Insight Guru Inc.
03/18/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 03/18/2026 07:58
Freshpet Stock To $88
Freshpet Stock To $88?
March 18th, 2026by Trefis Team
FRPT
Freshpet
Freshpet (FRPT) stock has fallen by 21.1% in less than a month, from $85.50 on 4th Mar, 2026 to $67.42 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Freshpet Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, FRPT stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 9.5%, with median peak returns reaching 57%. We define a sharp dip as a stock going down 20% or more in less than a 30-day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Trefis: FRPT Stock InsightsHistorical Median Returns Post Dips
Relevant Articles
| Period | Past Median Return |
| 1M | -1.6% |
| 3M | 14.8% |
| 6M | 30.5% |
| 12M | 9.5% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
FRPT had 16 events since 11/7/2014 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 57% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 216 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -23% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | FRPT Subsequent Performance | |||||||
| Date | FRPT | SPY | 1Y |
Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 10% | 57% | -23% | 216 | ||||
| 8252025 | -22% | 3% | 20% | 52% | -14% | 191 | ||
| 7072025 | -20% | 5% | -1% | 26% | -29% | 240 | ||
| 2202025 | -27% | 3% | -24% | 1% | -55% | 4 | ||
| 9252023 | -20% | -3% | 121% | 124% | -13% | 361 | ||
| 12192022 | -22% | 1% | 59% | 63% | -3% | 365 | ||
| 9082022 | -22% | -0% | 86% | 112% | 0% | 333 | ||
| 5042022 | -21% | -5% | -14% | 0% | -52% | 0 | ||
| 11242021 | -23% | 8% | -39% | 4% | -64% | 146 | ||
| 8102021 | -20% | 4% | -65% | 18% | -66% | 77 | ||
| 3122020 | -21% | -24% | 197% | 229% | -17% | 337 | ||
| 8062019 | -23% | -2% | 181% | 185% | 0% | 364 | ||
| 12242018 | -23% | -16% | 106% | 106% | 0% | 365 | ||
| 1272016 | -20% | -6% | 81% | 84% | -4% | 363 | ||
| 8072015 | -24% | -1% | -34% | 0% | -64% | 0 | ||
| 5212015 | -22% | 2% | -55% | 8% | -70% | 35 | ||
| 12222014 | -25% | 3% | -41% | 77% | -58% | 108 | ||
Freshpet Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 13.0% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 23.0% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 14.6% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | - | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 6.0 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 19.7 |
Not sure if you can take a call on FRPT stock? Consider portfolio approach
Portfolios Win When Stock Picks Fall Short
Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio helps you invest, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure.
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 - the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as is evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.
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Insight Guru Inc. published this content on March 18, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed via Public Technologies (PUBT), unedited and unaltered, on March 18, 2026 at 13:58 UTC. If you believe the information included in the content is inaccurate or outdated and requires editing or removal, please contact us at [email protected]