South Africa is the world's leading producer and exporter of macadamia nuts. Post estimates that 2025 production will decline by four percent from 2024 due to adverse weather conditions, which have led to yield losses and smaller-sized nuts. However, expansion of planted area and production is expected over the next several years, driven primarily by strong export demand. In 2024, South Africa exported 31 percent of its shelled macadamia nuts to the United States. The macadamia industry is concerned about the 30 percent import duty scheduled to take effect on August 1, 2025, as the United States is the primary market for specific grades, such as halves and pieces, which are widely used in processed foods.