Missouri Economic Development Incentives Aren’t Worth It

From January 1, 2023, through December 31, 2023, Missouri issued just under $233 million in economic incentives, according to the Missouri Department of Economic Development (DED). For the period from July 1, 2023, through June 30, 2024, the department showed that self-reported data indicated the "actual number of jobs created as a result of the tax credits" was 4,696. These figures, published two pages apart in the 2024 Tax Credit Accountability Report, are telling.

It is first worth noting that job creation figures from economic development agencies are often misleading, with creative accounting used to inflate the numbers. And the numbers almost never account for the possibility that these "created" jobs would have happened with or without subsidies. Numerous academic studies have shown that economic development programs rarely work as advocates claim.

But just for the sake of argument, let's take the numbers at face value. If we divide the jobs created by the incentives provided, the cost amounts to roughly $49,500 in taxpayer money for each job. Is that expense worth it?

Consider this: according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (Table 6), Missouri's economy added 589,337 jobs in calendar year 2023.* In other words, the ordinary functioning of the state's economy produced roughly 125 times more jobs than the Department of Economic Development's incentive programs. The DED's contribution is a tiny fraction of the state's overall job creation-and it comes at a substantial cost.

The price tag goes beyond the incentives themselves. The total department budget for salaries is $14.6 million for approximately 202 full time employees, meaning taxpayers not only footed the bill for the incentives but also paid for the administrative costs of distributing them. It's an expensive way to do something the broader economy already does more effectively.

Perhaps it's time to rethink the role of the Missouri DED. Those funds could be redirected to areas that deliver tangible benefits to all Missourians, like roads, schools, or public safety. Instead of propping up a costly system that yields meager results, Missouri could invest in the essentials that make the state a better place to live and work.

*NOTE: The BLS statistics I cite offer both gross job gains and gross job losses. I cite only the gross gains. A fair-minded person might suggest a more accurate approach is to calculate net job gains by subtracting gross job losses from gross job gains. I would agree with that in most cases. However, economic development professionals do not make a habit of acknowledging job losses. For example, it is often the practice to count as "new" a job that may have only changed location. Until economic development advocates provide a more rigorous accounting of jobs "created," using BLS numbers on gross job gains is the best comparison.