Missouri Nearly Fails Cato’s Test

Missouri's government spending is out of control, and a new report from the Cato Institute, a free-market think in Washington, D.C., confirms it. Each year, the institute grades America's governors on a variety of budget-related characteristics: revenues, spending, and tax rates. After years of middling grades, Missouri's Governor Mike Parson received a nearly failing grade of a "D" in the report's latest edition.

According to the report, "Parson has been a tax reformer, but he has dropped the ball on spending control." To Parson's credit, he's signed multiple bills into law that have cut Missouri's individual income tax rate. When Parson entered office, the rate was 5.9%, and next year the governor has already announced that it will be dropping again to 4.7%. This will mark the 5th time the rate has been lowered since 2018.

Working against Gov. Parson is his support of the state's gas tax hike in 2021. During the debate about the gas tax hike, I wrote frequently about my concerns with the bill. I am generally supportive of user fees and gas taxes, but the 2021 bill had a lot of problems. After multiple attempts to convince Missouri voters to raise the gas tax, our elected officials decided they could do it without public support.

At the time, I questioned whether the move violated the state's constitution. The Hancock Amendment purportedly prevents Missouri's general assembly from raising taxes without a public vote. But the bill sidestepped the amendment with a convoluted rebate scheme and implementation over several years.

Nevertheless, the biggest mark against Gov. Parson by Cato was the state's out of control spending, which is another topic I've been writing about for several years. Missouri's budget has grown tremendously under the current governor's watch, in both size and scope. For several years, it was easy to attribute much of the increase to the federal influx of COVID-19 relief money, but that money is drying up, and Missouri's expected general revenue (where our state income and sales taxes go) spending is still up nearly 50% from just three years ago.

Though it shouldn't need to be said, this cycle of perpetual spending increases is unsustainable. Not only is our government spending outpacing inflation, but it's also outpacing our neighboring states. Gov. Parson's grade was tied for the worst among Missouri and its bordering states (Kentucky also got a "D"), with the governors of Iowa, Nebraska, and Arkansas receiving exemplary "A" grades.

It should be unacceptable that the Show-Me State lags our neighbors, let alone much of the country, in the stewardship of state tax dollars. Going into 2025, Missouri will have a new governor, and a new chance to improve its fiscal policy grade. Let's hope our elected officials take advantage of the opportunity.