Orchid Island Capital Inc.

01/08/2025 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 01/08/2025 15:58

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES ESTIMATED FOURTH QUARTER 2024 RESULTS JANUARY 2025 MONTHLY DIVIDEND AND DECEMBER 31, 2024 RMBS PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS Form 8 K

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES

ESTIMATED FOURTH QUARTER 2024 RESULTS

JANUARY 2025 MONTHLY DIVIDEND AND

DECEMBER 31, 2024 RMBS PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS

January 2025 Monthly Dividend of $0.12 Per Share of Common Stock

Estimated Book Value Per Share as of December 31, 2024 of $8.09
Estimated GAAP net income of $0.07 per share for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, including an estimated $0.02 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments
Estimated 0.6% total return on equity for the quarter ended December 31, 2024
Estimated book value, net income and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of December 31, 2024

Next Dividend Announcement Expected February 12, 2025

Vero Beach, Fla., January 8, 2025 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the "Company") (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of January 2025. The dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid February 27, 2025 to holders of record of the Company's common stock on January 31, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of January 31, 2025. The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend on February 12, 2025.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust ("REIT"), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of January 8, 2025, the Company had 84,613,638 shares of common stock outstanding. As of December 31, 2024, the Company had 82,622,464 shares of common stock outstanding. As of September 30, 2024, the Company had 78,082,645 shares of common stock outstanding.

Estimated December 31, 2024 Book Value Per Share

The Company's estimated book value per share as of December 31, 2024 was $8.09. The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At December 31, 2024, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $668.5 million with 82,622,464 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated net income per share of $0.07 for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, which includes an estimated $0.02 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share. Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income. The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Total Return on Equity

The Company's estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended December 31, 2024 was 0.6%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company's stockholders' equity at the beginning of the quarter. The total return was $0.05 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.31 from September 30, 2024.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of December 31, 2024 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company's financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, are subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm:

RMBS Valuation Characteristics

RMBS Assets by Agency

Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results

Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty

RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company's distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the "Risk Factors" section of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023.

RMBS Valuation Characteristics

($ in thousands)

Realized

Realized

Oct-24 -

Dec-24 Dec-24

Net

Weighted

CPR

CPR

Weighted Average (1-Month) (3-Month) Modeled Interest

Current

Fair

% of

Current

Average

Maturity

(Reported

(Reported

Rate Sensitivity (1)

Type

Face

Value

Portfolio

Price

Coupon

GWAC

Age

(Months)

in Jan)

in Jan)

(-50 BPS)

(+50 BPS)

Fixed Rate RMBS

15yr 5.0 TBA

$ 50,000 $ 49,742 0.94 % 99.48 5.00 % 5.85 % 6 170 n/a n/a $ 742 $ (817 )

15yr Total

50,000 49,742 0.94 % 99.48 5.00 % 5.85 % 6 170 n/a n/a 742 (817 )

30yr 3.0

1,095,967 945,375 17.83 % 86.26 3.00 % 3.47 % 45 308 6.2 % 6.5 % 29,549 (29,973 )

30yr 3.5

175,770 158,324 2.99 % 90.07 3.50 % 4.04 % 58 289 5.9 % 6.6 % 4,509 (4,559 )

30yr 4.0

526,006 483,036 9.11 % 91.83 4.00 % 4.64 % 71 282 5.7 % 5.3 % 12,738 (13,432 )

30yr 4.5

305,898 289,216 5.45 % 94.55 4.50 % 5.44 % 30 326 12.1 % 8.5 % 6,480 (6,971 )

30yr 5.0

574,297 556,505 10.49 % 96.90 5.00 % 5.94 % 25 330 4.9 % 5.6 % 11,855 (12,913 )

30yr 5.5

397,698 395,367 7.46 % 99.41 5.50 % 6.45 % 15 342 5.2 % 3.9 % 7,677 (8,617 )

30yr 6.0

1,201,764 1,218,206 22.97 % 101.37 6.00 % 6.98 % 12 343 8.8 % 11.6 % 19,254 (22,443 )

30yr 6.5

841,820 866,182 16.33 % 102.89 6.50 % 7.43 % 11 346 9.0 % 17.3 % 10,020 (12,404 )

30yr 7.0

312,055 325,601 6.14 % 104.34 7.00 % 7.94 % 14 339 21.1 % 32.2 % 3,015 (3,728 )

30yr Total

5,431,275 5,237,812 98.77 % 96.44 5.03 % 5.84 % 28 326 8.1 % 10.6 % 105,097 (115,040 )

Total Pass-Through MBS

5,481,275 5,287,554 99.71 % 96.47 5.03 % 5.84 % 28 325 8.1 % 10.6 % 105,839 (115,857 )

Structured MBS

IO 20yr 4.0

6,998 643 0.01 % 9.19 4.00 % 4.57 % 156 78 9.0 % 9.3 % 4 (3 )

IO 30yr 3.0

2,599 366 0.01 % 14.07 3.00 % 3.64 % 119 230 1.2 % 9.8 % 2 (2 )

IO 30yr 4.0

71,388 13,342 0.25 % 18.69 4.00 % 4.60 % 124 227 6.8 % 6.6 % (130 ) 86

IO 30yr 4.5

3,125 604 0.01 % 19.32 4.50 % 4.99 % 174 173 9.3 % 7.5 % - (1 )

IO 30yr 5.0

1,675 353 0.01 % 21.09 5.00 % 5.37 % 174 173 2.8 % 9.3 % (2 ) 1

IO Total

85,785 15,308 0.29 % 17.84 4.01 % 4.60 % 129 212 6.8 % 7.0 % (126 ) 81

IIO 30yr 4.0

21,971 190 0.00 % 0.86 0.00 % 4.40 % 87 261 0.4 % 7.3 % 97 (66 )

Total Structured RMBS

107,756 15,498 0.29 % 14.38 3.19 % 4.56 % 121 222 5.5 % 7.0 % (29 ) 15

Total Mortgage Assets

$ 5,589,031 $ 5,303,052 100.00 % 4.99 % 5.81 % 30 323 8.1 % 10.5 % $ 105,810 $ (115,842 )

Hedge

Modeled Interest

Notional

Period

Rate Sensitivity (1)

Hedge

Balance

End

(-50 BPS)

(+50 BPS)

5-Year Treasury Future(2)

$ (312,500 )

Mar-25

$ (6,370 ) $ 6,174

10-Year Treasury Future(3)

$ (93,500 )

Mar-25

$ (2,966 ) $ 2,878

10-Year Ultra Treasury Future(4)

$ (32,500 )

Mar-25

$ (1,429 ) $ 1,362

Swaps

(3,516,800 )

Jun-30

(83,890 ) 81,039

TBA

(200,000 )

Jan-25

(5,786 ) 5,977

Hedge Total

$ (4,155,300 ) $ (100,441 ) $ 97,430

Rate Shock Grand Total

$ 5,369 $ (18,412 )

(1)

Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.

(2) Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $106.30 at December 31, 2024. The market value of the short position was $332.2 million.
(3) Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $108.75 at December 31, 2024. The market value of the short position was $101.7 million.

(4)

Ten-year Ultra futures contracts were valued at prices of $111.31 at December 31, 2024. The market value of the short position was $93.5 million.

RMBS Assets by Agency

($ in thousands)

Percentage

Fair

of

Asset Category

Value

Portfolio

As of December 31, 2024

Fannie Mae

$ 3,742,774 70.6 %

Freddie Mac

1,560,278 29.4 %

Total Mortgage Assets

$ 5,303,052 100.0 %

Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test

($ in thousands)

Percentage

Fair

of

Asset Category

Value

Portfolio

As of December 31, 2024

Non-Whole Pool Assets

$ 203,346 3.8 %

Whole Pool Assets

5,099,706 96.2 %

Total Mortgage Assets

$ 5,303,052 100.0 %

Borrowings By Counterparty

($ in thousands)

Weighted

Weighted

% of

Average

Average

Total

Total

Repo

Maturity

Longest

As of December 31, 2024

Borrowings

Debt

Rate

in Days

Maturity

Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith

$ 360,113 7.2 % 4.67 % 21

1/21/2025

ABN AMRO Bank N.V.

335,584 6.7 % 4.60 % 17

1/17/2025

RBC Capital Markets, LLC

267,565 5.3 % 4.68 % 21

1/21/2025

Cantor Fitzgerald & Co

254,445 5.1 % 4.74 % 8

1/8/2025

DV Securities, LLC Repo

251,638 5.0 % 4.63 % 28

1/28/2025

MUFG Securities Canada, Ltd.

248,084 4.9 % 4.62 % 13

1/13/2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc.

244,546 4.9 % 4.66 % 13

1/21/2025

J.P. Morgan Securities LLC

241,633 4.8 % 4.77 % 8

1/27/2025

Daiwa Securities America Inc.

232,972 4.6 % 4.62 % 23

1/23/2025

Goldman, Sachs & Co

232,011 4.6 % 4.63 % 27

1/27/2025

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

227,854 4.5 % 4.76 % 17

1/17/2025

Citigroup Global Markets Inc

226,627 4.5 % 4.62 % 27

1/27/2025

Marex Capital Markets Inc.

211,474 4.2 % 4.62 % 21

1/21/2025

ASL Capital Markets Inc.

210,826 4.2 % 4.63 % 24

2/12/2025

ING Financial Markets LLC

208,713 4.2 % 4.63 % 30

1/30/2025

The Bank of Nova Scotia

192,117 3.8 % 4.66 % 21

1/21/2025

Bank of Montreal

191,010 3.8 % 4.60 % 21

1/21/2025

South Street Securities, LLC

184,014 3.7 % 4.71 % 22

1/24/2025

Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.

176,902 3.5 % 4.76 % 139

5/19/2025

Clear Street LLC

163,116 3.2 % 4.54 % 79

3/20/2025

StoneX Financial Inc.

151,169 3.0 % 4.63 % 17

1/17/2025

Banco Santander SA

90,417 1.8 % 4.75 % 17

1/17/2025

Nomura Securities International, Inc.

70,878 1.4 % 4.64 % 17

1/17/2025

Lucid Prime Fund, LLC

29,149 0.6 % 4.70 % 16

1/16/2025

Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

22,686 0.5 % 4.88 % 23

1/23/2025

Total Borrowings

$ 5,025,543 100.0 % 4.66 % 26

5/19/2025

Contact:

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Robert E. Cauley

3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963

Telephone: (772) 231-1400