04/28/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 04/28/2026 15:28
| Item 8.01. |
Other Events.
|
|
($ in millions)
|
Q4
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
2030E
|
|
||||||||||||
|
Net Income
|
$
|
38
|
$
|
137
|
$
|
258
|
$
|
305
|
$
|
323
|
$
|
339
|
||||||||||||
|
Operating Revenue
|
$
|
650
|
$
|
2,664
|
$
|
2,987
|
$
|
3,275
|
$
|
3,527
|
$
|
3,736
|
||||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDAR(1)
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
550
|
$
|
700
|
$
|
806
|
$
|
871
|
$
|
925
|
||||||||||||
|
Rent Expenses
|
(8
|
)
|
$
|
(22
|
)
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
$
|
(9
|
)
|
$
|
(9
|
)
|
$
|
(9
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
(61
|
)
|
$
|
(249
|
)
|
$
|
(257
|
)
|
$
|
(281
|
)
|
$
|
(311
|
)
|
$
|
(344
|
)
|
||||||
|
Adjusted EBIT(2)
|
$
|
73
|
$
|
279
|
$
|
426
|
$
|
516
|
$
|
551
|
$
|
572
|
||||||||||||
|
Unlevered Cash Taxes at 23.0%
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
$
|
(64
|
)
|
$
|
(98
|
)
|
$
|
(119
|
)
|
$
|
(127
|
)
|
$
|
(132
|
)
|
||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
61
|
$
|
249
|
$
|
257
|
$
|
281
|
$
|
311
|
$
|
344
|
||||||||||||
|
Deferred Heavy Maintenance
|
$
|
(8
|
)
|
$
|
(77
|
)
|
$
|
(189
|
)
|
$
|
(271
|
)
|
$
|
(255
|
)
|
$
|
(334
|
)
|
||||||
|
Capital Expenditures
|
$
|
(59
|
)
|
$
|
(656
|
)
|
$
|
(683
|
)
|
$
|
(548
|
)
|
$
|
(527
|
)
|
$
|
(515
|
)
|
||||||
|
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital(3)
|
$
|
(26
|
)
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
(293
|
)
|
$
|
9
|
$
|
49
|
$
|
79
|
||||||||||
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow(34)
|
$
|
25
|
$
|
(126
|
)
|
$
|
(580
|
)
|
$
|
(132
|
)
|
$
|
2
|
$
|
15
|
|
(1)
|
Adjusted EBITDAR means earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and aircraft rent expenses.
|
| (2) |
Adjusted EBIT means Adjusted EBITDAR but including aircraft rent expense, depreciation and amortization, excluding the impact of accelerated amortization and disposal of software identified for redevelopment and the accelerated depreciation of certain aircraft.
|
| (3) |
Excludes Deferred Heavy Maintenance.
|
|
(34)
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow means Adjusted EBIT plus depreciation and amortization and less unlevered cash taxes, deferred heavy maintenance, capital expenditures, and changes in working capital.
|
|
Q4
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Millions, for the periods ended
|
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Operating Revenue
|
$
|
279
|
$
|
1,178
|
$
|
1,352
|
$
|
1,412
|
$
|
1,458
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDAR(1)
|
$
|
48
|
$
|
209
|
$
|
276
|
$
|
294
|
$
|
300
|
||||||||||
|
Rent Expenses
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
(25
|
)
|
$
|
(106
|
)
|
$
|
(113
|
)
|
$
|
(111
|
)
|
$
|
(114
|
)
|
|||||
|
Adjusted EBIT(2)
|
$
|
23
|
$
|
103
|
$
|
163
|
$
|
183
|
$
|
186
|
||||||||||
|
Cash Taxes(3)
|
$
|
(5
|
)
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
$
|
(33
|
)
|
$
|
(38
|
)
|
$
|
(40
|
)
|
|||||
|
Net Interest Expense
|
NA(4)
|
$
|
(28
|
)
|
$
|
(21
|
)
|
$
|
(16
|
)
|
$
|
(10
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Adjusted NOPAT(35)
|
$
|
18
|
$
|
80
|
$
|
126
|
$
|
141
|
$
|
143
|
||||||||||
|
Capital Expenditures
|
$
|
22
|
$
|
81
|
$
|
57
|
$
|
69
|
$
|
76
|
||||||||||
|
(Increase) / Decrease in Net Working Capital
|
$
|
(3
|
)
|
$
|
(6
|
)
|
$
|
(31
|
)
|
$
|
(15
|
)
|
$
|
(13
|
)
|
|||||
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow(46)
|
$
|
24
|
$
|
110
|
$
|
213
|
$
|
198
|
$
|
195
|
||||||||||
|
(1)
|
Adjusted EBITDAR is defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, other income (expense), and aircraft rent expense, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(2)
|
Adjusted EBIT is defined as earnings before interest and taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(3)
|
Cash Taxes are based on Sun Country management's best estimate of the effective tax rate.
|
|
(4)
|
"NA" refers to not available.
|
|
(35)
|
Adjusted NOPAT is defined as Adjusted EBIT multiplied by one minus the applicable tax rate.
|
|
(46)
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow is defined as Adjusted NOPAT, plus depreciation and amortization, less capital expenditures and increases in net working capital.
|
|
Millions (other than Adjusted EPS), for the years ended
|
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBT(1)
|
$
|
67
|
$
|
75
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
167
|
$
|
176
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted Net Income(2)
|
$
|
48
|
$
|
58
|
$
|
110
|
$
|
129
|
$
|
136
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EPS
|
$
|
0.95
|
$
|
1.13
|
$
|
2.08
|
$
|
2.43
|
$
|
2.55
|
| (1) |
Adjusted EBT is defined as earnings before taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
| (2) |
Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
Q4
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Millions, for the periods ended
|
2025E(1)
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Operating Revenue
|
$
|
277
|
$
|
1,170
|
$
|
1,352
|
$
|
1,412
|
$
|
1,458
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDAR(2)(3)
|
$
|
41
|
$
|
211
|
$
|
276
|
$
|
294
|
$
|
300
|
||||||||||
|
Rent Expenses
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
(25
|
)
|
$
|
(106
|
)
|
$
|
(113
|
)
|
$
|
(111
|
)
|
$
|
(114
|
)
|
|||||
|
Adjusted EBIT (4)(5)
|
$
|
16
|
$
|
105
|
$
|
163
|
$
|
183
|
$
|
186
|
||||||||||
|
Cash Taxes(6)
|
$
|
(4
|
)
|
$
|
(19
|
)
|
$
|
(33
|
)
|
$
|
(38
|
)
|
$
|
(40
|
)
|
|||||
|
Net Interest Expense
|
NA(7)
|
$
|
(27
|
)
|
$
|
(21
|
)
|
$
|
(16
|
)
|
$
|
(10
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Adjusted NOPAT(68)
|
$
|
12
|
$
|
81
|
$
|
126
|
$
|
141
|
$
|
143
|
||||||||||
|
Capital Expenditures
|
$
|
50
|
$
|
81
|
$
|
57
|
$
|
69
|
$
|
76
|
||||||||||
|
(Increase) / Decrease in Net Working Capital
|
$
|
(43
|
)
|
$
|
(29
|
)
|
$
|
(18
|
)
|
-
|
$
|
(47
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow(79)
|
$
|
31
|
$
|
134
|
$
|
200
|
$
|
183
|
$
|
228
|
||||||||||
| (1) |
The December Sun Country management forecasts provided to Allegiant and Barclays included estimates of Operating Revenue, Adjusted EBITDAR and Adjusted EBIT for fiscal year 2025 of $1,121 million, $204 million and $105 million, respectively.
|
| (2) |
Adjusted EBITDAR is defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, other income (expense), and aircraft rent expense, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
| (3) |
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted EBITDAR which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $217 million, $283 million, $301 million and $307 million for the years ended December 31, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
|
(4)
|
Adjusted EBIT is defined as earnings before interest and taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(5)
|
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted EBIT which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $111 million, $170 million, $190 million and $193 million for the years ended December 31, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
|
(6)
|
Cash Taxes are based on Sun Country management's best estimate of the effective tax rate.
|
|
(7)
|
"NA" refers to not available.
|
|
(68)
|
Adjusted NOPAT is defined as Adjusted EBIT multiplied by one minus the applicable tax rate.
|
|
(79)
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow is defined as Adjusted NOPAT, plus depreciation and amortization, less capital expenditures and increases in net working capital.
|
|
Millions (other than Adjusted EPS), for the years ended
|
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBT(1)(2)
|
$
|
69
|
$
|
77
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
167
|
$
|
176
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted Net Income(3)(4)
|
$
|
53
|
$
|
58
|
$
|
110
|
$
|
129
|
$
|
136
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EPS
|
$
|
0.95
|
$
|
1.05
|
$
|
1.99
|
$
|
2.34
|
$
|
2.46
|
| (1) |
Adjusted EBT is defined as earnings before taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
| (2) |
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted EBT which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $76 million, $84 million, $149 million, $174 million and $182 million for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
| (3) |
Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management's non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
| (4) |
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted Net Income which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $58 million, $63 million, $115 million, $134 million and $140 million for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|