In addition, due to the Index's momentum investment strategy, the Index may fail to realize gains that could occur as a result of
obtaining exposures to financial instruments that have experienced returns one direction, but which subsequently experience a
sudden return in the other direction. As a result, if market conditions do not represent a continuation of prior observed trends, the
level of the Index, which is rebalanced based on prior trends, may decline.
• THE INDEX MAY PERFORM POORLY AT TIMES WHEN THE PHASE OF THE MARKET CYCLE IS CHANGING OR DURING
PERIODS CHARACTERIZED BY SHORT-TERM VOLATILITY -
While historical data and statistical analysis support the premise that assets tend to move in multi-year cycles, performance of
assets will be variable, even within a particular phase of a market cycle, and the nature of a market cycle is such that the
performance of assets will shift from phases of positive performance to phases of negative performance over time. Because the
Index's strategy is based on momentum investing, the Index may perform poorly during times when a Constituent's performance is
not consistent with the current phase of the market cycle or when the current phase of the market cycle for that Constituent is
changing. In non-trending, sideways markets, momentum investment strategies are subject to "whipsaws." A whipsaw occurs
when the market reverses and does the opposite of what is indicated by the trend indicator, resulting in a trading loss during the
particular period. Consequently, the Index may perform poorly in non-trending, "choppy" markets characterized by short-term
volatility.
● BECAUSE THE INDEX MAY INCLUDE NOTIONAL SHORT POSITIONS, THE NOTES MAY BE SUBJECT TO ADDITIONAL
RISKS -
During each rebalancing of the Index, the Index may assign negative weights as low as -10% to one or more of the Equity
Constituents and the Bond Constituents and negative weights as low as -20% to one or both of the J.P. Morgan Brent Crude Oil
Futures Index and the J.P. Morgan Gold Futures Index (the "Commodity Constituents"), thereby providing notional short exposure
to one or more Constituents. Unlike long positions, short positions are subject to unlimited risk of loss because there is no limit on
the appreciation of the price of the relevant asset before the short position is closed. It is possible that a Constituent may
appreciate substantially while the Index is providing a notional short exposure to that Constituent, thus resulting in an adverse
effect on the level of the Index and the value of your notes.
Moreover, if the Index provides both notional long and short exposures to the Constituents, the total long and short exposure to the
Constituents may exceed 100%, perhaps significantly, which increases the risk that the Index will suffer losses, thereby adversely
affecting any payment on the notes and the value of the notes.
• THE INDEX MAY NOT APPROXIMATE ITS INITIAL VOLATILITY THRESHOLD OF 4% -
No assurance can be given that the Index will maintain an annualized realized volatility that approximates its initial volatility
threshold of 4%. The actual realized volatility of the Index will depend on the performance of the Constituents included in the
selected portfolio(s) from time to time, and, at any time or for extended periods, may be greater than 4%, perhaps significantly, or
less than 4%. Furthermore, the volatility threshold of the Index is subject to upward adjustment and, thus, the realized volatility
threshold used to determine any selected portfolio may be greater than 4%, perhaps significantly. While the assigned weights of
the notional portfolio(s) tracked by the Index are based in part on the recent historical volatility of the relevant notional portfolio,
there is no guarantee that trends existing in the relevant measurement periods will continue in the future. The volatility of the
notional portfolio on any day may change quickly and unexpectedly. Accordingly, the actual annualized realized volatility of the
Index on a daily basis may be greater than or less than the volatility threshold used to select the relevant selected portfolio(s),
which may adversely affect the level of the Index and the value of the notes.
In addition, due to the weight constraints applied in constructing the Index, the aggregate assigned weights of the Equity
Constituents will not be less than 10%, even if the Equity Constituents are performing poorly. In general, the Equity Constituents
will tend to receive their minimum weight of 10% during periods when equities are experiencing poor performance or high volatility.
In addition, during periods when equities are experiencing high volatility, the initial volatility threshold, and the actual realized
volatility, may be significantly higher than 4%, even if other assets are not experiencing high volatility.
• A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE INDEX'S EXPOSURE MAY BE ALLOCATED TO THE BOND CONSTITUENTS -
Under normal market conditions, the Equity Constituents and the Commodity Constituents have tended to exhibit realized
volatilities that are higher than the realized volatilities of the Bond Constituents in general over time. As a result, the Index will
generally need to reduce its exposure to the Equity Constituents and the Commodity Constituents in order to satisfy the volatility
threshold. Therefore, the Index may have significant exposure for an extended period of time to the Bond Constituents, and that
exposure may be greater, perhaps significantly greater, than its exposure to the Equity Constituents and the Commodity