Quarterly Report for Quarter Ending March 31, 2026 (Form 10-Q)

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

$ in thousands, except per share data

The purpose of this discussion and analysis is to provide information about the financial condition and results of operations of the Company. Please refer to the financial statements and other information included in this report as well as the Company's 2025 Form 10-K for an understanding of the following discussion and analysis. References in the following discussion and analysis to "we" or "us" refer to the Company unless the context indicates that the reference is to the Bank.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

We make forward-looking statements in this Form 10-Q that are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements regarding our profitability, liquidity, allowance for credit losses, interest rate sensitivity, market risk, growth strategy, and financial and other goals, and are based upon management's views and assumptions as of the date of this report. The words "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," "projects," "contemplates," "anticipates," "forecasts," "intends," or other similar words or terms are intended to identify forward-looking statements.

These forward-looking statements are based upon or are affected by factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from historical results or from any results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, effects of or changes in:

These risks and uncertainties should be considered in evaluating the forward-looking statements contained in this report. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on those statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the description of our "Risk Factors" in Item 1A of the Company's 2025 Form 10-K.

Overview

NBI is a financial holding company that was organized in 1986 under the laws of Virginia and is registered under the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956. NBI common stock is listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market and is traded under the symbol "NKSH."

NBI has two wholly-owned subsidiaries; the National Bank of Blacksburg ("NBB") and National Bankshares Financial Services, Inc. ("NBFS"). NBB is a community bank and does business as National Bank from 28 office locations and one loan production office. NBB is the source of nearly all of the Company's revenue. NBFS does business as National Bankshares Investment Services and National Bankshares Insurance Services.

Critical Accounting Policies

The Company's consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. The financial information contained within our statements is, to a significant extent, based on measures of the financial effects of transactions and events that have already occurred. A variety of factors could affect the ultimate value obtained when earning income, recognizing an expense, recovering an asset or relieving a liability. Although the economics of the Company's transactions may not change, the timing of events that would impact the transactions could change.

Critical accounting policies are most important to the portrayal of the Company's financial condition or results of operations and require management's most difficult, subjective, and complex judgments about matters that are inherently uncertain. If conditions occur that differ from our assumptions, depending upon the severity of such differences, the Company's financial condition or results of operations may be materially impacted. The Company designates as critical those policies governing the ACLL and the pension plan. The Company evaluates its critical accounting estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis and updates them as needed.

ACLL

The ACLL represents the Company's best estimate of current expected credit losses on loans over the expected life as of the measurement date. The estimation utilizes internal and peer historical credit loss experience, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. The results are also dependent upon management's selection of methodologies, loan credit risk ratings, and determination of the impact of internal and external variables.

The Company employs a discounted cash flow ("DCF") model whereby cash flows are projected according to each loan's contractual terms and modified by internal historical prepayment rates. Cash flows are then discounted at the loan's effective interest rate, modified by loss rates determined using the probability of default ("PD") and loss given default ("LGD") sourced from internal and peer historical experience, and a forecast variable. Application of historical prepayment rates to project cash flows lowers the ACLL. Historical prepayment rates may not be representative of realized prepayment rates. Similarly, historical loss experience modified by the forecast variable may not be representative of realized loss experience.

Key to loss rate application is the Company's risk grading system, which is governed by a robust policy. Loss rates are calculated and applied by risk grade. Management relies upon risk grades to identify loans with risk characteristics that are different from other loans within a segment. Loans graded special mention or classified and that exceed a value threshold are individually evaluated. If management determines that a borrower is experiencing financial difficulty and repayment is expected to be provided substantially through the operation or sale of the collateral, expected credit losses are based on the fair value of the collateral at the measurement date, adjusted for estimated selling costs if satisfaction of the loan depends on the sale of the collateral. Specific reserves for other individually evaluated loans are estimated using a DCF approach. Cash flows are determined by analyzing the borrower's ability to repay and economic conditions affecting the borrower's industry, discounted at loss rates appropriate to the risk grade. The ultimate recoverability of the loan may be higher or lower than the specific reserve.

The Company adjusts collectively-evaluated DCF model results for qualitative risk factors that are not inherent in historical losses, but are relevant in assessing expected credit losses within the loan portfolio. Risks considered include the impact of changes in(i) economic conditions, (ii) the nature and volume of the loan portfolio, (iii) the existence, growth and effect of any concentrations in credit, (iv) lending policies and procedures, including underwriting standards and practices, (v) the quality of the credit review function, (vi) the experience, ability and depth of lending management and staff, (vii) the volume and severity of past due loans, (viii)the value of underlying collateral for collateral-dependent loans, and (ix) other factors such as the regulatory, legal and competitive environments. Because of low loss rate history, statistical correlation between losses and qualitative risk factors is not possible and adjustments are based upon management judgment. Management assesses each factor and determines the adjustment to the ACLL based upon a documented and consistently applied methodology. Management's assessment my be higher or lower than actual impact.

The estimation of the ACLL involves analysis of internal and external variables, methodologies, assumptions and management's judgment and experience. These judgments are inherently subjective and actual losses could be greater or less than the estimate.Future estimates of the ACLL could increase or decrease based on changes in the financial condition of individual borrowers,concentrations of various types of loans, economic conditions or the markets in which collateral may be sold. The estimate of the ACLL determines the amount of provision expense and directly affects our financial results.

Pension Plan

Pension obligations are determined through actuarial calculations based upon significant assumptions, including the IRS mortality table, an effective interest rate of 5.35% for 2026 and 5.32% for 2025, a discount rate of 5.25% for 2026 and 5.50% for 2025, anticipated rate of compensation increases of 4% for both 2026 and 2025, and an expected long-term rate of return of 7.50% for 2026 and 2025. Actual outcomes could vary from the assumptions and result in underaccrual or overaccrual of pension obligations.

For information on the Company's critical accounting policies, please refer to the Company's 2025 Form 10-K, Note 1: Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.

Performance Summary

Key to understanding the Company's results of operations and financial position is the interest rate environment. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts between September 2025 and December 2025 eased deposit pricing pressure but remain at a level that allows adjustable rate loans to reprice higher than their previous rates. The Company completed the core system conversion during the second quarter of 2025, with related expenses presented in core system conversion expense on the Consolidated Statements of Income. Expanded discussion is provided in subsequent sections.

The following table presents the Company's key performance indicators for the periods indicated.

Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2026 increased when compared with the comparable period of 2025, due to net interest margin expansion. Analysis of the net interest margin as well as key noninterest income and expense items are presented below.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This report refers to certain financial measures that are computed under a basis other than GAAP ("non-GAAP"). The Company uses certain non-GAAP financial measures to provide meaningful supplemental information regarding the Company's operational performance and to enhance investors' overall understanding of such financial performance. The methodology for determining these non-GAAP measures may differ among companies. Non-GAAP measures are supplemental and not a substitute for, or more important than, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Details on non-GAAP measures follow.

Net Interest Margin

The Company uses the net interest margin (non-GAAP) to measure profitability of interest generating activities, as a percentage of total interest-earning assets. The Company's net interest margin is calculated on a fully taxable equivalent ("FTE") basis. The portion of interest income that is nontaxable is grossed up to the tax equivalent by adding the tax benefit based on a tax rate of 21%. Annualized FTE net interest income is divided by total average earning assets to calculate the net interest margin. The following tables present the reconciliation of tax equivalent net interest income, which is not a measurement under GAAP, to net interest income, for the periods indicated.

Efficiency Ratio

The efficiency ratio is computed by dividing noninterest expense by the sum of FTE net interest income and noninterest income, excluding certain items the Company's management deems unusual or non-recurring. This is a non-GAAP financial measure that the Company believes provides investors with important information regarding operational efficiency. The components of the efficiency ratio calculation for the periods indicated are summarized in the following table.

Adjusted Return on Average Assets and Adjusted Return on Average Equity

The adjusted return on average assets and adjusted return on average equity are measures of profitability, calculated by annualizing net income and dividing by average year-to-date assets or equity, respectively. Significant income or expenses that are unusual or not expected to recur during the year are not annualized, in order to reduce distortion within the ratios. The tables below present the reconciliation of adjusted annualized net income, which is not a measurement under GAAP, for the periods indicated.

Net Interest Income

The following tables show interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, the interest earned or paid, the average yield or rate on the daily average balance outstanding, net interest income and net interest margin for the periods indicated.

When the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025 are compared, the yield on earning assets increased and the cost of interest bearing liabilities decreased, improving the net interest margin. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts between September and December 2025 immediately reduced expense for deposits with pricing based on the prime interest rate. Current interest rates are still at a level that will allow improved interest income as loans continue to reach repricing dates.

Noninterest Income

Service charges on deposit accounts decreased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025, while other service charges and fees increased. The increase in other service charges and fees is due to a change in the way the Company recognizes safe deposit box rent. Prior to the core system conversion during the second quarter of 2025, safe deposit box rent was recognized on an accrual basis. Following the core system conversion, safe deposit box rent is recognized upon receipt.

Credit and debit card fees, net, increased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025, due to contract re-negotiation associated with the core system conversion.

Other income includes revenue from investment and insurance sales, adjustments to partnership basis and other miscellaneous components. Securities sales, FHLB dividends and derivatives income account for the increase when the three months ended March 31, 2026 is compared with the comparable period of 2025.

Noninterest Expense

Noninterest expense increased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025. Salaries and employee benefits, which include payroll taxes, health insurance, contributions to the employee stock ownership plan and employee 401(k), pension expense, incentives and salary continuation increased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 is compared with the comparable period of 2025, driven by higher incentive and insurance expense.

Occupancy, furniture and fixtures expense increased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025 due to depreciation of assets placed in service after the first quarter of 2025 and additional lease expense.

Data processing expenses decreased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025 due to savings related to the core system conversion.

Professional services include legal, audit and consulting expenses, which increased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025 due to higher audit and consulting fees.

Core system conversion expense includes payments made to vendors in advance of the system upgrade completed during the second quarter of 2025.

Other operating expense decreased when the three months ended March 31, 2026 are compared with the comparable period of 2025. The category of other operating expenses includes expense for marketing and business development, supplies, non-service pension cost and charitable donations, among others. Included in various categories of noninterest expense are expenses to manage cybersecurity risk. The cost of these measures was $131 for the three months ended March 31, 2026 and $81 for the three months ended March 31, 2025. The Company places high priority on cybersecurity. The decrease in expense reflects renegotiation of contracts and licensing.

Income Tax

The Company's income tax expense for the three months ended March 31, 2026 was $1,066 and effective tax rate was 17.63%. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, the Company's income tax expense was $666 and effective tax rate was 17.07%. The effective tax rate increased due to comparable levels of nontaxable income while pre-tax earnings increased during the period.

Asset Quality

Key indicators of the Company's asset quality are presented in the following table.

For information on the Company's policies on the ACLL, please refer to the Company's 2025 Form 10-K, Note 1: Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.

The Company's risk analysis as of March 31, 2026 determined an ACLL of $9,739, or 0.98% of loans net of deferred fees and costs. This compares with an ACLL of $9,892 as of December 31, 2025, or 0.99% of loans. To determine the appropriate level of the ACLL, the Company considers credit risk for individually evaluated loans and for groups of collectively evaluated loans.

Individually Evaluated Loans

Individually evaluated loans were $8,898 as of March 31, 2026 and $8,802 as of December 31, 2025. As of both reporting dates, two individually evaluated loans were collateral dependent but were adequately collateralized and did not result in an individual allocation. The remaining individually evaluated loans were measured using the discounted cash flow method, resulting in an allocation of $106.

Collectively Evaluated Loans

Collectively evaluated loans totaled $987,166, with an ACLL of $9,633 as of March 31, 2026. As of December 31, 2025, collectively evaluated loans totaled $991,124, with an allowance of $9,786.

Collectively evaluated loans are divided into classes based upon risk characteristics. Utilizing historical loss information and peer data, the Company calculates probability of default ("PD") and loss given default ("LGD") for each class, which is adjusted for a reasonable and supportable forecast. Cash flow projections based on each loan's contractual terms are modified by the adjusted PD and LGD for its class. Loan classes are allocated additional loss estimates based upon the Company's analysis of qualitative factors including economic measures, asset quality indicators, loan characteristics, and changes to internal Company policies and management.

Reasonable and Supportable Forecast

The Company applies national unemployment forecasts to project cash flows. The Company determined that 12 months represents a reasonable and supportable forecast period as of March 31, 2026, and set a period of 12 months to revert to historical losses on a straight-line basis. The forecast applied as of March 31, 2026 projects that unemployment will increase slightly over the next 12 months, higher than the forecast applied as of December 31, 2025. The higher unemployment forecast increased the required level of the ACLL when March 31, 2026 is compared with December 31, 2025.

Qualitative Factors: Economic

The Company sources economic data pertinent to its market from the most recently available publications, including business and personal bankruptcy filings, the residential vacancy rate and the inventory of new and existing homes.

Higher bankruptcy filings indicate heightened credit risk and increase the ACLL, while lower bankruptcy filings have a beneficial impact on credit risk. Compared with data available as of December 31, 2025, business bankruptcy filings increased while personal bankruptcies filings decreased.

Residential vacancy rates and housing inventory are used to measure the health of the housing market. The housing market directly or indirectly affects all loan classes.. Higher vacancy and inventory levels increase credit risk. The residential vacancy rate available as of March 31, 2026 was at a lower level than the data incorporated into the December 31, 2025 calculation. Housing data available as of March 31, 2026 showed slightly lower inventory than as of December 31, 2025, resulting in a lower allocation.

Qualitative Factors: Asset Quality Indicators

Accruing past due loans are analyzed at the class level and compared with previous levels. Increases in past due loans indicate heightened credit risk. Accruing loans past due 30-89 days were 0.29% of total loans as of March 31, 2026, a decrease from 0.35% as of December 31, 2025.

Qualitative Factors: Other Considerations

The Company considers other factors that impact credit risk, including the competitive, legal and regulatory environments, changes in lending policies and loan review, changes in lending management and high risk loans.

Competitive, legal and regulatory environments were evaluated for changes that would affect credit risk. Higher competition for loans is deemed to increase credit risk, while lower competition decreases credit risk. Competition remained at similar levels to those at December 31, 2025. The legal and regulatory environments also remain in a similar posture to December 31, 2025.

Lending policies, loan review procedures and management's experience influence credit risk. Policies and procedures remain similar to those at December 31, 2025.

Levels of high risk loans are considered in the determination of the level of the ACLL. A decrease in the level of high risk loans within a class decreases the required allocation for the loan class, and an increase in the level of high risk loans within a class increases the required allocation for the loan class. Total high risk loans increased from the level at December 31, 2025.

The Company monitors local economic news and internal indicators to consider the presence of risk that may not be reflected in its designated qualitative factors above. As of March 31, 2026, management identified elevated local unemployment data and collection activity, similar to December 31, 2025. The Company maintained its allocation from December 31, 2025.

Conclusion

The calculation of the appropriate level for the ACLL incorporates analysis of multiple factors and requires management's prudent and informed judgment. Based on analysis of historical indicators, asset quality and economic factors, management believes the level of ACLL is reasonable for the credit risk in the loan portfolio as of March 31, 2026.

ACL on Unfunded Commitments

The ACL on unfunded commitments was $288, or 0.15% of unfunded commitments as of March 31, 2026. The ACL on unfunded commitments was $298, or 0.17% as of December 31, 2025.

Provision for (Recovery of) Credit Losses

The provision for credit losses represents charges to earnings necessary to maintain an adequate allowance. The adequacy of the ACLL is reviewed quarterly and adjustments are made as determined necessary. The Company recorded a recovery of credit losses on loans of $63 and a recovery of credit losses on unfunded commitments of $10 for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared with a provision for credit losses on loans of $277 and a recovery of $1 for unfunded commitments for the three months ended March 31, 2025. Changes in loss rates, qualitative factors and a lower balance of loans accounted for the difference in (recovery of) provision for credit losses.

Loan Modifications

In the ordinary course of business the Company modifies loan terms on a case-by-case basis for a variety of reasons. Modifications may include rate reductions, payment extensions of varying lengths of time, a change in amortization term or method or other arrangements. Modifications to consumer loans generally involve short-term payment extensions to accommodate specific, temporary circumstances. Modifications to commercial loans may include, but are not limited to, changes in interest rate, maturity, amortization and financial covenants.

The Company reviews modifications to determine whether the borrower is experiencing financial difficulty, including indicators of default, bankruptcy, going concern, insufficient projected cash flows and inability to obtain financing from other sources. Please refer to Note 2: Loans and Allowance for Credit Losses in Part I, Item 1 of this report for more information on loans modified for borrowers experiencing financial difficulty.

During the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, the Company modified loans in the normal course of business for borrowers who were not experiencing financial difficulty. During the three months ended March 31, 2026, the Company modified 70 loans totaling $27,988. During the three months ended March 31, 2025, the Company provided 195 modifications to loans totaling $24,105.

Key Assets and Liabilities

NBI's key assets and liabilities and their change from March 31, 2025 are shown in the following table.

Average Balances

Year-to-date daily averages for the major balance sheet categories are as follows:

Increased customer deposits resulted in increased investment in interest bearing deposit assets. Changes in securities, loans, deposits and stockholders' equity are discussed below.

Securities

The Company's securities are designated as available for sale and as such, are reported at fair value. The following table presents information on securities available for sale as of the dates indicated:

The Company purchased bonds totaling $19,555 during the first quarter of 2026. The unrealized loss in the Company's investment portfolio is due to interest rate risk. The fair value of bonds moves inversely to interest rate changes and expectations of interest rate changes. A large percentage of the Company's securities were purchased during the period prior to the Federal Reserve's interest rate increases that began in March of 2022. The Company's analysis of the securities portfolio determined no identifiable credit risk as of March 31, 2026 and no ACL has been recorded. Please refer to Note 1: General and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies of the Company's 2025 Form 10-K and Note 3: Securities in Part I, Item 1 of this report for additional information on the securities portfolio.

Loans

Lower demand and increased competition resulted in a slight decrease in the loan portfolio when March 31, 2026 is compared with December 31, 2025. The Company is positioned to make every loan that meets its underwriting standards.

Deposits

The Company continues to focus on providing new deposit products that provide additional functionality and marketing opportunity, enabled by the core system conversion completed in 2025. During the first quarter of 2026, the Company implemented a treasury management suite for commercial and municipal deposit customers, with additional product releases planned throughout 2026.

The Company's depositors within its market area are diverse, including individuals, businesses and municipalities. The Company does not have any brokered deposits. Depositors are insured up to the FDIC maximum of $250 thousand. Municipal deposits, which account for approximately 22% of the Company's deposits, have additional security from bonds pledged as collateral, in accordance with state regulation. Uninsured non-municipal deposits are approximately 20% of total deposits. As of March 31, 2026, the Company's largest deposit relationship was 5.15% of total deposits.

Capital Resources

The increase in stockholders' equity reflects net income for the three months ended March 31, 2026, partially offset by a decrease in market value of securities available for sale when March 31, 2026 is compared with December 31, 2025.

The Company qualifies as a small bank holding company under the Federal Reserve's Small Bank Holding Company Policy Statement, which exempts bank holding companies with less than $3 billion in assets from reporting consolidated regulatory capital ratios and from minimum regulatory capital requirements. NBB is subject to various capital requirements administered by banking agencies, including an additional capital conservation buffer in order to make capital distributions or discretionary bonus payments. Risk-based capital ratios are calculated in compliance with OCC rules based on the Basel III Capital Rules. Capital ratios for NBB are shown in the following table.

Liquidity

Liquidity measures the Company's ability to meet its financial commitments at a reasonable cost. Demands on the Company's liquidity include funding additional loan demand and accepting withdrawals of existing deposits. The Company has diverse liquidity sources, including customer and purchased deposits, customer repayments of loan principal and interest, sales, calls and maturities of securities, Federal Reserve discount window borrowing, short-term borrowing, and FHLB advances.

As of March 31, 2026, the Company had $303,165 of borrowing capacity from the FHLB and $184,437 of borrowing capacity at the Federal Reserve Bank discount window. As of March 31, 2026, the Company did not have purchased deposits, discount window borrowings or short-term borrowings.

The Company considers its security portfolio for typical liquidity needs, within accounting, legal and strategic parameters. Portions of the securities portfolio are pledged to meet state requirements for public funds deposits. Discount window borrowings also require pledged securities. Increased/decreased liquidity from public funds deposits or discount window borrowings results in increased/decreased liquidity from pledging requirements. The Company monitors public funds pledging requirements and unpledged available for sale securities accessible for liquidity needs.

Regulatory capital levels determine the Company's ability to use purchased deposits and the Federal Reserve Bank discount window. As of March 31, 2026, the Company is considered well capitalized and does not have any restrictions on purchased deposits or borrowing ability at the Federal Reserve Bank discount window.

The Company monitors factors that may increase its liquidity needs. Some of these factors include deposit trends, large depositor activity, maturing deposit promotions, interest rate sensitivity, maturity and repricing timing gaps between assets and liabilities, the level of unfunded loan commitments and loan growth. As of March 31, 2026, the Company's liquidity is sufficient to meet projected trends.

To monitor and estimate liquidity levels, the Company performs stress testing under varying assumptions on credit sensitive liabilities and the sources and amounts of balance sheet and external liquidity available to replace outflows. The Company's Contingency Funding Plan sets forth avenues for rectifying liquidity shortfalls. As of March 31, 2026, the analysis indicated adequate liquidity under the tested scenarios.

The Company utilizes several other strategies to maintain sufficient liquidity. Loan and deposit growth are managed to keep the loan to deposit ratio within the Company's internally-set target range. As of March 31, 2026, the loan to deposit ratio was 61.08%. The investment strategy takes into consideration the term of the investment, and securities in the available for sale portfolio are laddered based upon projected funding needs.

As of March 31, 2026, the Company was not aware of any other known trends, events or uncertainties that have or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on our liquidity. As of March 31, 2026, the Company has no material commitments for long-term debt or for capital expenditures.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

In the normal course of business, NBB extends lines of credit to its customers. Depending on their needs, customers may draw upon lines of credit at any time in any amount up to a pre-approved limit. The Bank also issues two types of standby letters of credit to customers: financial standby letters of credit that guarantee payment to facilitate customer purchases and performance letters of credit that guarantee payment if the customer fails to perform a specific obligation. Amounts drawn upon these lines and letters of credit vary at any given time depending on the business needs of the customers.

While it would be possible for customers to fully draw on approved lines of credit and for beneficiaries to call all letters of credit, historically this has not occurred. In the event of a sudden and substantial draw on these lines, the Company would manage liquidity using borrowing capacity, raising additional deposits, or selling securities available for sale or loans.

The Company sells mortgages on the secondary market subject to recourse agreements. The mortgages originated must meet strict underwriting and documentation requirements for the sale to be completed. To date, no recourse provisions have ever been invoked. If the Company identified a factor or trend that indicated recourse risk, a loss reserve would be recorded.

Contractual Obligations

The Company had no finance lease or purchase obligations and no long-term debt at March 31, 2026.