NTSB Recommends FAA Update Runway Condition Assessment Matrix

​​​WASHINGTON (May 26, 2026) - The National Transportation Safety Board on Tuesday called for changes in the way runway conditions are assessed ​ during heavy rainfall, saying the current system increases the risk of a runway overrun.

The NTSB issued three safety recommendations to the Federal Aviation Administration aimed at improving its runway condition assessment matrix, or RCAM. Landing distances on wet runways are calculated using the current matrix. NTSB recommends the FAA update the RCAM to account for the progressive decrease in the wheel braking friction coefficient, the measure of the slipperiness of the runway, associated with increasing rainfall intensity.

NTSB also recommends the FAA add additional rainfall intensity descriptors for aviation weather reports to identify rainfall intensities that can exceed the current heavy rain threshold of 0.3 inches per hour. The rainfall intensity descriptors currently used in aviation weather reports do not identify the highest rainfall intensities that are possible at an airport, limiting flight crews' ability to accurately assess the runway condition and the required landing distance.

​​The recommendations follow NTSB investigations of 11 runway overrun accidents and incidents from 2008 through 2022 that occurred after landings on wet runways.

In one of those investigations, the 2019 runway overrun of a Boeing 737 in Jacksonville, Florida, the NTSB determined the probable cause was, in part, "an extreme loss of braking friction due to heavy rain and the water depth on the ungrooved runway, which resulted in viscous hydroplaning." Rainfall intensities at the time were two to eight times the heavy rain threshold value. Under such conditions, braking can be reduced to such an extent that pilots should not attempt to land.

Aviation Investigation Report 26-04 and the safety recommendations are available online.