Insight Guru Inc.
11/11/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 11/11/2026 16:02
The Reason To Buy Vertiv Stock Today
For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected].
If you watched Vertiv (VRT) stock lose 21% between its October 29 close and November 10, you are probably asking whether the selling is over. The case for buying anyway rests on the stock's historical performance following similar declines and a business whose sales are still growing fast. So what did buying Vertiv's earlier falls actually pay, and what did it cost to hold on?
Vertiv Buyers Made Money After Seven Of Nine Falls
Since March 2020, Vertiv stock has dropped more than 20% in a six-week span 11 times. Nine of those falls have a full year behind them, and a year later the stock was up a median 92%. The two that lost money came in October 2021 and January 2022, while the falls of July and October 2026 are too recent to judge.
Buyers also experienced further losses inside that year. The stock's lowest close reached a median 33.6% below its price on the day of the fall. The highest price of the year arrived a median 343 days after the drop, or about 11 months, so the gains ultimately went to people who waited.
| Time after a past dip | Past dips with that much time after them | Median VRT price change |
|---|---|---|
| 21 trading days | 10 | 10.5% |
| 63 trading days | 10 | 17.5% |
| 126 trading days | 9 | 33.0% |
| 252 trading days | 9 | 92.0% |
| Dip date | Fall to dip date (VRT / SPY) | 1 year later | Best in that year (days to it) | Worst in that year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | -23.2% / -1.0% | - | - | - |
| 2026-07-29 | -28.5% / -3.0% | - | - | - |
| 2025-02-20 | -21.8% / 3.0% | 148.0% | 150.5% (370 days) | -43.3% |
| 2024-07-30 | -20.1% / 0.0% | 92.0% | 110.3% (177 days) | -18.6% |
| 2023-04-06 | -24.8% / 3.0% | 561.0% | 590.0% (363 days) | -1.6% |
| 2022-09-23 | -22.4% / -12.0% | 257.0% | 301.0% (343 days) | -2.7% |
| 2022-05-10 | -23.0% / -12.0% | 53.0% | 63.9% (289 days) | -18.2% |
| 2022-02-23 | -47.4% / -9.0% | 28.0% | 33.1% (365 days) | -33.6% |
| 2022-01-21 | -20.3% / -6.0% | -28.0% | 7.0% (19 days) | -61.5% |
| 2021-10-11 | -21.3% / -3.0% | -50.0% | 24.1% (25 days) | -63.1% |
| 2020-03-12 | -31.1% / -24.0% | 142.0% | 149.6% (348 days) | -36.0% |
| Median of 9 complete years | - | 92.0% | 110.3% (343 days) | -33.6% |
A dip date is the first day on which VRT was more than 20% below its price 30 trading days earlier, counted once per run of such days. Dips counted from 2018-07-30 to 2026-11-10. Fall to dip date: the price change over those 30 trading days, for VRT and for SPY over the same days. 1 year later: the price change 252 trading days after the dip date. Best and worst: the highest and lowest price in those 252 trading days against the dip-date price, with the calendar days to the highest. - means 252 trading days have not yet passed.
Vertiv's Third-Quarter Sales Grew 61%
Vertiv, which sells power and cooling equipment for data centers, generated $4.31 billion of sales in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended in September. Management said $100 million to $150 million of that amount represented revenue delayed from the second quarter. The company also retained more of every sales dollar, as its operating margin rose to 23.0%, and the company said its operating profit was up 90% from a year earlier. Over the last four quarters, it kept 23.9% of its revenue as free cash flow, about twice Eaton's 11.9%.
Management expects fourth-quarter sales of $4.31 billion to $4.51 billion, at or above the third quarter's level, and said it is on track to double chiller production capacity by year end. Buyers pay a premium for that growth. At its November 10 close, Vertiv traded at 35.6 times its earnings over the last four quarters, against 22.3 for the S&P 500.
Buyers will also have less data to evaluate going forward. On the October 28 call, management said third-quarter orders were up more than 100% from a year earlier, organically, but that the company does not plan to share orders data going forward.
What Could Go Wrong For A Vertiv Buyer Today?
The case for buying would no longer hold if Vertiv's sales growth slowed by more than management expects. Vertiv's fourth-quarter sales, against management's guide, are the number to watch when the company reports, expected in February 2027. A buyer today should also be ready for a further fall like the ones past buyers sat through in the year after each drop.
What Would Selling Vertiv Cost You In Tax?
If you bought long ago, selling can bring a large tax bill, and holding keeps all the risk. A free 30-minute strategy review with our partner advisory firm covers a floor under a large position and a lower-tax way out.
Spot an error or want more like this? Tell us in 10 seconds.
Insight Guru Inc. published this content on November 11, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed via Public Technologies (PUBT), unedited and unaltered, on November 11, 2026 at 22:02 UTC. If you believe the information included in the content is inaccurate or outdated and requires editing or removal, please contact us at [email protected]