07/11/2025 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 07/11/2025 10:53
Some sectors are feeling the pressure sooner than others
Another round of tariffs is about to take effect and supply chains aren't waiting to respond.
With formal trade measures advancing following the July 7 close of public comment, 25% tariffs on U.S. imports from Japan and South Korea are set to take effect August 1. A 10% baseline rate is expected to apply more broadly across other regions. And while headlines may focus on geopolitics, for supply chain leaders, the message is simpler, the disruption is already here and the window to act is short.
A three-week window, a high-stakes reset
Between July 7 and August 1, companies are re-evaluating sourcing, lead times, SKUs, and supplier exposure. This isn't a policy debate, it's a three-week countdown to material impact.
And it is not the first time we've seen this playbook. The five busiest weeks on the Kinaxis Maestro platform in 2025 have all coincided with major trade developments, clear evidence that as tariffs rise, scenario planning surges.
The data behind the disruption
Nowhere is this shift more visible than in high-tech supply chains. Scenario modeling activity in that sector is up nearly 30% year-over-year, with June 2025 marking the highest usage month on record. The week of June 2 became the busiest in Kinaxis platform history for that industry.
That momentum has continued into July. High-tech companies have logged 126 days of above-average scenario activity so far this year, and five of the past six months have outpaced historical norms. Planning has become a daily discipline, not a quarterly check-in.
And this is part of a broader pattern. Across all industries, the following weeks were the most active on the Kinaxis platform in 2025:
Week ending | What happened |
Jan 25, 2025 | A new U.S. president issued a broad tariff directive. |
Feb 1, 2025 | Executive orders set 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. |
Apr 12, 2025 | "Liberation Day" tariffs were introduced. |
May 17, 2025 | A court ruling disrupted tariff enforcement. |
May 24, 2025 | Sector-specific tariffs were reinstated post-appeal. |
Jul 11, 2025 | August 1 tariff deadline is confirmed and new tariffs announced. |
Who's most at risk
Some sectors are feeling the pressure sooner than others. Industries with multi-tier, globally dispersed supply chains are especially exposed:
Now, with pharmaceutical tariffs under consideration, the impact zone is expanding. If implemented, they would affect APIs, generics, and contract manufacturing areas where many companies lack regional redundancy.
What leading supply chains are doing now
The most prepared organizations aren't just tracking risk, they're orchestrating responses in real time and they're:
And critically, they're doing it in hours and days, not weeks and months, because in this environment, speed is the differentiator.
Final takeaway
August 1 isn't just another policy date, it's a turning point for supply chain execution.
Tariffs may be the trigger, but the broader challenge is ongoing: how to operate when conditions shift with little warning. In this environment, agility isn't about being reactive, it's about being ready before the disruption hits.
The companies that treat this moment as a stress test, not a one-off, will be the ones better positioned to lead through whatever comes next.
By Matt Tatham · 26 Jun 2025