 totaled $439.6 million, representing approximately 37% of total assets. Merchandise Inventories as of February 1, 2025 totaled $385.6 million, representing approximately 34% of total assets. Given the significance of inventories to our consolidated financial statements, the determination of net realizable value is a critical accounting estimate. Material changes in the factors noted above could have a significant impact on the actual net realizable value of our inventory and our reported operating results.
Valuation of Long-Lived Assets - Long-lived assets, such as Property and Equipment subject to depreciation and right-of-use assets arising from our leased properties, are evaluated for impairment on a periodic basis if events or circumstances indicate the carrying value may not be recoverable. This evaluation includes performing an analysis of the estimated undiscounted future cash flows of the long-lived assets. Assets are grouped and the evaluation performed at the lowest level for which there are identifiable cash flows, which is generally at a store level.
If the estimated future cash flows for a store are determined to be less than the carrying value of the store's assets, an impairment loss is recorded for the difference between the estimated fair value and the carrying value. We estimate the fair value of our long-lived assets using store-specific cash flow assumptions discounted by a rate commensurate with the risk involved with such assets while incorporating marketplace assumptions. Our assumptions and estimates used in the evaluation of impairment, including current and future economic trends for stores, are subject to a high degree of judgment. Assets subject to impairment are adjusted to estimated fair value and, if applicable, an impairment loss is recorded in SG&A. If actual operating results or market conditions differ from those anticipated, the carrying value of certain of our assets may prove unrecoverable and we may incur additional impairment charges in the future.
Valuation of Goodwill and Intangible Assets - Our indefinite-lived assets include Goodwill and non-amortizing Intangible Assets (trade names) resulting from the acquisitions of Shoe Station in Fiscal 2021 and Rogan's in Fiscal 2024. Goodwill represents the purchase price in excess of fair values assigned to the underlying identifiable net assets of the acquired business. Goodwill and indefinite-lived Intangible Assets are reviewed annually for impairment unless circumstances dictate the need for more frequent assessment. We perform our annual impairment testing as of the first day of the fourth fiscal quarter.
Goodwill is reviewed for impairment at our single reporting unit level. We have the option to either first perform a qualitative assessment to determine whether it is "more likely than not" that the reporting unit's fair value is less than its carrying value, or to proceed directly to the quantitative assessment, which requires a comparison of the reporting unit's fair value to its carrying value. Qualitative factors may include, but are not limited to, economic conditions, industry and market considerations, expense factors, overall financial performance, entity specific and reporting unit events, capital markets and pricing and breakeven multiples. If we determine that the fair value of our reporting unit is less than its carrying value, we recognize an impairment charge equal to the difference, not to exceed the total amount of goodwill allocated to the reporting unit. In performing an impairment test for our Goodwill in Fiscal 2025, we completed the qualitative assessment on November 2, 2025. We determined that it was not "more likely than not" that the fair value of our reporting unit was less than the carrying value; therefore, no quantitative assessment was performed and no impairment was recorded.
With respect to the Shoe Station and Rogan's trade names, we elected to bypass the qualitative assessment and performed a quantitative assessment in Fiscal 2025 for each trade name. In the current year, revenue supporting the Rogan's trade name included Rogan's stores that were co-branded as "Shoe Station at Rogan's" and the business-to-business operations solely branded as "Rogan's Work." These stores and business-to-business operations continue to
broadly use the Rogan's trade name. Both the Shoe Station and Rogan's data sets were assessed using respective revenue growth, discount rate and royalty rate assumptions. Significant changes in our estimates and assumptions could affect our fair value calculations. We performed these assessments on November 2, 2025 and our estimate of fair values exceeded the carrying amounts; therefore, no impairments were recorded.
Leases - We lease our retail stores, our Evansville distribution center and our corporate headquarters in Fort Mill, South Carolina. We also enter into leases of equipment and other assets. Substantially all of our leases are operating leases. Therefore, how operating leases are recognized throughout the financial statements in accordance with applicable accounting guidance can have a significant impact on our financial condition and results of operations and related disclosures.
In accordance with Accounting Standards Codification Topic No. 842 - Leases, on the lease commencement date we recognize a right-of-use asset for the right to use a leased asset and a liability based on the present value of remaining lease payments over the lease term. The weighted average discount rate utilized in Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024 was 5.1% and 4.7%, respectively.
For new leases, renewals or amendments and when we make material investments in leased properties pursuant to our rebanner strategy or other modernization investments, we make certain estimates and assumptions regarding property values, market rents, property lives, discount rates and probable terms. These estimates and assumptions can impact: (1) lease classification and the related accounting treatment; (2) rent holidays, escalations or deferred lease incentives, which are taken into consideration when calculating straight-line expense; (3) the term over which leasehold improvements for each store are amortized; and (4) the values and lives of adjustments to initial and modified right-of-use assets. The amount of amortized rent expense would vary if different estimates and assumptions were used.
Our real estate leases typically include options to extend the lease or to terminate the lease at our sole discretion. Options to extend real estate leases typically include one or more options to renew, with renewal terms that typically extend the lease term for five years or more. Many of our leases also contain "co-tenancy" provisions, including the required presence and continued operation of certain anchor tenants in the adjoining retail space. If a co-tenancy violation occurs, we have the right to a reduction of rent for a defined period after which we have the option to terminate the lease if the violation is not cured. In addition to co-tenancy provisions, certain leases contain "go-dark" provisions that allow us to cease operations while continuing to pay rent through the end of the lease term. When determining the lease term, we include options that are reasonably certain to be exercised.
Income Taxes- As part of the process of preparing our consolidated financial statements, we are required to estimate our current and future income taxes for each tax jurisdiction in which we operate. Significant judgment is required in determining our annual tax expense and evaluating our tax positions. As a part of this process, deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized based on the difference between the consolidated financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases. Our temporary timing differences relate primarily to inventory, property and equipment, right-of-use assets, operating lease liabilities, goodwill and non-amortizing intangible assets. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using the tax rates enacted and expected to be in effect in the years when those temporary differences are expected to reverse. Deferred tax assets are reduced, if necessary, by a valuation allowance to the extent future realization of those tax benefits are uncertain.
We are also required to make many subjective assumptions and judgments regarding our income tax exposures when accounting for uncertain tax positions associated with our income tax filings. We must presume that taxing authorities will examine all uncertain tax positions and that they have full knowledge of all relevant information. However, interpretations of guidance surrounding income tax laws and regulations are often complex, ambiguous and frequently change over time, and a number of years may elapse before a particular issue is resolved. As such, changes in our subjective assumptions and judgments can materially affect amounts recognized in our consolidated financial statements. Although we believe we have no uncertain tax positions, tax authorities could assess tax liabilities in open tax periods not presently foreseen.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
See Note 2 - "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a description of recent accounting pronouncements and related impacts.
Historical Financial and Operating Data
The following historical financial data is included for the convenience of assessing trends in our financial condition and results of operations over the previous five fiscal years. A more detailed description of the fluctuations among Fiscal 2021 - Fiscal 2024 can be found in our Annual Reports on Form 10-K filed for those previous fiscal years.
|
(In thousands, except per share and operating data) |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Fiscal years (1) |
2025 |
2024 |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
|||||||||||||||
|
Income Statement Data: |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Net sales |
$ |
1,135,324 |
$ |
1,202,885 |
$ |
1,175,882 |
$ |
1,262,235 |
$ |
1,330,394 |
||||||||||
|
Gross profit |
$ |
415,150 |
$ |
428,794 |
$ |
421,390 |
$ |
468,164 |
$ |
526,787 |
||||||||||
|
Operating income |
$ |
66,758 |
$ |
91,152 |
$ |
93,505 |
$ |
146,444 |
$ |
207,654 |
||||||||||
|
Net income |
$ |
52,269 |
$ |
73,766 |
$ |
73,348 |
$ |
110,068 |
$ |
154,881 |
||||||||||
|
Diluted net income per share |
$ |
1.90 |
$ |
2.68 |
$ |
2.68 |
$ |
3.96 |
$ |
5.42 |
||||||||||
|
Dividends declared per share |
$ |
0.600 |
$ |
0.540 |
$ |
0.440 |
$ |
0.360 |
$ |
0.280 |
||||||||||
|
Balance Sheet Data: |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ |
117,091 |
$ |
108,680 |
$ |
99,000 |
$ |
51,372 |
$ |
117,443 |
||||||||||
|
Total assets |
$ |
1,201,743 |
$ |
1,124,133 |
$ |
1,042,025 |
$ |
989,781 |
$ |
812,264 |
||||||||||
|
Long-term debt |
$ |
0 |
$ |
0 |
$ |
0 |
$ |
0 |
$ |
0 |
||||||||||
|
Total shareholders' equity |
$ |
689,666 |
$ |
648,996 |
$ |
583,389 |
$ |
525,568 |
$ |
452,533 |
||||||||||
|
Operating Data: |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Stores open at end of year |
426 |
430 |
400 |
397 |
393 |
|||||||||||||||
|
Comparable stores net sales (2)(3) |
-5.6 |
% |
-3.9 |
% |
-8.8 |
% |
-11.1 |
% |
35.3 |
% |
||||||||||
|
Square footage of store space at year |
4,937 |
4,968 |
4,569 |
4,505 |
4,419 |
|||||||||||||||
|
Average sales per store (000's)(2)(4)(6) |
$ |
2,644 |
$ |
2,766 |
$ |
2,897 |
$ |
3,159 |
$ |
3,473 |
||||||||||
|
Average sales per square foot (2)(5)(6) |
$ |
253 |
$ |
246 |
$ |
255 |
$ |
281 |
$ |
321 |
||||||||||
|
(1) Our fiscal year is a 52/53 week year ending on the Saturday closest to January 31. Unless otherwise stated, references to years 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022 and 2021 relate respectively to the fiscal years ended January 31, 2026, February 1, 2025, February 3, 2024, January 28, 2023 and January 29, 2022. Fiscal 2023 consisted of 53 weeks and fiscal years 2025, 2024, 2022 and 2021 all consisted of 52 weeks. |
|
(2) Selected Operating Data for Fiscal 2023 has been adjusted to a comparable 52-week period ended January 27, 2024. The 53rd week in Fiscal 2023 caused a one-week shift in our fiscal calendar. To minimize the effect of this fiscal calendar shift on comparable stores Net Sales, our reported annual comparable stores Net Sales results for Fiscal 2023 compare the 52-week period ended January 27, 2024 to the 52-week period ended January 28, 2023, and our comparable stores Net Sales results for fiscal 2024 compare the 52-week period ended February 1, 2025 to the 52-week period ended February 3, 2024. |
|
(3) Comparable stores Net Sales for the periods indicated include stores that have been open for 13 full months after such stores' acquisition or grand opening prior to the beginning of the period, including those stores that have been rebannered, relocated or remodeled. Therefore, stores opened, acquired or closed during the periods indicated are not included in comparable stores Net Sales. We include e-commerce sales in our comparable stores Net Sales. Due to our omnichannel retailer strategy, we view e-commerce sales as an extension of our physical stores. |
|
(4) Average sales per store includes e-commerce sales in states with a physical store location. |
|
(5) Average sales per square foot includes net e-commerce sales. We include e-commerce sales in our average sales per square foot as a result of our omnichannel retailer strategy. Due to our omnichannel retailer strategy, we view e-commerce sales as an extension of our physical stores. |
|
(6) In fiscal year 2021 average sales per store and average sales per square foot include only Shoe Carnival banner stores. |