Kinaxis Inc.

07/11/2025 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 07/11/2025 10:53

The tariff reset is here and August 1 is the supply chain deadline that matters

Disruptions

The tariff reset is here and August 1 is the supply chain deadline that matters

Some sectors are feeling the pressure sooner than others

By Matt Tatham 11 Jul 2025

Another round of tariffs is about to take effect and supply chains aren't waiting to respond.

With formal trade measures advancing following the July 7 close of public comment, 25% tariffs on U.S. imports from Japan and South Korea are set to take effect August 1. A 10% baseline rate is expected to apply more broadly across other regions. And while headlines may focus on geopolitics, for supply chain leaders, the message is simpler, the disruption is already here and the window to act is short.

A three-week window, a high-stakes reset

Between July 7 and August 1, companies are re-evaluating sourcing, lead times, SKUs, and supplier exposure. This isn't a policy debate, it's a three-week countdown to material impact.

And it is not the first time we've seen this playbook. The five busiest weeks on the Kinaxis Maestro platform in 2025 have all coincided with major trade developments, clear evidence that as tariffs rise, scenario planning surges.

"This is not just risk management, it's a challenge to organizational agility and resilience. Tariff shifts today are not just about policy. They expose a company's real-time ability to respond. What used to be siloed in 'risk functions' is now a strategic enterprise capability. The real question is not, 'What will it cost?' but, 'Which product to protect? Which customer to prioritize?' Companies that can link financial impact to operational decisions in days-not weeks-will emerge stronger."

Jordan Choi, APAC Senior Industry Principal at Kinaxis

The data behind the disruption

Nowhere is this shift more visible than in high-tech supply chains. Scenario modeling activity in that sector is up nearly 30% year-over-year, with June 2025 marking the highest usage month on record. The week of June 2 became the busiest in Kinaxis platform history for that industry.

That momentum has continued into July. High-tech companies have logged 126 days of above-average scenario activity so far this year, and five of the past six months have outpaced historical norms. Planning has become a daily discipline, not a quarterly check-in.

And this is part of a broader pattern. Across all industries, the following weeks were the most active on the Kinaxis platform in 2025:

Week ending What happened
Jan 25, 2025 A new U.S. president issued a broad tariff directive.
Feb 1, 2025 Executive orders set 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico.
Apr 12, 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs were introduced.
May 17, 2025 A court ruling disrupted tariff enforcement.
May 24, 2025 Sector-specific tariffs were reinstated post-appeal.
Jul 11, 2025 August 1 tariff deadline is confirmed and new tariffs announced.

Who's most at risk

Some sectors are feeling the pressure sooner than others. Industries with multi-tier, globally dispersed supply chains are especially exposed:

  • Electronics & semiconductors, particularly IC design and assembly in East Asia
  • Pharmaceuticals & life sciences, where sourcing APIs and managing regulatory timelines offers little flexibility
  • EVs & clean energy, due to battery component dependency and critical mineral concentration
  • Automotive & industrials, with long lead times and limited near-term sourcing alternatives

Now, with pharmaceutical tariffs under consideration, the impact zone is expanding. If implemented, they would affect APIs, generics, and contract manufacturing areas where many companies lack regional redundancy.

What leading supply chains are doing now

The most prepared organizations aren't just tracking risk, they're orchestrating responses in real time and they're:

  • Modeling tariff impacts concurrently across geographies, SKUs, and timelines to understand trade-offs quickly
  • Reprioritizing suppliers, products, and customers based on margin risk, demand variability, and service commitments
  • Accelerating shipments and adjusting inventory buffers where agility can help avoid cost spikes
  • Assessing tiered supplier exposure to anticipate downstream disruption not just direct impacts

And critically, they're doing it in hours and days, not weeks and months, because in this environment, speed is the differentiator.

"In APAC, Many organizations still rely on quarterly or annual planning cadences. But in today's volatile trade landscape-especially for industries like electronics, life sciences, and automotive-daily or weekly scenario planning isn't a luxury, it is mandatory. Success is about having the operational culture and responsiveness to use effective tools decisively."

Jordan Choi, APAC Senior Industry Principal at Kinaxis

Final takeaway

August 1 isn't just another policy date, it's a turning point for supply chain execution.

Tariffs may be the trigger, but the broader challenge is ongoing: how to operate when conditions shift with little warning. In this environment, agility isn't about being reactive, it's about being ready before the disruption hits.

The companies that treat this moment as a stress test, not a one-off, will be the ones better positioned to lead through whatever comes next.

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Kinaxis Inc. published this content on July 11, 2025, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed via Public Technologies (PUBT), unedited and unaltered, on July 11, 2025 at 16:53 UTC. If you believe the information included in the content is inaccurate or outdated and requires editing or removal, please contact us at [email protected]