Insight Guru Inc.

04/02/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 04/02/2026 00:49

Nike Stock To $31

Nike Stock To $31?

April 2nd, 2026by Trefis Team
+33.41%
Upside
44.63
Market
59.54
Trefis
NKE
Nike

Nike (NKE) stock has fallen by 26.8% in less than a month, from $61.01 on 2nd Mar, 2026 to $44.63 now. What comes next? We think that the stock could fall even more. The current correction, when put in context of our Unattractive opinion of the stock, suggest possibility of further downside. A price of $31 is not out of question, especially considering that the stock has seen this level in the last 5 years. Read Buy or Sell Nike Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.

So should you wait before buying this dip? Perhaps. There is no perfect way to time the dips. Nevertheless, here is another perspective on NKE stock to help you make the decision. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 7.1%, with median peak return reaching 33%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.

Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.

Trefis: NKE Stock Insights


Historical Median Returns Post Dips

Period Past Median Return
1M 4.9%
3M 20.8%
6M 14.8%
12M 7.1%


Historical Dip-Wise Details

NKE had 6 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered

  • 33% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 120 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -17% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
30 Day Dip NKE Subsequent Performance
Date NKE SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median 7% 33% -17% 120
4012026 -31% -6% 0% 0% 0% 0
4032025 -28% -12% -18% 44% -18% 116
7082024 -21% 5% 2% 23% -26% 81
9302022 -28% -16% 16% 56% 0% 124
5112022 -22% -15% 13% 21% -23% 266
3122020 -25% -24% 91% 100% -15% 305

1Y Refers to 1 year or time since recent dip, whichever is smaller

Nike Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) -5.0% Fail
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) -1.7% Fail
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 6.6% Pass

Not sure if you can take a call on NKE stock? Consider portfolio approach

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Insight Guru Inc. published this content on April 02, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed via Public Technologies (PUBT), unedited and unaltered, on April 02, 2026 at 06:49 UTC. If you believe the information included in the content is inaccurate or outdated and requires editing or removal, please contact us at [email protected]